332
FNUS73 KUNR 161231
FWSUNR

Spot Forecast for Kicken Draw Fire...BLM
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
631 AM MDT Wed Jul 16 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 MDT on July 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Cool and moist weather is expected today and tonight. Warmer
weather with a drying trend starts Thursday, persisting into next
week. Gusty southeast winds are expected Thursday.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Patchy fog in
                    the morning and early afternoon. Rain showers
                    likely through early afternoon. Chance of thunderstorms
                    in the morning and early afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 64.
Min humidity........84 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 10 mph shifting to the
                    north in the afternoon. Gusts around 17 mph.
                    Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
                    the morning and early afternoon.
CWR.................60 percent.
Mixing height.......2800 to 3300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 mph shifting to the north
                    late in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair.

TIME (MDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........87  87  88  89  91  93  88  83  78  76  73
Weather cov.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60
Temp............57  58  58  59  60  60  61  62  63  63  63
RH..............100 100 100 100 99  96  93  90  84  84  84
20 FT wind dir..W   S   SW  W   NW  NW  N   N   N   N   NE
20 FT wind spd..7   9   9   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  9
20 FT wind gust.13  14  14  16  16  16  16  17  17  16  16
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.4 2.7 3.0 3.3 3.1 3.0
Transp wind dir.SE  S   S   SE  NE  N   N   N   N   N   NE
Transp wind spd.14  15  16  16  16  16  16  16  16  16  16

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Patchy fog.
Min temperature.....Around 49.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
                    southeast late in the evening. Gusts 20-25 mph
                    overnight.
CWR.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......1400 to 1900 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 15 mph shifting to the southeast 15
                    to 25 mph early in the evening, then increasing
                    to 25 to 30 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........71  76  81  87  83  79  75  77  78  80  83  87
Weather cov.....                                            PTY
Weather type....                                            FOG
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............62  59  57  54  53  53  52  51  51  50  49  49
RH..............84  93  100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  E   E   SE  SE  S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..9   9   9   9   9   10  10  12  13  14  15  15
20 FT wind gust.16  15  14  15  17  18  16  21  22  22  23  24
Mix hgt (kft)...2.8 2.3 1.9 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4
Transp wind dir.NE  E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.15  14  14  15  17  21  24  24  23  22  24  26

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Patchy fog early
                    in the morning.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts to
                    around 25 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......5600 to 6100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........90  79  70  74  65  48  30  25  19  14  12  11
Weather cov.....PTY PTY
Weather type....FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............50  52  55  58  61  64  68  73  78  81  83  83
RH..............100 100 100 96  90  84  76  66  56  51  48  48
20 FT wind dir..SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..16  17  17  17  17  17  17  16  16  15  15  14
20 FT wind gust.23  24  24  24  24  25  25  25  25  24  23  23
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.9 2.2 2.4 3.7 4.9 6.1 5.3 4.6
Transp wind dir.SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE
Transp wind spd.29  30  30  30  29  28  25  24  24  23  23  22

$$
Forecaster...EH
Requested by...Eric Mark
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2518107.0/UNR
.DELDT 07/16/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL eric_mark@fws.gov