Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
558
FNUS55 KTWC 012014
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
114 PM MST Thu Oct 1 2026
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
.DISCUSSION...Southeast Arizona will return to a more quiet
weather regime with clear skies and below normal afternoon high
temperatures expected across the majority of the area today. A
building ridge of high pressure over the Desert Southwest will warm
temperatures west of Tucson this weekend. However, a dry backdoor
front will move into the area from the east, keep afternoon reading
below normal east of Tucson into early next week. This front will
result in breezy to locally windy east to southeast winds Friday
into Monday of next week. Right now I am thinking the most likely
outcome is sustained easterly winds generally between 15 to 25 mph
and gusts 30-35 mph, but there is a weak signal for locally higher
end gusts upwards of 50 mph across the higher terrain areas near
Sonoita and Elgin as well as the Upper Gila Valley near Safford.
Minimum RH values will remain in the 35-45 percent in valley
locations and 50-75 percent in the mountains today, generally
lowering to 15-25 percent the second half of next week as drier air
moves into the region. 20-foot winds will be less than 15 mph today,
with gusty east to southeast winds Friday through early next
week.
AZZ150-021415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
114 PM MST Thu Oct 1 2026
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (5-15 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........63 to 73 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 5 to 9 degs.
* Max Humidity.............57 to 67 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 16 to 20 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northeast around 10 mph increasing to
east around 20 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 25 to 30 mph.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (5-15 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........81 to 91 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............31 to 41 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. East 15 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 25 to 30 mph.
* Mixing height............6506 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........East 23 to 24 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (156144 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (5-15 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........62 to 72 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............61 to 71 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. East 15 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 30 to 35 mph.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (5-15 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........82 to 92 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............33 to 43 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. East 15 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............5797 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........East 17 to 19 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (110143 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 62 to 72. Highs 85 to 95. East wind around
25 mph. Minimum Humidity 28 to 38 pct.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 65 to 75. Highs 86 to 96. East wind
around 25 mph. Minimum Humidity 29 to 39 pct.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 86 to 96. Northeast wind
around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 25 to 35 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 65 to 75. Highs 89 to 99.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 90 to 100.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-021415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
114 PM MST Thu Oct 1 2026
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (0-10 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........55 to 65 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 degs.
* Max Humidity.............69 to 79 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 28 to 32 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 25 to 30 mph.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (10-20 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........73 to 83 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............41 to 51 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. East 15 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East around 35 mph decreasing to around
25 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............6551 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........East 23 to 24 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (157224 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (15-25 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........53 to 63 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............75 to 85 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 28 to 32 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. East 15 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East around 30 mph becoming southeast
around 20 mph after midnight.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct) then becoming
sunny (0-10 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........74 to 84 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............39 to 49 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East 10 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............7510 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........East 17 to 18 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (135180 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 53 to 63. Highs 76 to 86. East wind around
25 mph. Minimum Humidity 38 to 48 pct.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 56 to 66. Highs 77 to 87. East wind
around 25 mph. Minimum Humidity 37 to 47 pct.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 56 to 66. Highs 79 to 89. Northeast
wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 32 to 42 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 57 to 67. Highs 81 to 91.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 58 to 68. Highs 81 to 91.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-021415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
114 PM MST Thu Oct 1 2026
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (20-30 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........53 to 63 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 6 to 10 degs.
* Max Humidity.............70 to 80 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 21 to 25 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 20 to 25 mph.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (25-35 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........71 to 81 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............38 to 48 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. East 15 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 25 to 30 mph.
* Mixing height............4407 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........East 23 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (101361 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........51 to 61 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Max Humidity.............77 to 87 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 21 to 25 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. East 15 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 25 to 30 mph.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct) then becoming
mostly sunny (15-25 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........72 to 82 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............39 to 49 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. East 15 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 20 to 25 mph.
* Mixing height............3987 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........East 20 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (79740 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 52 to 62. Highs 74 to 84. East wind
around 25 mph. Minimum Humidity 39 to 49 pct.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 55 to 65. Highs 74 to 84. East wind
around 30 mph. Minimum Humidity 40 to 50 pct.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 55 to 65. Highs 76 to 86. East wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 35 to 45 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 56 to 66. Highs 79 to 89.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 56 to 66. Highs 79 to 89.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-021415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
114 PM MST Thu Oct 1 2026
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (10-20 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........46 to 56 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............71 to 81 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 28 to 32 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (20-30 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........65 to 75 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............37 to 47 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 20 to 25 mph.
* Mixing height............6270 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........East 20 to 21 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (131670 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (15-25 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........44 to 54 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............73 to 83 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 20 to 25 mph.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct) then becoming
mostly sunny (0-10 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........67 to 77 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............33 to 43 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East around 25 mph decreasing to around
15 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............4564 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........East 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (63896 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 45 to 55. Highs 68 to 78. East wind
around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 33 to 43 pct.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 48 to 58. Highs 66 to 76. Southeast
wind around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 42 to 52 pct.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 47 to 57. Highs 68 to 78. East wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 37 to 47 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 47 to 57. Highs 71 to 81.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 49 to 59. Highs 69 to 79.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-021415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
114 PM MST Thu Oct 1 2026
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (20-30 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........50 to 60 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 5 to 9 degs.
* Max Humidity.............66 to 76 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 15 to 19 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. East around 15 mph increasing to
around 25 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 20 to 25 mph.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........62 to 72 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............49 to 59 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. East 15 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East around 35 mph decreasing to around
25 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............5799 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........East 24 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (139176 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........47 to 57 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Max Humidity.............76 to 86 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 13 to 17 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. East 15 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East around 30 mph decreasing to around
20 mph after midnight.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct) then becoming
mostly sunny (10-20 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........63 to 73 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............52 to 62 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. East 15 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............6061 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........East 19 to 21 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (121220 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 48 to 58. Highs 64 to 74. East wind
around 25 mph. Minimum Humidity 47 to 57 pct.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 50 to 60. Highs 66 to 76. East wind
around 25 mph. Minimum Humidity 48 to 58 pct.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 51 to 61. Highs 68 to 78. East wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 42 to 52 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 52 to 62. Highs 70 to 80.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 52 to 62. Highs 70 to 80.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson