Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Rapid City, SD
Issued by NWS Rapid City, SD
963 FNUS73 KUNR 152233 FWSUNR Spot Forecast for Creek Fire...Wyoming State Forestry Division National Weather Service Rapid City SD 433 PM MDT Sat Jun 15 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2300 MDT on June 15. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION...The chance for showers and thunderstorms has diminished for the day. However, a cold front will sweep across the burn area around 9 PM this evening with gusty northwest winds to about 35 mph. Dry and cooler weather expected Sunday, but a strong weather disturbance will bring a good chance for showers/storms Sunday night into Monday. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Decreasing clouds (15-25 percent), with cold front passage about 9 PM MDT. Min temperature.....Around 48. Max humidity........72 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest to west winds 10 to 20 mph, with gusts to 30 mph. Winds shifting northwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts to around 35 mph around 9 PM MDT. Winds slowly decreasing after midnight. CWR.................0 percent. LAL.................1. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......700 to 1200 ft agl. Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 30 mph, becoming northwest 25 to 40 mph after 9 PM MDT. Smoke dispersal.....Poor. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Max temperature.....Around 71. Min humidity........22 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the south in the afternoon. CWR.................0 percent. LAL.................1. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......4700 to 5200 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good. .SUNDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Min temperature.....Around 49. Max humidity........77 percent. Wind (20 ft)........East winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 20 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. CWR.................30 percent. LAL.................3. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......500 to 1000 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northeast around 20 mph increasing to east around 30 mph overnight. Smoke dispersal.....Poor. .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of rain showers in the afternoon. Max temperature.....Around 67. Min humidity........53 percent. Wind (20 ft)........East winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts to around 24 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the morning. CWR.................20 percent. LAL.................2 until 1200, then 1. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2000 to 2500 ft agl. Transport winds.....Southeast around 35 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good. $$ Forecaster...JJ Requested by...Jeremy Dedic Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2416066.4/UNR .DELDT 06/15/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL jeremy.dedic@wyo.gov