Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
168
FNUS55 KTWC 210931
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
231 AM MST Fri Jun 21 2024
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
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.DISCUSSION...
Gusty east to southeast winds this morning will diminish through
the day. A strong increase in moisture will bring better RH values
along with a chance of thunderstorms into at least early next
week. Some storms will generate strong and erratic outflow winds.
Moisture is expected to be deep enough for some storms to generate
locally heavy rain. Temperatures may heat back up by mid week as
high pressure builds nearly overhead, however we should keep some
storm chances around.
AZZ150-212230-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
231 AM MST Fri Jun 21 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max Temperature..........101 to 111 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............16 to 26 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............11980 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........South 19 to 25 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (299500 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms mainly evening hours.
* Min Temperature..........75 to 85 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............45 to 55 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 11 to 15 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct early, then 20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............2 or very low.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max Temperature..........98 to 108 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............25 to 35 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 10 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............2 or very low.
* Mixing Height............7863 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........East 10 knots shifting to the north in
the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (78630 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 76 to 86. Highs 96 to 106. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 23
to 33 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 75 to 85. Highs 99 to 109. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 18 to 28 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 76 to 86. Highs 101 to 111. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 16 to 26 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 77 to 87. Highs 101 to 111.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 76 to 86. Highs 100 to 110.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-212230-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
231 AM MST Fri Jun 21 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max Temperature..........92 to 102 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 degs.
* Min Humidity.............26 to 36 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............10754 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 18 to 23 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (247342 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms, mainly evening hours.
* Min Temperature..........67 to 77 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............65 to 75 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct early, then 30 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............2 or very low.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........90 to 100 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............33 to 43 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............2 or very low.
* Mixing Height............6690 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........East 11 to 12 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (80280 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 68 to 78. Highs 90 to 100. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
29 to 39 pct.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 92 to 102. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
26 to 36 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 69 to 79. Highs 94 to 104. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
22 to 32 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 70 to 80. Highs 94 to 104.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 70 to 80. Highs 94 to 104.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-212230-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
231 AM MST Fri Jun 21 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max Temperature..........86 to 96 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 degs.
* Min Humidity.............32 to 42 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 11 to 15 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Windy. Southeast 20 to 30 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............2 or very low.
* Mixing Height............5392 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 24 to 27 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (145584 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........67 to 77 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............62 to 72 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............2 or very low.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........90 to 100 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............26 to 36 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............9839 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........East 15 to 17 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (167263 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 69 to 79. Highs 92 to 102. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
22 to 32 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 68 to 78. Highs 93 to 103. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
21 to 31 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 69 to 79. Highs 95 to 105. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
18 to 28 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 70 to 80. Highs 96 to 106.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 69 to 79. Highs 94 to 104.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-212230-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
231 AM MST Fri Jun 21 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........75 to 85 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 degs.
* Min Humidity.............44 to 54 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 16 to 20 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. Southeast 15 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South around 30 mph becoming southeast
around 20 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............2 or very low.
* Mixing Height............4643 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 22 to 26 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (120718 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........60 to 70 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............68 to 78 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 20 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............2 or very low.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance
of thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........79 to 89 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............36 to 46 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............9820 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........East 13 to 16 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (157120 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 63 to 73. Highs 80 to 90. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
28 to 38 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 62 to 72. Highs 83 to 93. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
24 to 34 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 63 to 73. Highs 85 to 95. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
20 to 30 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 64 to 74. Highs 86 to 96.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 63 to 73. Highs 84 to 94.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-212230-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
231 AM MST Fri Jun 21 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max Temperature..........77 to 87 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 degs.
* Min Humidity.............46 to 56 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 15 to 19 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Windy. Southeast 20 to 30 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............10518 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 21 to 26 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (247173 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms, diminishing overnight.
* Min Temperature..........62 to 72 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............64 to 74 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............2 or very low.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........79 to 89 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............34 to 44 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............11516 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........East 12 to 13 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (143950 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 81 to 91. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
30 to 40 pct.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 64 to 74. Highs 82 to 92. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
28 to 38 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 84 to 94. Northwest wind around 15 mph.
Minimum Humidity 25 to 35 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 84 to 94.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 83 to 93.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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