Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
444
FNUS55 KTWC 161207
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
507 AM MST Wed Jul 16 2025
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
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.DISCUSSION...
A more active monsoon pattern continues the next couple of days.
Deeper atmospheric moisture moving into the region will bring the
potential for locally heavy rainfall and flash flooding today.
Temperatures will be slightly cooler than normal today and
Thursday, then near normal late this week. Winds will remain
westerly from 10-15 mph, with occasional gusts at or above 25 mph.
Afternoon RH values in the low lying areas will be 20-30% through
the remainder of the week.
AZZ150-162215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
507 AM MST Wed Jul 16 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........88 to 98 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 degs.
* Min Humidity.............36 to 46 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............5698 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 13 to 15 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (85470 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (65-75 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (45-55 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........72 to 82 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............55 to 65 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........91 to 101 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............28 to 38 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 10 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............9127 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 7 to 8 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (73016 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 72 to 82. Highs 95 to 105. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
19 to 29 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 72 to 82. Highs 96 to 106. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 15 to 25 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 72 to 82. Highs 96 to 106. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 12 to 22 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 72 to 82. Highs 95 to 105.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 72 to 82. Highs 96 to 106.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-162215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
507 AM MST Wed Jul 16 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Showers and
thunderstorms likely.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........60 pct.
* Max Temperature..........80 to 90 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 degs.
* Min Humidity.............41 to 51 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 11 to 15 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............5171 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 10 to 13 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (67223 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (65-75 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........63 to 73 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............72 to 82 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (75-85 pct). Showers and
thunderstorms likely.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........60 pct.
* Max Temperature..........84 to 94 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............32 to 42 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 11 to 15 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............10127 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 7 to 9 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (91143 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 64 to 74. Highs 88 to 98. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
24 to 34 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 88 to 98. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
22 to 32 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 89 to 99. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
17 to 27 pct.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 89 to 99.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 89 to 99.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-162215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
507 AM MST Wed Jul 16 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct). Showers and
thunderstorms likely.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........70 pct.
* Max Temperature..........85 to 95 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 degs.
* Min Humidity.............34 to 44 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............5613 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 14 to 15 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (84195 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (60-70 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........63 to 73 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............69 to 79 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (75-85 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........86 to 96 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............28 to 38 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............6812 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 9 to 11 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (74932 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 89 to 99. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
21 to 31 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 89 to 99. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
20 to 30 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 90 to 100. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
16 to 26 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 90 to 100.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 90 to 100.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-162215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
507 AM MST Wed Jul 16 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........80 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........79 to 89 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............30 to 40 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 15 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............7822 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Northwest 13 to 15 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (117330 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (65-75 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........55 to 65 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............69 to 79 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..North 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (80-90 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........78 to 88 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............29 to 39 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............8399 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Northwest 8 knots shifting to the
southwest 11 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (92389 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 57 to 67. Highs 79 to 89. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
23 to 33 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 57 to 67. Highs 79 to 89. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
24 to 34 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 57 to 67. Highs 79 to 89. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
21 to 31 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 57 to 67. Highs 80 to 90.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 57 to 67. Highs 81 to 91.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-162215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
507 AM MST Wed Jul 16 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (60-70 pct). Thunderstorms
likely and chance of showers.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........60 pct.
* Max Temperature..........72 to 82 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 degs.
* Min Humidity.............48 to 58 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 13 to 17 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............7315 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 12 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (95095 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (60-70 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........57 to 67 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............72 to 82 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (75-85 pct). Showers and
thunderstorms likely.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........60 pct.
* Max Temperature..........74 to 84 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............41 to 51 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 10 to 14 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............8122 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 8 to 9 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (69037 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 78 to 88. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 30 to 40 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 59 to 69. Highs 78 to 88. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
28 to 38 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 59 to 69. Highs 79 to 89. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
22 to 32 pct.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 60 to 70. Highs 79 to 89.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 60 to 70. Highs 79 to 89.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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