707
FNUS75 KTWC 190017
FWSTWC

Spot Forecast for Foote Fire...U.S Forest Service
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
517 PM MST Tue Jun 18 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2000 MST on June 18.
.DISCUSSION...

Afternoon breeziness out of the southwest will continue through
tomorrow with gusts to around 20 mph. A pattern shift will turn
wind directions at the forecast site to the southeast late Wednesday
night, most likely after midnight. Winds will remain southeasterly
and increase during the day Thursday. It`s looking increasingly likely
that the stronger southeasterly flow along similarly oriented terrain may aid
in producing some gustier winds. Current forecast includes gusts up to
35 mph but this will need to be watched. Additionally, this southeasterly
flow will bring moisture into the area starting Thursday. Chances for
thunderstorms increase Thursday afternoon, with potential for strong, erratic
outflow winds and lightning. This increasing moisture will begin to raise
minimum and overnight relative humidities starting tomorrow night.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....57-60 degrees.
Max humidity........34-37 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 7 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 10 knots.

.JUNETEENTH...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....84-87 degrees.
Min humidity........9-12 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 8 mph in the morning becoming
south 10 to 14 mph with gusts to around 20 mph in
the afternoon.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL increasing to 11800 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 19 knots.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....58-61 degrees.
Max humidity........62-65 percent.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 8 mph in the evening then becoming
southeast 10 to 14 mph in the late overnight hours.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6500 ft AGL decreasing to 100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 14 knots.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny. Chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent increasing to 30 percent in the late
                    afternoon.
LAL.................3.
Max temperature.....82-85 degrees.
Min humidity........26-29 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.
Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL increasing to 10400 ft
                    AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 18 to 24 knots.

$$
Forecaster...EDWARDS
Requested by...Tyler Hall
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416297.1/TWC
.DELDT 06/18/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL azsdc@firenet.gov

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