Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Rapid City, SD
Issued by NWS Rapid City, SD
087
FNUS73 KUNR 031913
FWSUNR
Spot Forecast for Schenk RX Unit 4...USFS
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
113 PM MDT Sat Oct 3 2026
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1300 MDT on October 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...Updated with observations. Warm and dry conditions
are expected over the planned burn area through the next week.
Highs will generally be in the 70s with minimum humidities
ranging from 20 to 30 percent. Winds for the upcoming week are
expected to be light.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 10 mph with gusts to
around 15 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......5600 to 6100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.
TIME (MDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........8 7 7 6 3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0
Temp............75 74 73 71 68
RH..............28 28 28 29 32
20 FT wind dir..NW NW NW NW N
20 FT wind spd..10 10 9 8 6
20 FT wind gust.15 15 13 12 10
Mix hgt (kft)...5.0 5.3 6.1 4.8 4.1
Transp wind dir.NW NW NW NW NW
Transp wind spd.20 18 16 15 15
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (5-20 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 48.
Max humidity........65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Diurnally driven winds. Light down valley/
downslope winds overnight.
CWR.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......400 to 900 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph shifting to the east around
10 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........6 6 10 20 20 20 19 18 12 10 10 10
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............63 58 54 52 51 50 50 49 48 47 47 47
RH..............35 42 48 52 52 54 54 58 60 65 65 65
20 FT wind dir..N N N N NE NE NE E E E E E
20 FT wind spd..6 5 4 4 4 3 2 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT wind gust.10 9 8 8 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.NW N N N NE E E E E E E E
Transp wind spd.15 14 13 12 10 8 6 6 7 8 8 8
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-20 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 2 to 6 mph shifting to the
south in the late morning and afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......3600 to 4100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........20 10 8 0 0 2 1 3 3 5 4 3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............50 50 53 58 61 68 70 72 72 74 77 75
RH..............59 58 55 48 43 42 40 36 34 31 30 33
20 FT wind dir..E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT wind spd..2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 5 5 5 4
20 FT wind gust.6 6 6 7 7 7 7 8 10 10 10 7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.7 2.1 2.5 3.0 3.6 4.1 2.9 1.7
Transp wind dir.E SE SE SE SE SE S S SE SE SE SE
Transp wind spd.8 7 7 8 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...
Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.
West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.
West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 70s.
South wind around 5 mph.
$$
Forecaster...BS
Requested by...Hayden Hoelscher
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2622863.2/UNR
.DELDT 10/03/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL hayden.hoelscher@usda.gov