Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Rapid City, SD
Issued by NWS Rapid City, SD
585
FNUS73 KUNR 162217
FWSUNR
Spot Forecast for Sherwood RX...WYNCD
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
317 PM MST Sun Nov 16 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1800 MST on November 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...Cloud cover will increase through tonight with chances
for rain (20 to 25%) after 0100 MST. Fair to good RH recovery
overnight (60 to 73%) with maximum RH attained at around dawn.
Winds will be light and generally from the southeast.
Chances for rain over the forecast site increase through tomorrow
morning (50 to 75%) remaining light and generally out of the
north. Rain amounts through tomorrow afternoon will be less than
0.1" (chance of wetting rain is around 30%). Chances for rain will
continue through tomorrow evening with overnight humidities
recovering to around 93%. Rain should taper off after 2200-2300
MST tomorrow night.
Dry on Tuesday with highs at around 50. Winds will remain light
and generally out of the west.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
overnight. Slight chance of rain after 3 am.
Min temperature.....Around 44.
Max humidity........73 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 10 mph with gusts to
around 17 mph shifting to the northeast after 3
am.
CWR.................15 percent.
Mixing height.......500 to 1000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 mph shifting to the south
around 10 mph after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
TIME (MST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........7 17 23 27 30 46 57 61 75 85 83 94
Weather cov..... CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
Weather type.... RN RN RN RN RN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
Temp............50 49 49 48 47 48 48 47 47 46 44 44
RH..............50 51 53 56 58 56 56 60 60 63 73 73
20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E NE NE
20 FT wind spd..8 9 9 10 9 9 8 8 8 6 5 2
20 FT wind gust.16 17 17 16 15 14 13 12 12 9 9 8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8
Transp wind dir.E E E E E E SE SE SE SE S S
Transp wind spd.14 15 16 16 15 14 13 13 12 12 10 9
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain.
Max temperature.....Around 46.
Min humidity........82 to 86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
north with gusts to around 14 mph in the late
morning and afternoon.
CWR.................55 percent.
Mixing height.......1500 to 2000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the north
in the morning and early afternoon, then
becoming around 10 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
TIME (MST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........91 93 91 91 88 89 93 93 94 93 90 87
Weather cov.....SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY CHC
Weather type....RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50
Temp............44 44 44 44 44 44 45 46 46 46 45 44
RH..............76 76 79 82 86 89 86 83 83 83 82 86
20 FT wind dir..NE E E NE N NW NW N N N N N
20 FT wind spd..2 2 3 5 6 7 7 6 5 5 5 5
20 FT wind gust.8 8 7 8 9 9 12 13 14 14 13 13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.7 0.6 0.9 1.3 1.6 1.7 1.8 2.0 1.7 1.4 1.1
Transp wind dir.SE NE N N N N N N N N N N
Transp wind spd.8 7 7 7 8 9 10 10 12 12 10 10
.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 38.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph with gusts to
around 12 mph shifting to the north after 3 am.
CWR.................20 percent.
Mixing height.......500 to 1000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
TIME (MST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........70 61 84 69 69 69 63 57 51 52 52 53
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RN RN RN RN RN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
Temp............43 42 42 42 41 41 41 41 40 39 39 38
RH..............89 93 89 89 93 89 89 86 89 92 89 92
20 FT wind dir..N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N N
20 FT wind spd..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 3
20 FT wind gust.12 12 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 9 9
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.1 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.N N NW NW NW NW NW N N N N N
Transp wind spd.10 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 8
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 49.
Min humidity........68 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds will generally be out of the west at 3 to
5 mph, gusting to 12 mph in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......3100 to 3600 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the south
late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
TIME (MST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........51 49 47 46 45 44 49 53 58 63 68 73
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............38 39 40 42 44 46 48 49 49 48 47 46
RH..............92 89 89 86 82 79 74 71 68 71 71 73
20 FT wind dir..N NW NW NW W W W W W W W SW
20 FT wind spd..3 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 5 3 3 2
20 FT wind gust.9 8 8 8 9 10 12 12 12 10 8 7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 1.1 1.7 2.4 2.8 3.2 3.6 3.1 2.6 2.1
Transp wind dir.N NW NW NW W W W W W W SW S
Transp wind spd.7 7 7 7 8 8 9 9 9 8 7 6
$$
Forecaster...EW
Requested by...Hanje - GPC
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525956.4/UNR
.DELDT 11/16/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL sdgpc@firenet.gov