Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
006
FNUS55 KTWC 032125
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
225 PM MST Sun Aug 3 2025
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
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.DISCUSSION...Dry weather and light winds will dominate
through Monday, with very hot temperatures through most of next week.
Temperatures will continue to rise and peak at 8 to 14 degrees
above normal Wednesday and Thursday. A return to a very low grade
monsoon pattern starts Tuesday initially along the International Border
and then gradually expands to the rest of southeast Arizona by weeks end.
Indications continue to hint at an uptick in storms next weekend.
Min RH values areawide will continue around 8 to 15 percent through
Thursday then 15 to 25 percent starting Friday. Mountain readings
climb into the lower 30 percent range Saturday.
AZZ150-041445-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
225 PM MST Sun Aug 3 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (5-15 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........72 to 82 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............43 to 53 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 17 to 21 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph shifting to the south
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (10-20 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........101 to 111 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............11 to 21 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............12699 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 11 to 12 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (152388 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (15-25 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........75 to 85 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............29 to 39 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 12 to 16 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph shifting to the south
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (15-25 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (20-30 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........103 to 113 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............10 to 17 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 10 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............14252 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 8 knots shifting to the southwest
9 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (128268 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 77 to 87. Highs 106 to 116. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 9 to 14 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 78 to 88. Highs 106 to 116. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 8 to 17 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 77 to 87. Highs 101 to 111. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 14 to 24 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 75 to 85. Highs 99 to 109.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 74 to 84. Highs 99 to 109.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-041445-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
225 PM MST Sun Aug 3 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (10-20 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........65 to 75 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............44 to 54 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (20-30 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........96 to 106 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............10 to 18 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming northwest around 10
mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............13228 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 7 to 10 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (132280 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (25-35 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........68 to 78 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............34 to 44 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest around 5 mph shifting to the
northeast after midnight.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (15-25 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (25-35 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........10 pct.
* Max Temperature..........97 to 107 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............10 to 18 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming northwest around 10
mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............15142 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........North 6 knots shifting to the west 8
knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (121136 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 69 to 79. Highs 99 to 109. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 9 to 16 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 70 to 80. Highs 99 to 109. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 8 to 16 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 69 to 79. Highs 96 to 106. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
13 to 23 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 93 to 103.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 92 to 102.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-041445-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
225 PM MST Sun Aug 3 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (5-15 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........64 to 74 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............30 to 40 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 12 to 16 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (10-20 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........95 to 105 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............7 to 16 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest around 15 mph becoming west
around 5 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............11177 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Northwest 10 to 11 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (122947 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (15-25 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............29 to 39 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West around 5 mph shifting to the south
after midnight.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (15-25 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........97 to 107 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............8 to 17 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming northwest around 10
mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............13959 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Northwest 7 to 9 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (125631 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 68 to 78. Highs 98 to 108. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 8 to 15 pct.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 69 to 79. Highs 98 to 108. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 7 to 14 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 68 to 78. Highs 96 to 106. West wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 9 to 19 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 68 to 78. Highs 94 to 104.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 93 to 103.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-041445-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
225 PM MST Sun Aug 3 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (5-15 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........56 to 66 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............19 to 29 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 16 to 20 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (5-15 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........86 to 96 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............8 to 14 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............11340 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Northwest 11 to 12 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (136080 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (10-20 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........59 to 69 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............28 to 38 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 11 to 15 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph shifting to the north
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (10-20 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (25-35 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........86 to 96 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............10 to 18 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..North around 10 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............13493 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Northwest 9 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (121437 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 88 to 98. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 10 to 17 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 88 to 98. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 10 to 17 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 87 to 97. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 11 to 19 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 60 to 70. Highs 85 to 95.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 59 to 69. Highs 84 to 94.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-041445-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
225 PM MST Sun Aug 3 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (10-20 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........61 to 71 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............33 to 43 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (20-30 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........85 to 95 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............10 to 20 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............12624 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Northwest 10 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (126240 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (25-35 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........64 to 74 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............27 to 37 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast after midnight.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (15-25 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (25-35 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........86 to 96 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............12 to 22 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming north around 10 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............14037 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Northwest 7 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (98259 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 65 to 75. Highs 88 to 98. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 10 to 19 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 65 to 75. Highs 88 to 98. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 10 to 18 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 63 to 73. Highs 85 to 95. West wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 14 to 24 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 63 to 73. Highs 83 to 93.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 62 to 72. Highs 82 to 92.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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