Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
627
FNUS55 KTWC 111954
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
1252 PM MST Sat Oct 11 2025
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
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.DISCUSSION...Near normal high temperatures today will lower to
3-7 degrees below normal through all of next week. Tropical moisture
in place will result in widespread showers and isolated
thunderstorms through Monday. There will be the potential for
widespread rainfall totaling 1-2 inches across much of southeast
Arizona through Monday, with higher amounts along the International
Border. Drier conditions start to move in Tuesday. Minimum RH values
will be at least 35+ percent in the valley`s, with higher values in
the mountains into Tuesday. Min RH values lower into the 18-25
percent range in the valleys the second half of next week. 20-foot
sustained wind speeds will generally be 15 mph or less through next
week, with occasional gusts to 20-25 mph.
AZZ150-121415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
1252 PM MST Sat Oct 11 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (45-55 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........65 to 75 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............83 to 93 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 10 to 14 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 25 to 30 mph.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........77 to 87 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 6 to 10 degs.
* Min Humidity.............56 to 66 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 13 to 17 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............5841 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 11 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (64251 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........62 to 72 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............86 to 96 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South around 15 mph increasing to around
25 mph after midnight.
.COLUMBUS DAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........40 pct.
* Max Temperature..........75 to 85 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............50 to 60 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 25 to 30 mph.
* Mixing height............2961 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 19 to 25 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (74025 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 57 to 67. Highs 76 to 86. South
wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 36 to 46 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 53 to 63. Highs 74 to 84. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 31 to 41 pct.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 50 to 60. Highs 72 to 82. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 23 to 33 pct.
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 48 to 58. Highs 73 to 83.
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 48 to 58. Highs 75 to 85.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-121415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
1252 PM MST Sat Oct 11 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (70-80 pct). Showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........80 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........58 to 68 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............88 to 98 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 14 to 18 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 25 to 30 mph.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (70-80 pct). Showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........70 to 80 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 6 to 10 degs.
* Min Humidity.............63 to 73 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 15 to 19 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............3890 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 7 to 10 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Fair (38900 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (70-80 pct). Showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........80 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........56 to 66 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............89 to 99 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
.COLUMBUS DAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (70-80 pct). Showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........68 to 78 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............64 to 74 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 20 mph increasing to
around 30 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............1502 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 12 to 16 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Fair (24032 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 52 to 62. Highs 72 to 82. South
wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 43 to 53 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 50 to 60. Highs 73 to 83. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 35 to 45 pct.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 45 to 55. Highs 69 to 79. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 29 to 39 pct.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 42 to 52. Highs 68 to 78.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 42 to 52. Highs 70 to 80.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-121415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
1252 PM MST Sat Oct 11 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (75-85 pct). Showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........80 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........58 to 68 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............87 to 97 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 20 to 24 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 20 to 25 mph.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (70-80 pct). Showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........69 to 79 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 degs.
* Min Humidity.............62 to 72 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 12 to 16 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............3394 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 7 to 12 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (40728 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (70-80 pct). Showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........56 to 66 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............88 to 98 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
.COLUMBUS DAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (70-80 pct). Showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........67 to 77 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............64 to 74 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
* Mixing height............1444 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 11 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Fair (20216 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 53 to 63. Highs 72 to 82. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 45 to 55 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 52 to 62. Highs 74 to 84. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 35 to 45 pct.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 47 to 57. Highs 70 to 80. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 28 to 38 pct.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 42 to 52. Highs 67 to 77.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 42 to 52. Highs 69 to 79.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-121415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
1252 PM MST Sat Oct 11 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (60-70 pct). Showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........49 to 59 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............88 to 98 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 12 to 16 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 25 to 30 mph.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (70-80 pct). Showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........62 to 72 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............60 to 70 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming southwest around 10
mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............6053 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 8 to 12 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (72636 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (70-80 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........49 to 59 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............89 to 99 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
.COLUMBUS DAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (80-90 pct). Showers and
chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........80 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........57 to 67 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 degs.
* Min Humidity.............76 to 86 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 13 to 17 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 20 to 25 mph.
* Mixing height............3788 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 14 to 19 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (71972 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 47 to 57. Highs 63 to 73. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 53 to 63 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 47 to 57. Highs 64 to 74. South
wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 41 to 51 pct.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 41 to 51. Highs 60 to 70. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 28 to 38 pct.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 34 to 44. Highs 58 to 68.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 35 to 45. Highs 61 to 71.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-121415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
1252 PM MST Sat Oct 11 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (75-85 pct). Showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........80 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........52 to 62 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Max Humidity.............88 to 98 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 14 to 18 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 20 to 25 mph.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (75-85 pct). Showers and
chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........80 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........59 to 69 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 6 to 10 degs.
* Min Humidity.............71 to 81 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 19 to 23 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............6102 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 8 to 10 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (54918 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (80-90 pct). Showers and
chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........80 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........51 to 61 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............91 to 100 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
.COLUMBUS DAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (75-85 pct). Showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........80 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........57 to 67 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............73 to 83 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 20 mph increasing to
around 30 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............3880 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 14 to 19 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (64020 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 48 to 58. Highs 63 to 73. South
wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 52 to 62 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 47 to 57. Highs 65 to 75. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 41 to 51 pct.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 43 to 53. Highs 60 to 70. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 36 to 46 pct.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 39 to 49. Highs 58 to 68.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 39 to 49. Highs 60 to 70.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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