Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
377
FNUS55 KTWC 161036
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
336 AM MST Sun Nov 16 2025
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
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.DISCUSSION...A storm system will move across the area today,
with showers spreading from west to east across southeast Arizona
during the day. This system will also bring a slight chance of
thunderstorms and cooler temperatures. Breezy southwest winds of
15-25 mph with gusts to 30-35 mph are expected. Another system is
then expected to move into the area Tuesday and especially Wednesday
of next week. This system will bring another round of precipitation
across Southeast Arizona, well below normal temperatures and breezy
south to southwest winds. RH values will be on the increase, with
Min RH values well above critical levels over the next week (30-40
percent in the valleys and 50-60+ percent in the mountains).
AZZ150-170115-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
336 AM MST Sun Nov 16 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........65 to 75 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 8 to 12 degs.
* Min Humidity.............40 to 50 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 12 to 16 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 40 mph decreasing to
around 30 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............5958 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 19 to 21 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (125118 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........45 to 55 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 degs.
* Max Humidity.............86 to 96 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Slight chance
of showers.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........64 to 74 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............43 to 53 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
* Mixing height............6035 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 10 to 12 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (72420 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 48 to 58. Highs 60 to 70. South wind around
20 mph. Minimum Humidity 47 to 57 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows 44 to 54. Highs 54 to 64. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 53 to 63 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 39 to
49. Highs 55 to 65. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 43 to 53 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 39 to 49.
Highs 58 to 68.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 40 to 50. Highs 61 to 71.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-170115-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
336 AM MST Sun Nov 16 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (45-55 pct). Patchy
blowing dust. Chance of showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........62 to 72 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 8 to 12 degs.
* Min Humidity.............46 to 56 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 26 to 30 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 35 to 40 mph.
* Mixing height............4829 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 22 to 26 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (125554 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (25-35 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........38 to 48 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 7 to 11 degs.
* Max Humidity.............86 to 96 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 15 mph shifting to the south
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 25 to 30 mph.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (25-35 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........61 to 71 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............40 to 50 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming southwest around 15
mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
* Mixing height............5143 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 9 to 13 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (66859 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 40 to 50. Highs 58 to 68. South wind around
20 mph. Minimum Humidity 46 to 56 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Lows 38 to 48. Highs 51 to 61. Southwest wind around 15 mph.
Minimum Humidity 58 to 68 pct.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows 32 to 42.
Highs 50 to 60. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 48 to 58 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 31 to 41.
Highs 54 to 64.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 33 to
43. Highs 57 to 67.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-170115-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
336 AM MST Sun Nov 16 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (45-55 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (50-60 pct). Patchy
blowing dust. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........65 to 75 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 6 to 10 degs.
* Min Humidity.............47 to 57 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 23 to 27 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 15 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 35 to 40 mph.
* Mixing height............6845 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 20 to 27 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (184815 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........37 to 47 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 6 to 10 degs.
* Max Humidity.............85 to 95 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 15 to 19 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 20 mph becoming southwest
around 10 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 30 to 35 mph.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (25-35 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........60 to 70 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............41 to 51 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming southwest around 10
mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
* Mixing height............5374 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 7 to 12 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (64488 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 39 to 49. Highs 59 to 69. South wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 41 to 51 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows 38 to 48. Highs 52 to 62. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 56 to 66 pct.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows 32 to 42.
Highs 50 to 60. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 47 to 57 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 29 to 39.
Highs 53 to 63.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 32 to
42. Highs 56 to 66.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-170115-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
336 AM MST Sun Nov 16 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........52 to 62 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 7 to 11 degs.
* Min Humidity.............60 to 70 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 35 to 39 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 15 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 30 to 35 mph.
* Mixing height............4410 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 19 to 24 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (105840 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (45-55 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........32 to 42 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 6 to 10 degs.
* Max Humidity.............84 to 94 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 12 to 16 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 30 to 35 mph.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........49 to 59 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............47 to 57 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 11 to 15 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming southwest around 10
mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............4094 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 9 to 12 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (49128 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 35 to 45. Highs 46 to 56. South wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 56 to 66 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers, snow showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 34 to 44. Highs 41 to 51. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 69 to 79 pct.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and snow showers.
Lows 27 to 37. Highs 38 to 48. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
59 to 69 pct.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain and snow showers.
Lows 24 to 34. Highs 43 to 53.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 27 to
37. Highs 48 to 58.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-170115-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
336 AM MST Sun Nov 16 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........10 pct.
* Max Temperature..........55 to 65 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 degs.
* Min Humidity.............51 to 61 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 27 to 31 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 35 to 40 mph.
* Mixing height............6793 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 24 to 28 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (176618 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........35 to 45 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 degs.
* Max Humidity.............83 to 93 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 10 to 14 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 20 mph becoming southwest
around 10 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 30 to 35 mph.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (25-35 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........52 to 62 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............45 to 55 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
* Mixing height............5577 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 9 to 15 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (66924 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows 38 to 48. Highs
49 to 59. South wind around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 50 to
60 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows 37 to 47. Highs 44 to 54. Southwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 63 to 73 pct.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and snow showers.
Lows 31 to 41. Highs 41 to 51. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
57 to 67 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain and snow showers.
Lows 29 to 39. Highs 45 to 55.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 32 to
42. Highs 48 to 58.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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