806
FGUS63 KKRF 311511
ESPURP

HYDROLOGIC ENSEMBLE FORECAST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER PLEASANT HILL MO
1511Z Fri Oct 31 2025

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**** THESE ARE 10 DAY FORECASTS PRODUCED WITH HEFS  ****

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Hydrologic Ensemble Forecast Service (HEFS) probabilities
are displayed in the table below. The table lists the flood
categories and probability of exceeding each category in the
next 10 days.

-- UPPER REPUBLICAN FORECAST GROUP --
                ISSUANCE       MINOR        MODERATE       MAJOR
               STG   PROB    STG   PROB    STG   PROB    STG   PROB
:BEAVER CR AT LUDELL KS
LDLK1 (GLD)    8.0   <5%     9.0   <5%     11.0  <5%     13.0  <5%
:BEAVER CR AT CEDAR BLUFFS KS
CDBK1 (GLD)    14.0  <5%     16.0  <5%     18.0  <5%     20.0  <5%
:BEAVER CR AT BEAVER CITY NE 4WSW
BEVN1 (GID)    9.0   <5%     11.0  <5%     13.0  <5%     15.0  <5%
:SAPPA CR AT OBERLIN KS 1SW
OBNK1 (GLD)    9.0   <5%     11.0  <5%     14.0  <5%     17.0  <5%
:SAPPA CR AT NORCATUR KS 15NE
NCRK1 (GLD)    16.0  <5%     17.0  <5%     20.0  <5%     22.0  <5%
:SAPPA CR AT BEAVER CITY NE 7SW
BVSN1 (GID)    14.0  <5%     16.0  <5%     18.0  <5%     20.0  <5%
:SAPPA CR AT STAMFORD NE 4E
STMN1 (GID)    17.0  <5%     19.0  <5%     22.0  <5%     26.0  <5%
:S FK REPUBLICAN R AT BENKELMAN NE
BEKN1 (GLD)    8.0   <5%     9.0   <5%     11.0  <5%     13.0  <5%
:ARIKAREE R AT HAIGLER NE
HAIN1 (GLD)    11.0  <5%     12.0  <5%     14.0  <5%     16.0  <5%
:REPUBLICAN R AT BENKELMAN NE 1SW
BENN1 (GLD)    6.0   <5%     7.0   <5%     9.0   <5%     11.0  <5%
:REPUBLICAN R AT STRATTON NE
STTN1 (GLD)    10.0  <5%     11.0  <5%     13.0  <5%     15.0  <5%
:FRENCHMAN CR AT PALISADE NE
PALN1 (LBF)    5.5   <5%     7.0   <5%     8.0   <5%     9.0   <5%
:STINKING WATER CR AT PALISADE NE 2NW
PASN1 (LBF)    7.5   <5%     10.0  <5%     11.0  <5%     12.0  <5%
:FRENCHMAN CR AT CULBERTSON NE
CULN1 (GLD)    7.0   <5%     8.0   <5%     10.0  <5%     12.0  <5%
:DRIFTWOOD CR AT MCCOOK NE 4SW
MCKN1 (GLD)    15.0  <5%     17.0  <5%     19.0  <5%     21.0  <5%
:REPUBLICAN R AT MCCOOK NE 1SE
MKRN1 (GLD)    8.0   <5%     9.0   <5%     11.0  <5%     13.0  <5%
:REPUBLICAN R AT CAMBRIDGE NE 1E
CAMN1 (GID)    8.0   <5%     9.0   <5%     10.0  <5%     16.0  <5%
:REPUBLICAN R AT ORLEANS NE 2W
ORNN1 (GID)    8.0   <5%     9.0   <5%     11.0  <5%     13.0  <5%
:PRAIRIE DOG CR AT WOODRUFF KS 3WSW
WDRK1 (GID)    17.0  <5%     19.0  <5%     24.0  <5%     30.0  <5%

:END OF MESSAGE

$$