992
FNUS75 KTWC 111728
FWSTWC

Spot Forecast for MULE DEER...USFS
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
1028 AM MST Tue Aug 11 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1000 MST on August 11.

.DISCUSSION...

Today, high temperatures around 86 degrees with minimum RH around 40%.
Winds will be generally west at 8 to 15 mph gusting to 20 mph. Winds
will peak between 1500 and 1800 MST. 40-60% chance for showers and
thunderstorms this afternoon into the evening. Gusty and erratic winds
are forecast with any storms that develop. Tonight, low temperature in
the upper 60s with a maximum RH around 80%. Winds will shift to the
south to southwest at 5 to 10 mph overnight. There is a chance showers
and storms to continue into the overnight hours.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Slight chance of thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon, then showers and thunderstorms
                    likely late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent increasing to 60 percent.
Max temperature.....86-89 degrees.
Min humidity........39-42 percent.
20-foot winds.......West winds 8 to 15 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (21500 knot-ft) increasing to good (65900
                    knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to
                    very good (70100 knot-ft) in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL increasing to 6400 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 7 to 12 knots.

TIME (MST)      10 AM     1 PM      4 PM
Sky (%).........13        16        43
Weather cov.....          S CHC     S CHC
Weather type....NONE      RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........          S CHC     S CHC
CWR.............0         10        20
Temp............80        86        87
RH..............55        43        40
20 FT wind......W 6G10    W 8G13    W 10G16
Mix hgt (ft)....3100      5600      6400
Transport wind..W 7       W 9       W 11
Vrate kt-ft/1K..22        51        70
Ventrate Cat....FAIR      GOOD      VYGD

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Thunderstorms likely in the
                    evening. Showers likely through the night.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....67-70 degrees.
Max humidity........77-80 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph shifting to the
                    south 5 to 10 mph overnight. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (52000 knot-ft) decreasing to poor (2000
                    knot-ft).
Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL decreasing to 500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 11 knots.

TIME (MST)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
Sky (%).........75        67        52        64
Weather cov.....LIKELY    CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........LIKELY    CHANCE    S CHC     S CHC
CWR.............60        50        30        40
Temp............84        77        73        70
RH..............45        56        67        71
20 FT wind......SW 10G16  SW 5G6    S 6G8     SW 4G6
Mix hgt (ft)....4700      700       500       500
Transport wind..W 11      SW 9      SW 6      SW 6
Vrate kt-ft/1K..52        7         3         3
Ventrate Cat....GOOD      POOR      POOR      POOR

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Thunderstorms likely in the
afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent decreasing to 40 percent.
Max temperature.....80-83 degrees.
Min humidity........52-55 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2000 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to marginal (9200 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to fair (26300 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL increasing to 4100 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 4 to 5 knots shifting to the west 6
                    to 11 knots in the late morning and afternoon.

TIME (MST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........77        86        71        80
Weather cov.....LIKELY    CHANCE    LIKELY    LIKELY
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........S CHC     S CHC     CHANCE    LIKELY
CWR.............60        50        60        70
Temp............68        74        78        81
RH..............78        71        59        53
20 FT wind......S 4G6     W 6G7     W 7G10    W 9G14
Mix hgt (ft)....500       1800      3500      3900
Transport wind..S 4       W 6       W 8       W 10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2         9         25        27
Ventrate Cat....POOR      MRGL      FAIR      FAIR

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in
the lower 80s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...
Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...
Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper 80s. Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...Malarkey
Requested by...SARAH TOLSON
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2619398.1/TWC
.DELDT 08/11/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL AZTDC@FIRENET.GOV,amberclad@cox.net

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