Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Rapid City, SD
Issued by NWS Rapid City, SD
944
FNUS73 KUNR 142026
FWSUNR
Spot Forecast for Sherwood RX...WYNCD
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
126 PM MST Fri Nov 14 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1800 MST on November 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...A cold front will move through the fire area tonight
between 2100 and midnight. The main impact from the frontal
passage will be a shift in the winds to the northwest. Saturday
and Sunday will both be mild, with highs in the low 50s. Relative
humidity will be higher this weekend, only dropping to around 45
percent both days. A weather system will move across the area
Sunday night and Monday. This will bring a chance of rain and snow,
with the highest probability for precipitation (55-65%) occurring
on Monday.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
mostly clear (20-30 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers/sprinkles in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 44.
Max humidity........70 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 10 mph shifting to the
northwest in the late evening and overnight.
Gusts up to 20 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......500 to 1000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph shifting to the northwest in
the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
TIME (MST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........87 89 90 80 69 54 35 28 19 10 12 31
Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type.... RN RN RN RN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............56 56 54 53 52 51 49 46 45 44 44 44
RH..............36 45 48 40 52 54 58 65 68 70 68 65
20 FT wind dir..W W W W NW N N NW NW NW N N
20 FT wind spd..8 8 9 9 10 10 10 10 9 8 7 6
20 FT wind gust.21 16 16 17 17 17 16 16 16 16 16 14
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6
Transp wind dir.W W W W NW NW NW NW NW N N N
Transp wind spd.14 14 15 16 17 17 17 17 16 17 18 18
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 52.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 10 mph shifting to the west
in the late morning and afternoon, then
shifting to the north late in the afternoon.
Gusts up to 18 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......4200 to 4700 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph decreasing to around 10
mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
TIME (MST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........40 35 29 18 7 6 8 7 8 6 8 9
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............44 44 45 46 47 49 51 52 52 51 49 47
RH..............62 62 63 63 58 54 52 48 45 46 52 56
20 FT wind dir..N N N NW W W W W W W NW N
20 FT wind spd..6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 5
20 FT wind gust.13 10 12 12 13 15 15 16 18 16 13 10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 1.2 1.5 2.3 3.1 3.9 4.2 4.4 4.7 3.8 2.9 2.0
Transp wind dir.N N N NW NW W W W W NW NW NW
Transp wind spd.16 14 12 12 13 14 16 18 20 16 13 9
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 40.
Max humidity........67 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 5 mph shifting to the
northeast in the late evening and overnight,
then shifting to the east overnight.
CWR.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......500 to 1000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph shifting to the east
overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
TIME (MST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........8 15 11 24 23 22 24 26 28 40 51 63
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............46 45 45 44 44 43 42 41 41 40 40 40
RH..............58 58 55 58 58 60 62 65 65 67 67 67
20 FT wind dir..N N N NE NE NE NE E E E E E
20 FT wind spd..5 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2
20 FT wind gust.9 9 10 9 9 8 8 7 7 7 7 7
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.N N N N N N NE NE E E E E
Transp wind spd.8 9 9 8 8 7 7 6 6 7 7 7
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 55.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast with gusts to around 18 mph early in
the morning.
CWR.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......2100 to 2600 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 20 mph shifting to the south 15
to 20 mph late in the afternoon, then shifting
to the east late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
TIME (MST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........63 64 64 56 47 39 39 38 38 35 33 30
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............41 42 43 46 50 52 54 55 55 54 53 51
RH..............67 65 65 60 52 50 47 45 45 47 48 52
20 FT wind dir..E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E
20 FT wind spd..2 3 5 6 6 7 8 8 8 8 7 7
20 FT wind gust.8 9 10 13 14 16 17 18 18 17 17 16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 1.6 2.2 2.3 2.5 2.6 2.0 1.3 0.7
Transp wind dir.E E SE SE SE S S S S S SE E
Transp wind spd.8 8 9 13 15 17 17 17 16 15 14 14
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 37.
Max humidity........95 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast around 5 mph.
CWR.................20 percent.
Mixing height.......300 to 700 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South southeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
TIME (MST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID
Sky (%).........38 40 42 50 55 60 65
Weather cov..... CHC
Weather type.... RA
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 5
Temp............55 57 59 60 65 70 73
RH..............58 58 55 58 58 60 62
20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE SE SE S S
20 FT wind spd..5 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT wind gust.9 9 9 9 9 10 10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.SE SE SE S S S S
Transp wind spd.12 13 14 15 13 13 12
$$
Forecaster...MLS
Requested by...Hanje - GPC
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525956.0/UNR
.DELDT 11/14/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL sdgpc@firenet.gov