Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
307
FNUS55 KTWC 100920
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
220 AM MST Fri Oct 10 2025
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
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.DISCUSSION...High temperatures will be 4-7 degrees above normal
today, falling to near normal Saturday, then 3-9 degrees below
normal Saturday through most of next week. Tropical moisture moving
northward through Mexico will result in increasing chances for
widespread showers and isolated thunderstorms through at least early
next week. There will be the potential for widespread rainfall
accumulating over several days, Saturday into Tuesday. Minimum RH
values will be at least 25+ percent in the valley`s, with values in
the Saturday through Tuesday time frame at 40+ percent. 20-foot wind
speeds will generally be 15 mph or less into the middle of next week
and gusts to 20-25 mph.
AZZ150-102215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
220 AM MST Fri Oct 10 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........89 to 99 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............28 to 38 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East around 15 mph shifting to the
northeast in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............8844 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 14 knots shifting to the south
13 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (114972 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (70-80 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............72 to 82 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 11 to 15 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..North around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast around 15 mph increasing to
south around 25 mph after midnight.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........85 to 95 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............40 to 50 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
south in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 30 to 35 mph.
* Mixing height............5346 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 13 knots shifting to the
southwest 20 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (106920 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 79 to 89. South wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 48 to 58 pct.
.COLUMBUS DAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 78 to 88. South
wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 44 to 54 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 78 to 88. South wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 39 to 49 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 57 to 67. Highs 78 to 88.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 53 to 63. Highs 77 to 87.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-102215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
220 AM MST Fri Oct 10 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........84 to 94 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............28 to 38 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............7873 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 17 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (133841 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........40 pct.
* Min Temperature..........60 to 70 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............77 to 87 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (60-70 pct). Showers and
chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........80 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........79 to 89 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 degs.
* Min Humidity.............46 to 56 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 15 to 19 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 25 to 30 mph.
* Mixing height............6169 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 16 to 19 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (117211 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SUNDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows 58 to
68. Highs 70 to 80. South wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity
63 to 73 pct.
.COLUMBUS DAY...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 56 to 66. Highs 69 to 79. South wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 63 to 73 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 55 to 65. Highs 73 to 83. South wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 50 to 60 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 53 to 63. Highs 75 to 85.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 50 to 60. Highs 74 to 84.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-102215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
220 AM MST Fri Oct 10 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (45-55 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........10 pct.
* Max Temperature..........82 to 92 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............31 to 41 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. Southeast 15 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 20 to 25 mph.
* Mixing height............6793 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 21 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (142653 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........60 to 70 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............71 to 81 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 20 to 25 mph.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Showers and
chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........80 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........78 to 88 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............50 to 60 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 15 to 19 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 15 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 25 to 30 mph.
* Mixing height............4930 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 13 to 17 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (83810 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SUNDAY...Not as warm. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 57 to 67. Highs 68 to 78. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 65 to 75 pct.
.COLUMBUS DAY...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 55 to 65. Highs 68 to 78. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 60 to 70 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 55 to 65. Highs 72 to 82. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 51 to 61 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 54 to 64. Highs 75 to 85.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 51 to 61. Highs 74 to 84.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-102215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
220 AM MST Fri Oct 10 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........69 to 79 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............45 to 55 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 20 to 25 mph.
* Mixing height............6170 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 22 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (135740 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (75-85 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........53 to 63 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............76 to 86 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 25 to 30 mph.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (75-85 pct). Showers and
chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........90 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........65 to 75 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............62 to 72 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 16 to 20 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
* Mixing height............4094 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 15 knots shifting to the southwest
16 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (65504 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SUNDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows 51 to
61. Highs 61 to 71. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 61 to 71 pct.
.COLUMBUS DAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
49 to 59. Highs 59 to 69. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 64 to
74 pct.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 49 to 59. Highs 61 to 71. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
60 to 70 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 48 to 58. Highs 65 to 75.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 45 to 55. Highs 64 to 74.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-102215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
220 AM MST Fri Oct 10 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........72 to 82 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............40 to 50 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............7292 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 18 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (131256 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........56 to 66 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............70 to 80 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (60-70 pct). Showers and
chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........80 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........69 to 79 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............57 to 67 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 14 to 18 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 25 to 30 mph.
* Mixing height............5062 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 16 to 18 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (86054 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SUNDAY...Cooler. Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows 53 to
63. Highs 59 to 69. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 75 to 85 pct.
.COLUMBUS DAY...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 50 to 60. Highs 59 to 69. South wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 73 to 83 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 50 to 60. Highs 63 to 73. South wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 61 to 71 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 50 to 60. Highs 66 to 76.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 46 to 56. Highs 65 to 75.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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