015
FNUS73 KUNR 152338
FWSUNR

Spot Forecast for Sherwood RX...WYNCD
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
438 PM MST Sat Nov 15 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1600 MST on November 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...A weak frontal boundary directly over the fire will
result in light winds. Wind direction will vary from west to north
to east overnight due to this boundary. It will also result in
light transport winds and poor smoke dispersal. Weather conditions
on Sunday will be similar to what was observed today as
temperatures reach the lower 60s and minimum relative humidity
falls to around 45 percent. There is an increasing chance of
rainfall (probabilities greater than 55%) on Monday.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 42.
Max humidity........65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable winds around 3 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......500 to 1000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph shifting north than
                    east after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

TIME (MST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........5   5   11  8   10  17  31  33  40  43  35  46
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............48  47  45  44  44  43  43  43  42  42  43  43
RH..............50  53  57  62  62  65  62  62  62  62  62  62
20 FT wind dir..W   W   NW  NW  N   N   N   N   NE  NE  E   E
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   1   1   1   3
20 FT wind gust.6   8   8   10  10  10  9   8   7   5   5   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  W   N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  E   E
Transp wind spd.9   10  13  12  10  9   8   6   6   6   6   7

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southeast in the late morning and afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......2400 to 2900 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 12 mph shifting to the southeast 10
                    to 15 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair.

TIME (MST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........55  57  40  43  36  16  17  19  19  15  12  10
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............43  45  49  50  53  55  57  59  62  60  58  51
RH..............60  62  65  60  54  50  50  45  45  48  50  56
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..4   5   5   6   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   7
20 FT wind gust.6   7   7   10  11  12  12  13  13  13  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.4 0.4 1.1 1.9 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.1 1.5 0.9
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   SE  SE  S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.7   8   9   10  12  14  14  16  16  15  12  12

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain late in the evening. Rain likely early in
                    the morning.
Min temperature.....Around 40.
Max humidity........92 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 3 to 8 mph shifting to the
                    southwest after 3 am then shifting to the
                    west early in the morning.
CWR.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......500 to 1000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 13 to 18 mph shifting to the west
                    early in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

TIME (MST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........10  12  20  23  38  52  62  71  81  84  88  91
Weather cov.....                    SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH LKY
Weather type....                    RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............48  47  47  47  47  47  47  46  45  44  43  42
RH..............58  60  60  60  63  65  68  70  75  80  85  92
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   SW  W
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   1
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  9   9   7   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.3
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   SW  W
Transp wind spd.12  12  12  13  12  12  12  12  12  10  10  10


$$
Forecaster...MS
Requested by...Hanje - GPC
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525956.2/UNR
.DELDT 11/15/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL sdgpc@firenet.gov