Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
242
FNUS55 KTWC 300918
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
218 AM MST Mon Jun 30 2025
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
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.DISCUSSION...Hot today with minimum relative humidities from 10
to 20 percent. There is enough mid level moisture for isolated to
scattered mainly dry thunderstorms especially across Cochise, Graham
and Greenlee Counties this afternoon and this evening. These will
produce gusty outflow winds up to around 50 mph. As additional
moisture moves in Tuesday, min RH`s increase to 15 to 30 percent
with isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms for most of
southeast Arizona. There will be an increase in wetting rain under
the storm cores Tuesday compared to today. Even higher moisture
levels move in for Wednesday and Thursday when some of the
thunderstorms have the potential for locally heavy rain. Some drying
will tend to lower thunderstorm chances to around 20 to 40 percent
Friday into the weekend. Winds generally light and under 15 mph
with isolated gusts up to around 50 mph in/near any thunderstorms.
AZZ150-302215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
218 AM MST Mon Jun 30 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (10-20 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (25-35 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........105 to 115 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............6 to 14 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming northwest around 10
mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............17377 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Northwest 8 to 10 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (173770 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........76 to 86 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............31 to 41 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 13 to 17 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 15 mph shifting to the
south after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (5-15 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (25-35 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........101 to 111 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 degs.
* Min Humidity.............15 to 25 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............11442 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 13 to 18 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (205956 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 75 to 85. Highs 94 to 104. South wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 20 to 30 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 71 to 81. Highs 88 to 98. South wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 28 to 38 pct.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 69 to 79. Highs 91 to 101. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 20 to 30 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 69 to 79. Highs 93 to 103.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 70 to 80. Highs 96 to 106.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-302215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
218 AM MST Mon Jun 30 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (0-10 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (30-40 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........98 to 108 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............9 to 19 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East around 10 mph shifting to the north
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............16902 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........East 9 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (152118 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........67 to 77 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............49 to 59 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 20 to 24 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (5-15 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........30 pct.
* Max Temperature..........93 to 103 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 degs.
* Min Humidity.............20 to 30 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............11366 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 13 to 18 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (204588 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
67 to 77. Highs 87 to 97. South wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 25 to 35 pct.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 64 to 74. Highs 81 to 91. Southwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 37 to 47 pct.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms and
slight chance of showers. Lows 62 to 72. Highs 83 to 93. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 25 to 35 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 87 to 97.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 64 to 74. Highs 91 to 101.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-302215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
218 AM MST Mon Jun 30 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (10-20 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........96 to 106 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............9 to 19 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............12804 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........East 12 to 13 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (166452 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (45-55 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 pct). Areas of
blowing dust. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............52 to 62 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 18 to 22 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. East 15 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (20-30 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (45-55 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........30 pct.
* Max Temperature..........89 to 99 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 degs.
* Min Humidity.............19 to 29 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. Southeast 15 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............8604 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........East 17 to 22 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (189288 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
67 to 77. Highs 87 to 97. Southeast wind around 20 mph. Minimum
Humidity 24 to 34 pct.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 64 to 74. Highs 82 to 92. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 31 to 41 pct.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 85 to 95. West wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 21 to 31 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 89 to 99.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 65 to 75. Highs 92 to 102.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-302215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
218 AM MST Mon Jun 30 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (0-10 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........86 to 96 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............11 to 21 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East around 10 mph shifting to the south
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 10 mph shifting to the
south in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............14413 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........East 11 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (201782 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (25-35 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........57 to 67 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............57 to 67 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 27 to 31 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (10-20 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........79 to 89 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 degs.
* Min Humidity.............27 to 37 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 13 to 17 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............6145 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 12 to 17 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (104465 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 57 to 67.
Highs 76 to 86. East wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 32 to
42 pct.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 56 to 66. Highs 73 to 83. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 36 to 46 pct.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 56 to 66. Highs 77 to 87.
Northwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 20 to 30 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 56 to 66. Highs 81 to 91.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 58 to 68. Highs 84 to 94.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-302215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
218 AM MST Mon Jun 30 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (5-15 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (30-40 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........86 to 96 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............14 to 24 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 5 mph shifting to the
east in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............15602 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........East 9 to 11 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (156020 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (45-55 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (30-40 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........60 to 70 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 degs.
* Max Humidity.............55 to 65 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 26 to 30 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. East 15 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (15-25 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (45-55 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........30 pct.
* Max Temperature..........80 to 90 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 degs.
* Min Humidity.............28 to 38 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 13 to 17 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. East 15 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............10993 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........East 16 to 20 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (197874 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 61 to 71.
Highs 76 to 86. Southeast wind around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity
32 to 42 pct.
.THURSDAY...Thunderstorms likely and chance of showers. Lows
59 to 69. Highs 71 to 81. Southwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 43 to 53 pct.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 58 to 68. Highs 74 to 84. West wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 30 to 40 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 78 to 88.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 82 to 92.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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