Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
822
FNUS55 KTWC 162036
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
136 PM MST Thu Oct 16 2025
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
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.DISCUSSION...
Minimum RH values will be in the 20-30 percent range in the
valleys into next week. 20-foot winds mainly 15 mph or less, with
occasional gusts to 20-25 mph. High temperatures will be below
normal through Saturday, warming to near normal levels Sunday into
next week. The next chance of precipitation will be around next
Tuesday/Wednesday with a slight (~10%) chance of showers.
AZZ150-171415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
136 PM MST Thu Oct 16 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (5-15 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........50 to 60 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............54 to 64 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 11 to 15 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..North around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (10-20 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........73 to 83 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............22 to 32 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 10 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............7532 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 6 knots shifting to the west 7
knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (52724 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (10-20 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........51 to 61 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............45 to 55 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (5-15 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........76 to 86 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............18 to 28 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............5629 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Northeast 6 to 8 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (45032 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 52 to 62. Highs 81 to 91. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 15 to 25 pct.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 54 to 64. Highs 82 to 92. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 14 to 24 pct.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 55 to 65. Highs 82 to 92. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 14 to 24 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 56 to 66. Highs 79 to 89.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 53 to 63. Highs 78 to 88.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-171415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
136 PM MST Thu Oct 16 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (5-15 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........45 to 55 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............72 to 82 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 12 to 16 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (15-25 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........68 to 78 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............30 to 40 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming southwest around 10
mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............7060 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 7 to 11 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (77660 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (10-20 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........44 to 54 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............60 to 70 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 11 to 15 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (10-20 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........71 to 81 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............23 to 33 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............5487 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Northeast 6 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Fair (32922 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 46 to 56. Highs 76 to 86. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 18 to 28 pct.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 48 to 58. Highs 77 to 87. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 17 to 27 pct.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 49 to 59. Highs 77 to 87. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 20 to 30 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 50 to 60. Highs 75 to 85.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 47 to 57. Highs 74 to 84.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-171415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
136 PM MST Thu Oct 16 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (5-15 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........45 to 55 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............69 to 79 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (10-20 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........68 to 78 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............30 to 40 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............6058 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 8 to 12 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (72696 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (15-25 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........44 to 54 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............60 to 70 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (10-20 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........70 to 80 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............22 to 32 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............4848 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........North 6 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Fair (29088 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 45 to 55. Highs 74 to 84. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 20 to 30 pct.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 47 to 57. Highs 76 to 86. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 17 to 27 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 47 to 57. Highs 74 to 84. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 20 to 30 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 48 to 58. Highs 73 to 83.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 46 to 56. Highs 72 to 82.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-171415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
136 PM MST Thu Oct 16 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (5-15 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........37 to 47 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............61 to 71 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 15 to 19 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (10-20 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........58 to 68 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............32 to 42 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming southwest around 10
mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............6430 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 8 to 10 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (64300 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (15-25 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........36 to 46 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............54 to 64 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the
north after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (5-15 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........63 to 73 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............19 to 29 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 10 to 14 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............5450 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........North 7 to 8 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (43600 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 40 to 50. Highs 65 to 75. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 18 to 28 pct.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 40 to 50. Highs 68 to 78. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 15 to 25 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 40 to 50. Highs 65 to 75. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 17 to 27 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 42 to
52. Highs 63 to 73.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 40 to 50. Highs 62 to 72.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-171415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
136 PM MST Thu Oct 16 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (5-15 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........41 to 51 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............67 to 77 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 15 mph increasing to
around 25 mph after midnight.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (10-20 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........59 to 69 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............37 to 47 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............6176 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 10 to 12 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (67936 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (10-20 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........40 to 50 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............57 to 67 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (10-20 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........61 to 71 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............28 to 38 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............4959 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........North 6 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Fair (29754 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 43 to 53. Highs 65 to 75. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 22 to 32 pct.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 45 to 55. Highs 67 to 77. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 20 to 30 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 45 to 55. Highs 66 to 76. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 23 to 33 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 45 to 55. Highs 65 to 75.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 43 to 53. Highs 63 to 73.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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