Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Rapid City, SD

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900
FNUS73 KUNR 021441
FWSUNR

Spot Forecast for Carex Machine...USFS
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
741 AM MST Tue Dec 2 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 MST on December 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Light snow is expected much of today and overnight
tonight, ending by early Wednesday morning. Snowfall amounts look
to be in the 2-3 inch range today, with an additional 2-3 inches
expected overnight. Winds will be fairly steady out of the west
today and tonight, with some gusts close to 20 mph. The strongest
winds look to be during the mid day hours today. Temperatures will
remain around 30 degrees today, with temps slowly falling this
evening and overnight as the storm shifts east.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Snow likely.
Max temperature.....Around 32.
Min humidity........89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 9 to 14 mph with gusts to around
                    20 mph.
CWR.................70 percent.
Mixing height.......1600 to 2000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 20 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.

TIME (MST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........86  87  88  86  92  99  94  92
Weather cov.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF LKY LKY
Weather type....SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............70  70  70  70  70  70  70  70
Temp............28  29  30  32  31  30  28  27
RH..............100 100 100 89  92  96  96  100
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..8   8   9   9   9   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.20  21  21  21  21  21  21  20
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.5 0.9
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.29  30  31  32  32  29  25  23

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Snow likely in the
                    evening and overnight, then chance of snow
                    after 3 am. Slight chance of snow early in the
                    morning.
Min temperature.....Around 13.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 9 to 14 mph with gusts to
                    around 20 mph.
CWR.................60 percent.
Mixing height.......500 to 1000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

TIME (MST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........93  95  93  92  92  92  94  96  95  90  89  90
Weather cov.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC SCH
Weather type....SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  50  40
Temp............26  26  26  26  25  25  22  19  16  14  13  13
RH..............100 100 100 96  96  92  100 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..9   10  10  10  10  10  9   9   9   8   8   7
20 FT wind gust.21  21  21  21  21  20  20  20  18  18  17  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.22  21  22  22  23  22  21  18  16  16  16  15

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    snow in the morning.
Max temperature.....Around 21.
Min humidity........77 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the
                    west late in the afternoon. Gusts up to 15 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......2500 to 3000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

TIME (MST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........90  86  82  76  73  69  62  54  47  45  44  42
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....SN  SN  SN  SN  SN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............13  13  14  15  16  17  18  19  19  17  16  14
RH..............96  96  88  84  80  77  77  77  77  80  84  88
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   SW
20 FT wind spd..7   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.15  14  13  12  12  12  12  13  13  13  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 0.9 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 2.2 1.3 0.5
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW
Transp wind spd.14  13  13  12  13  13  13  12  12  12  13  14

$$
Forecaster...SR
Requested by...Brandon Fischer
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2526840.0/UNR
.DELDT 12/02/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL brandon.fischer@usda.gov