Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
241
FNUS55 KTWC 151952
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
1252 PM MST Sat Nov 15 2025
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
.DISCUSSION...Dry conditions with high temperatures 5-8 degrees
above normal will continue today. A storm system will move across
the area from the west this evening, with showers spreading from
west to east across southeast Arizona late tonight and Sunday. This
system will also bring a slight chance of thunderstorms and cooler
temperatures. Breezy southwest winds of 15-25 mph with gusts to 30-
35 mph are expected on Sunday. Another system is then expected to
move into the area late Monday through Wednesday of next week. This
system will bring another round of precipitation across southeast
Arizona, well below normal temperatures, along with breezy south to
southwest winds Tuesday. RH values will be on the increase, with Min
RH values well above critical levels Sunday through all of next week
(30-40 percent in the valleys and 50-60+ percent in the mountains).
AZZ150-161415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
1252 PM MST Sat Nov 15 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (45-55 pct). Slight chance
of showers.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........53 to 63 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............77 to 87 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 20 to 24 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 35 to 40 mph.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 6 to 10 degs.
* Min Humidity.............41 to 51 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 13 to 17 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 35 to 40 mph.
* Mixing height............6599 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 23 to 25 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (164975 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct). Slight chance
of showers.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........46 to 56 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 degs.
* Max Humidity.............85 to 95 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the
south after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 25 to 30 mph.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Slight chance
of showers.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........65 to 75 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............45 to 55 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
* Mixing height............3649 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 15 to 16 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (58384 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 48 to 58. Highs 59 to 69. South wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 47 to 57 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows 44 to 54. Highs 56 to 66. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 49 to 59 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 39 to 49. Highs 57 to 67. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 42 to 52 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 41 to 51.
Highs 60 to 70.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 41 to
51. Highs 62 to 72.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-161415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
1252 PM MST Sat Nov 15 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Slight chance
of showers.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........47 to 57 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............75 to 85 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 18 to 22 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 25 mph increasing to
around 35 mph after midnight.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (45-55 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........62 to 72 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 7 to 11 degs.
* Min Humidity.............47 to 57 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 26 to 30 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 35 to 40 mph.
* Mixing height............5029 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 21 to 26 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (130754 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct). Slight chance
of showers.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........39 to 49 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 degs.
* Max Humidity.............86 to 96 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 11 to 15 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 15 mph in the evening
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 30 to 35 mph.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........62 to 72 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............38 to 48 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
* Mixing height............3638 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 9 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (50932 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 41 to 51. Highs 57 to 67. South wind around
20 mph. Minimum Humidity 47 to 57 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows 39 to 49. Highs 52 to 62. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 53 to 63 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 34 to
44. Highs 53 to 63. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 47 to 57 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 34 to 44.
Highs 56 to 66.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 35 to
45. Highs 57 to 67.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-161415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
1252 PM MST Sat Nov 15 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (45-55 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........46 to 56 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............69 to 79 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 11 to 15 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the
south after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 20 mph increasing to
around 30 mph after midnight.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (45-55 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........65 to 75 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 degs.
* Min Humidity.............45 to 55 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 22 to 26 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 15 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 35 to 40 mph.
* Mixing height............6136 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 20 knots increasing to southwest
30 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (184080 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (45-55 pct). Slight chance
of showers.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........39 to 49 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 degs.
* Max Humidity.............83 to 93 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 13 to 17 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 30 to 35 mph.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........61 to 71 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............41 to 51 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming southwest around 10
mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
* Mixing height............4575 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 7 to 10 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (45750 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 40 to 50. Highs 58 to 68. South wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 40 to 50 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows 40 to 50. Highs 52 to 62. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 53 to 63 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 34 to
44. Highs 52 to 62. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 45 to 55 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 33 to 43.
Highs 54 to 64.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 34 to
44. Highs 57 to 67.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-161415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
1252 PM MST Sat Nov 15 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (45-55 pct). Slight chance
of showers.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........40 to 50 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............71 to 81 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 18 to 22 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........51 to 61 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 7 to 11 degs.
* Min Humidity.............59 to 69 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 33 to 37 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 30 to 35 mph.
* Mixing height............4890 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 18 to 27 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (132030 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (45-55 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........10 pct.
* Min Temperature..........33 to 43 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 degs.
* Max Humidity.............84 to 94 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 14 to 18 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 25 to 30 mph.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........49 to 59 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............48 to 58 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming southwest around 10
mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............4078 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 9 to 10 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (40780 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 34 to 44. Highs 46 to 56. South wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 53 to 63 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers, snow showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 32 to 42. Highs 40 to 50.
Light winds. Minimum Humidity 66 to 76 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of snow showers and slight
chance of showers. Lows 26 to 36. Highs 42 to 52. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 54 to 64 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain and snow showers.
Lows 26 to 36. Highs 42 to 52.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain and snow
showers. Lows 28 to 38. Highs 48 to 58.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-161415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
1252 PM MST Sat Nov 15 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........43 to 53 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............68 to 78 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 19 to 23 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 20 mph increasing to
around 35 mph after midnight.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........10 pct.
* Max Temperature..........55 to 65 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 degs.
* Min Humidity.............51 to 61 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 26 to 30 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 35 to 40 mph.
* Mixing height............7576 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 28 to 33 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (231068 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (45-55 pct). Slight chance
of showers.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........36 to 46 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 degs.
* Max Humidity.............83 to 93 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 11 to 15 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 30 to 35 mph.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........53 to 63 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............45 to 55 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
* Mixing height............4856 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 13 to 16 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (70412 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 38 to 48. Highs 49 to 59. South wind around
20 mph. Minimum Humidity 50 to 60 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows 36 to 46. Highs 43 to 53. Southwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 63 to 73 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain and snow
showers. Lows 30 to 40. Highs 44 to 54. Light winds. Minimum
Humidity 56 to 66 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 30 to 40.
Highs 46 to 56.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain and snow
showers. Lows 32 to 42. Highs 48 to 58.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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