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FGUS63 KKRF 291511
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HYDROLOGIC ENSEMBLE FORECAST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER PLEASANT HILL MO
1510Z Tue Sep 29 2026

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**** THESE ARE 10 DAY FORECASTS PRODUCED WITH HEFS  ****

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Hydrologic Ensemble Forecast Service (HEFS) probabilities
are displayed in the table below. The table lists the flood
categories and probability of exceeding each category in the
next 10 days.

-- UPPER SMOKY FORECAST GROUP --
                ISSUANCE       MINOR        MODERATE       MAJOR
               STG   PROB    STG   PROB    STG   PROB    STG   PROB
:SMOKY HILL R AT OAKLEY KS 22S
OKYK1 (GLD)    8.0   92%     9.0   71%     11.0  32%     13.0  20%
:HACKBERRY CR AT GOVE KS 4W
GOVK1 (GLD)    14.0  15%     19.0  9%      21.0  8%      23.0  6%
:SMOKY HILL R AT ARNOLD KS 12N
ARNK1 (DDC)    6.0   97%     7.0   84%     9.0   57%     11.0  33%
:SMOKY HILL R  AT SCHOENCHEN KS 2E
SCSK1 (DDC)    10.0  31%     11.0  28%     14.0  9%      17.0  <5%
:BIG CR AT ELLIS KS
ELLK1 (DDC)    13.0  16%     15.0  6%      17.0  <5%     19.0  <5%
:BIG CR AT HAYS KS 2SSE
HYSK1 (DDC)    17.0  36%     26.0  15%     29.0  9%      32.0  5%
:SMOKY HILL R AT RUSSELL KS 8S
RSLK1 (ICT)    16.0  49%     18.0  45%     20.0  29%     38.0  <5%
:SMOKY HILL R AT ELLSWORTH KS
ELWK1 (ICT)    18.0  49%     20.0  46%     24.0  32%     27.0  14%
:SALINE R AT WAKEENEY KS 5N
WAAK1 (DDC)    11.0  <5%     13.0  <5%     15.0  <5%     17.0  <5%
:SALINE R AT RUSSELL KS 5N
RUSK1 (ICT)    16.0  27%     18.0  17%     20.0  6%      23.0  <5%
:LENORA AT LENORA KS
LNRK1 (GLD)    8.0   47%     10.0  39%     12.0  35%     14.0  31%
:N FK SOLOMON R AT GLADE KS 1S
GDEK1 (GID)    10.0  65%     11.0  63%     16.0  35%     18.0  25%
:BOW CR AT STOCKTON KS 9N
SKTK1 (GID)    8.0   72%     9.0   65%     12.0  31%     13.6  6%

:END OF MESSAGE

$$