Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Rapid City, SD

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231
FNUS73 KUNR 311807
FWSUNR

Spot Forecast for Antihorse Alpha...USFS
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
1207 PM MDT Sat Oct 31 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1400 MDT on October 31.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Light and terrain driven winds this morning will
become out of the south to southeast late in the morning, with
gusts up to around 15 mph in the afternoon. Min RH is only
expected to drop to around 55-60 percent this afternoon, with
excellent RH recovery (>90 percent) is expected tonight and Sunday
night. Cloudy conditions are expected through the period, however
wetting rain is not forecasted until Sunday night and into Monday.
Winds will also increase significantly on Monday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 57.
Min humidity........59 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 10 mph with gusts to around
                    17 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......2700 to 3200 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair.

TIME (MDT)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........70  69  71  88
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0
Temp............56  56  55  52
RH..............66  64  66  71
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..10  8   7   6
20 FT wind gust.17  17  15  13
Mix hgt (kft)...2.1 3.2 2.1 1.2
Transp wind dir.S   SW  S   S
Transp wind spd.17  15  13  12

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 39.
Max humidity........89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph becoming around 5
                    mph late in the evening, then shifting to the
                    south late in the evening shifting to the west
                    after 3 am shifting to the north.
CWR.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......500 to 1000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph shifting to the southwest
                    overnight, then shifting to the south early in
                    the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........92  75  59  42  20  18  36  37  38  57  50  44
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............49  47  46  46  46  45  45  45  44  43  42  42
RH..............80  86  89  89  89  89  89  86  89  86  89  86
20 FT wind dir..S   SE  SE  E   SE  SE  S   S   S   W   N   N
20 FT wind spd..6   5   5   5   5   3   3   3   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.10  9   9   10  10  9   8   8   7   7   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  W   SW  S
Transp wind spd.9   9   9   9   8   8   7   6   6   6   6   6

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 57.
Min humidity........59 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    east early in the morning, then shifting to the
                    southeast 5 to 15 mph with gusts to around 29
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......2600 to 3100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph increasing to 30 to 35
                    mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........38  59  58  35  55  61  85  79  65  71  77  82
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............42  40  42  45  49  52  54  54  55  55  56  53
RH..............82  89  86  79  71  66  59  61  59  61  59  69
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  E   SE  SE  S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   3   5   7   8   10  12  12  12  12
20 FT wind gust.7   7   8   9   13  16  20  22  25  26  28  29
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 1.1 1.7 2.4 2.6 2.9 3.1 2.5 1.8
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   8   13  20  25  29  31  31  30  28

$$
Forecaster...AW
Requested by...Madison Tolley
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2624590.7/UNR
.DELDT 10/31/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL brice.stanton@usda.gov,todd.hoover@usda.gov,madison.tolley@usda.gov