Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
268
FNUS55 KTWC 102200
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
300 PM MST Fri Oct 10 2025
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
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.DISCUSSION...High temperatures will be 4-7 degrees above
normal today, falling to near normal Saturday, then 3-9 degrees
below normal Saturday through most of next week. Tropical moisture
moving northward through Mexico will result in increasing chances
for widespread showers and isolated thunderstorms through at
least early next week. There will be the potential for widespread
rainfall accumulating over several days, Saturday into Tuesday.
Minimum RH values will be at least 25+ percent in the valley`s,
with values in the Saturday through Tuesday time frame at 40+
percent. 20-foot wind speeds will generally be 15 mph or less into
the middle of next week and gusts to 20-25 mph.
AZZ150-111200-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
300 PM MST Fri Oct 10 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (70-80 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........67 to 77 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............69 to 79 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..North around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 20 to 25 mph.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........86 to 96 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............39 to 49 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 30 to 35 mph.
* Mixing height............5969 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 11 knots shifting to the
southwest 19 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (113411 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........65 to 75 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............79 to 89 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 25 to 30 mph.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........78 to 88 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 6 to 10 degs.
* Min Humidity.............57 to 67 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 15 to 19 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............3886 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 16 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (62176 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.COLUMBUS DAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 78 to 88. South
wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 43 to 53 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 78 to 88. South wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 38 to 48 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 56 to 66. Highs 78 to 88. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 31 to 41 pct.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 52 to 62. Highs 75 to 85.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 51 to 61. Highs 75 to 85.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-111200-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
300 PM MST Fri Oct 10 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........61 to 71 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............70 to 80 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct). Showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........80 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........79 to 89 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 degs.
* Min Humidity.............46 to 56 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 17 to 21 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 25 to 30 mph.
* Mixing height............6009 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 15 to 18 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (108162 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (80-90 pct). Showers and
chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........90 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........58 to 68 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............86 to 96 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 17 to 21 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 30 to 35 mph.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (75-85 pct). Showers and
chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........80 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........70 to 80 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 7 to 11 degs.
* Min Humidity.............71 to 81 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 23 to 27 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............3885 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 12 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (46620 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.COLUMBUS DAY...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 56 to 66. Highs 70 to 80. South wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 65 to 75 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 55 to 65. Highs 73 to 83. South wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 51 to 61 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 53 to 63. Highs 75 to 85. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 40 to 50 pct.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 49 to 59. Highs 72 to 82.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 47 to 57. Highs 71 to 81.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-111200-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
300 PM MST Fri Oct 10 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........61 to 71 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............66 to 76 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 20 to 25 mph.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (60-70 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........80 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........78 to 88 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 degs.
* Min Humidity.............49 to 59 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 17 to 21 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 15 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 25 to 30 mph.
* Mixing height............5088 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 13 knots shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (66144 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (80-90 pct). Showers and
chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........90 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........57 to 67 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Max Humidity.............85 to 95 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 18 to 22 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 25 to 30 mph.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (80-90 pct). Showers and
chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........80 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........69 to 79 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 7 to 11 degs.
* Min Humidity.............67 to 77 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 21 to 25 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West around 20 mph becoming southwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............2590 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 10 to 11 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Fair (28490 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.COLUMBUS DAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
55 to 65. Highs 69 to 79. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 61 to
71 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 55 to 65. Highs 72 to 82. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 53 to 63 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 54 to 64. Highs 75 to 85. South
wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 42 to 52 pct.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 51 to 61. Highs 73 to 83.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 48 to 58. Highs 72 to 82.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-111200-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
300 PM MST Fri Oct 10 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (70-80 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........53 to 63 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............74 to 84 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 30 to 35 mph.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (70-80 pct). Showers and
chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........80 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........65 to 75 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............64 to 74 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 19 to 23 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 25 to 30 mph.
* Mixing height............4305 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 15 knots shifting to the
southwest 16 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (68880 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Cloudy (85-95 pct). Showers and chance
of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........80 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........50 to 60 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............86 to 96 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 12 to 16 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 25 to 30 mph.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (75-85 pct). Showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........61 to 71 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............66 to 76 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming southwest around 10
mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West around 20 mph becoming southwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............3980 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 11 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (43780 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.COLUMBUS DAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
49 to 59. Highs 60 to 70. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 68 to
78 pct.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 49 to 59. Highs 62 to 72. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 60 to 70 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 48 to 58. Highs 65 to 75. Southeast wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 49 to 59 pct.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 45 to 55. Highs 62 to 72.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 42 to 52. Highs 61 to 71.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-111200-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
300 PM MST Fri Oct 10 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........56 to 66 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............65 to 75 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct). Showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........80 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........69 to 79 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............55 to 65 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 16 to 20 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 25 to 30 mph.
* Mixing height............5592 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 14 to 17 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (86676 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Cloudy (85-95 pct). Showers and chance
of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........90 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........52 to 62 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 degs.
* Max Humidity.............86 to 96 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 16 to 20 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 25 to 30 mph.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Cloudy (85-95 pct). Showers and chance
of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........80 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........59 to 69 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 7 to 11 degs.
* Min Humidity.............73 to 83 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 25 to 29 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West around 20 mph becoming southwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............3810 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 11 to 12 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (43815 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.COLUMBUS DAY...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 50 to 60. Highs 59 to 69. South wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 73 to 83 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 50 to 60. Highs 63 to 73. South wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 61 to 71 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 49 to 59. Highs 66 to 76. South
wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 49 to 59 pct.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 46 to 56. Highs 64 to 74.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 44 to 54. Highs 62 to 72.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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