Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
840
FNUS55 KTWC 222134
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
234 PM MST Sat Nov 22 2025
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
.DISCUSSION...A weather system moving through tonight and Sunday
will bring scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms along with
breezy conditions. Light mountain snow will also be possible
tonight above 7500 feet. Shower activity decreases from west to
east on Sunday. 20-foot winds into this evening will be out of the
south southeast 12-18 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. The low will
usher in below normal temps Sunday and Monday, then a warming
trend takes over. Min RH will be 30-60 percent through Tuesday,
dropping to 20-30 percent thereafter.
AZZ150-231300-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
234 PM MST Sat Nov 22 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........80 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........45 to 55 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............88 to 98 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 12 to 16 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South around 30 mph becoming southwest
around 20 mph after midnight.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (45-55 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........10 pct.
* Max Temperature..........57 to 67 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 degs.
* Min Humidity.............60 to 70 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 17 to 21 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............4433 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 10 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (44330 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (25-35 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........41 to 51 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............86 to 96 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest around 10 mph increasing to
north around 20 mph after midnight.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (25-35 pct) then becoming
mostly sunny (15-25 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........60 to 70 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............50 to 60 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming north around 10 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............3649 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........North 7 to 9 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Fair (32841 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 39 to 49. Highs 63 to 73. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 39 to 49 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 40 to 50. Highs 68 to 78. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 28 to 38 pct.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 42 to 52. Highs 69 to 79.
Light winds. Minimum Humidity 25 to 35 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 44 to 54. Highs 69 to 79.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 44 to 54. Highs 65 to 75.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-231300-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
234 PM MST Sat Nov 22 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (75-85 pct). Showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........90 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........40 to 50 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............88 to 98 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 18 to 22 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 30 to 35 mph.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........53 to 63 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 8 to 12 degs.
* Min Humidity.............64 to 74 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 25 to 29 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............4302 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 14 to 15 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (64530 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........35 to 45 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Max Humidity.............89 to 99 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West around 10 mph increasing to
northwest around 20 mph after midnight.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (25-35 pct) then becoming
mostly sunny (10-20 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........56 to 66 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............53 to 63 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 11 to 15 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming northwest around 10
mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............3569 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........North 7 to 9 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Fair (32121 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 34 to 44. Highs 61 to 71. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 34 to 44 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 35 to 45. Highs 64 to 74. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 28 to 38 pct.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Mostly clear. Lows 36 to 46. Highs 66 to 76.
Light winds. Minimum Humidity 27 to 37 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 39 to 49. Highs 66 to 76.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 39 to 49. Highs 61 to 71.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-231300-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
234 PM MST Sat Nov 22 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (70-80 pct). Showers
likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........80 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........40 to 50 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............86 to 96 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 35 to 40 mph.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........52 to 62 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 6 to 10 degs.
* Min Humidity.............67 to 77 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 27 to 31 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
* Mixing height............4771 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (66794 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........34 to 44 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 degs.
* Max Humidity.............84 to 94 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (25-35 pct) then becoming
mostly sunny (10-20 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........55 to 65 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............56 to 66 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............3198 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Northwest 6 to 10 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Fair (31980 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 33 to 43. Highs 59 to 69. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 33 to 43 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 33 to 43. Highs 60 to 70. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 29 to 39 pct.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Mostly clear. Lows 34 to 44. Highs 62 to 72.
Light winds. Minimum Humidity 28 to 38 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 37 to 47. Highs 63 to 73.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 36 to 46. Highs 60 to 70.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-231300-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
234 PM MST Sat Nov 22 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (70-80 pct). Showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........90 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........33 to 43 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............88 to 98 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 17 to 21 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 30 to 35 mph.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (60-70 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........40 to 50 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 9 to 13 degs.
* Min Humidity.............76 to 86 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 40 to 44 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming southwest around 10
mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............3358 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 12 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (40296 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........27 to 37 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 degs.
* Max Humidity.............85 to 95 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (20-30 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........48 to 58 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 degs.
* Min Humidity.............51 to 61 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 19 to 23 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............3793 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Northwest 9 to 12 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (45516 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 26 to 36. Highs 52 to 62. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 31 to 41 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 28 to 38. Highs 52 to 62. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 29 to 39 pct.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Mostly clear. Lows 30 to 40. Highs 55 to 65.
Light winds. Minimum Humidity 26 to 36 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 32 to 42. Highs 54 to 64.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 31 to 41. Highs 48 to 58.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-231300-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
234 PM MST Sat Nov 22 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (75-85 pct). Showers
likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........80 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........35 to 45 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............87 to 97 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 15 to 19 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 35 to 40 mph.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........44 to 54 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 7 to 11 degs.
* Min Humidity.............71 to 81 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 27 to 31 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 25 mph becoming west
around 15 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............4622 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 17 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (78574 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........31 to 41 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............87 to 97 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (25-35 pct) then becoming
mostly sunny (5-15 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........47 to 57 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............56 to 66 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 10 to 14 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............3722 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Northwest 7 to 9 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Fair (29776 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 31 to 41. Highs 51 to 61. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 39 to 49 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 33 to 43. Highs 52 to 62. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 33 to 43 pct.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Mostly clear. Lows 34 to 44. Highs 55 to 65.
Light winds. Minimum Humidity 32 to 42 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 37 to 47. Highs 56 to 66.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 36 to 46. Highs 52 to 62.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson