Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Rapid City, SD
Issued by NWS Rapid City, SD
545
FNUS73 KUNR 021114
FWSUNR
Spot Forecast for Schenk RX Unit 4...USFS
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
514 AM MDT Fri Oct 2 2026
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 MDT on October 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...Conditions over the planned burn area for the next
week or so are generally expected to be mild and dry.
Daily highs will reach into the upper 60s to mid 70s with
afternoon humidities ranging from 30 to 50%. Breezy winds are expected
for Saturday and Sunday, but winds in the upcoming week are expected
to be lighter.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest late in the afternoon. Gusts up to 20
mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......2400 to 2900 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph shifting to the
southwest late in the morning, then shifting to
the southeast late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
TIME (MDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........18 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............44 47 52 56 59 63 66 70 71 71 70
RH..............74 72 69 62 60 54 48 41 39 39 39
20 FT wind dir..E SE SE S S S SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..10 8 6 5 5 7 7 7 7 7 5
20 FT wind gust.20 16 13 12 12 13 14 14 15 14 12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 0.9 1.3 1.5 1.7 2.0 2.3 2.9 2.2 1.6
Transp wind dir.E SE SE S SW SW SW W W SW SE
Transp wind spd.15 13 12 10 12 12 13 13 13 12 10
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 53.
Max humidity........55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 10 mph with gusts to around 12
mph shifting to the northeast with gusts to
around 13 mph early in the evening, then
decreasing to around 5 mph overnight increasing
to northeast around 5 mph after 3 am.
CWR.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......400 to 900 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph shifting to the north
overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........18 18 20 16 15 14 14 15 16 16 16 15
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............67 63 61 59 58 58 57 56 55 55 54 54
RH..............45 48 51 51 49 49 51 53 55 55 55 55
20 FT wind dir..SE E E NE NE E NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT wind spd..5 6 6 7 7 5 3 3 3 3 5 5
20 FT wind gust.10 12 13 13 12 10 9 9 9 9 9 9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.E E E E E NE NE NE N N N N
Transp wind spd.9 9 12 12 10 9 8 7 8 8 8 9
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 5 mph with gusts to around
12 mph shifting to the northwest 10 to 15 mph
with gusts to around 24 mph in the late morning
and afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......6600 to 7100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 20 mph shifting to the northwest 20
to 25 mph late in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Good increasing to very good in the afternoon.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........9 13 14 7 4 18 17 14 14 29 12 11
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............53 54 56 62 66 69 71 72 73 73 72 68
RH..............54 52 53 46 37 33 31 29 27 27 27 29
20 FT wind dir..NE N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT wind spd..5 5 5 6 7 10 13 14 15 15 14 9
20 FT wind gust.9 12 12 13 14 17 20 21 23 24 22 21
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 2.5 4.1 5.8 6.3 6.7 7.1 5.0 2.9
Transp wind dir.N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
Transp wind spd.9 10 13 15 17 20 22 23 24 23 21 18
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. East
winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...
Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. North winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s.
North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.
.THURSDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
$$
Forecaster...EW
Requested by...Hayden Hoelscher
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2622863.1/UNR
.DELDT 10/02/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL hayden.hoelscher@usda.gov