225
FGUS53 KKRF 171410
RVFUSH

RIVER FORECAST
NWS MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER PLEASANT HILL MO
ISSUED VIA NATIONAL WATER CENTER... TUSCALOOSA, AL
1409Z TUE JUN 17 2025
:
: THIS PRODUCT HAS PRELIMINARY DATA AND SUBJECT TO REVISION.
: REFER TO YOUR LOCAL WFO FOR THE LATEST OFFICIAL RIVER FORECAST.

:    FORECAST GROUP IS UPRSMO

:     **********************************************************
:     *** THESE FORECASTS ARE SIGNIFICANTLY AFFECTED BY QPF  ***
:     **********************************************************


: ==>    This forecast includes obsd precip & 24 hours of QPF


RIVER/STATION            FS     TDY    F O R E C A S T
SMOKY HILL RIVER
ELLSWORTH KS           20.0   2.8    CREST NEAR 21.7 FT 06/19
EARLY AM

:________________________________________________________________

:ELLSWORTH, KS - SMOKY HILL RIVER     HSA - ICT
:MINOR FLOOD STAGE    20.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE  18.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 24.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE    27.0 FT
:LATEST  RIVER STAGE 2.8 FT AT 1200Z ON JUN 17

:obs Stage      /       18Z /       00Z /       06Z /       12Z
:  0616         /       1.1 /       1.0 /       1.0 /       2.8

:
:RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 03Z ON 06/19/2025
.AR :CREST: ELWK1 0619 Z DC202506171409/DH0600/HGIFFXZ 21.7

:FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 15Z ON 06/19/2025
.ER ELWK1  20250617 Z DC202506171409/DH18/HGIFFZZ/DIH6
:Stage Fcst     /       12Z /       18Z /       00Z /       06Z
.E1  : 0617 :               /       3.0 /       3.6 /       5.4
.E2  : 0618 :   /       8.4 /      11.7 /      17.6 /      21.7
.E3  : 0619 :   /      20.6 /      15.0 /      11.1 /       8.4
.E4  : 0620 :   /       7.0 /       5.4 /       5.2 /       5.1
.E5  : 0621 :   /       5.0 /       4.8 /       4.7 /       4.5
.E6  : 0622 :   /       4.3

:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs):
:           /       18Z /       00Z /       06Z /       12Z
: 0616      /      0.00 /      0.00 /      0.00 /      2.07
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Jun 17 at 12Z is 2.07 inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 24 hrs):
:           /       12Z /       18Z /       00Z /       06Z
: 0617                  /      0.30 /      0.38 /      1.54
: 0618      /      0.00
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Jun 18  2.22 inches


:****************************************************************
:COMMENT
:
:
:HSA - Hydrologic Service Area
:WFO - Weather Forecast Office
:GLD - NWS WFO Goodland, Kansas
:DDC - NWS WFO Dodge City, Kansas
:GID - NWS WFO Hastings, Nebraska
:OBS - Observed
:EST - Estimated
:M - Missing
:Stage Fcst - River Stage forecast including future precipitation
:Flow Fcst - River Flow forecast including future precipitation
:Precip - Precipitation
:QPE - Observed radar estimated precipitation
:QPF - Forecasted mean areal precipitation for local basin
:
:
$$
:MBRFC STJ
:...END of MESSAGE...