377
FGUS63 KKRF 291511
ESPURP

HYDROLOGIC ENSEMBLE FORECAST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER PLEASANT HILL MO
1510Z Tue Sep 29 2026

********************************************************

**** THESE ARE 10 DAY FORECASTS PRODUCED WITH HEFS  ****

********************************************************

Hydrologic Ensemble Forecast Service (HEFS) probabilities
are displayed in the table below. The table lists the flood
categories and probability of exceeding each category in the
next 10 days.

-- UPPER REPUBLICAN FORECAST GROUP --
                ISSUANCE       MINOR        MODERATE       MAJOR
               STG   PROB    STG   PROB    STG   PROB    STG   PROB
:S FK REPUBLICAN R AT ST FRANCIS KS 14SW
SFAK1 (GLD)    8.0   22%     9.0   20%     NA    --      NA    --
:BEAVER CR AT CEDAR BLUFFS KS
CDBK1 (GLD)    14.0  27%     16.0  14%     18.0  8%      20.0  <5%
:BEAVER CR AT BEAVER CITY NE 4WSW
BEVN1 (GID)    9.0   87%     11.0  59%     13.0  12%     15.0  <5%
:SAPPA CR AT NORCATUR KS 15NE
NCRK1 (GLD)    16.0  83%     17.0  76%     20.0  23%     22.0  7%
:SAPPA CR AT BEAVER CITY NE 7SW
BVSN1 (GID)    14.0  53%     16.0  38%     18.0  13%     20.0  6%
:SAPPA CR AT STAMFORD NE 4E
STMN1 (GID)    17.0  40%     19.0  20%     22.0  <5%     26.0  <5%
:PRAIRIE DOG CR AT CLAYTON KS 4E
CLNK1 (GLD)    9.0   73%     11.0  63%     12.0  45%     14.0  21%
:S FK REPUBLICAN R AT BENKELMAN NE
BEKN1 (GLD)    8.0   9%      9.0   8%      11.0  7%      13.0  <5%
:ARIKAREE R AT HAIGLER NE
HAIN1 (GLD)    11.0  <5%     12.0  <5%     14.0  <5%     16.0  <5%
:REPUBLICAN R AT BENKELMAN NE 1SW
BENN1 (GLD)    6.0   28%     7.0   13%     9.0   <5%     11.0  <5%
:REPUBLICAN R AT STRATTON NE
STTN1 (GLD)    10.0  19%     11.0  18%     13.0  <5%     15.0  <5%
:FRENCHMAN CR AT PALISADE NE
PALN1 (LBF)    5.5   33%     7.0   22%     8.0   14%     9.0   9%
:STINKING WATER CR AT PALISADE NE 2NW
PASN1 (LBF)    7.5   <5%     10.0  <5%     11.0  <5%     12.0  <5%
:FRENCHMAN CR AT CULBERTSON NE
CULN1 (GLD)    7.0   9%      8.0   7%      10.0  <5%     12.0  <5%
:DRIFTWOOD CR AT MCCOOK NE 4SW
MCKN1 (GLD)    15.0  14%     17.0  9%      19.0  7%      21.0  6%
:REPUBLICAN R AT MCCOOK NE 1SE
MKRN1 (GLD)    8.0   16%     9.0   9%      11.0  6%      13.0  <5%
:REPUBLICAN R AT CAMBRIDGE NE
CBGN1 (GID)    10.0  11%     11.0  7%      13.0  <5%     16.0  <5%
:REPUBLICAN R AT ORLEANS NE 2W
ORNN1 (GID)    8.0   22%     9.0   17%     11.0  7%      13.0  5%
:PRAIRIE DOG CR AT WOODRUFF KS 3WSW
WDRK1 (GID)    17.0  16%     19.0  15%     24.0  11%     30.0  5%

:END OF MESSAGE

$$