352
FXUS65 KVEF 011717
AFDVEF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
917 AM PST Sun Nov 1 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

* Widespread wetting rain continues through the afternoon. Locally
  heavy rainfall and a few instances of flash flooding possible.

* Conditions dry out on Monday as gusty north winds pick up across
  the region. Temperatures remain slightly below-normal next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Today through Saturday.

After isolated stronger storms passed through the region last
evening, the night brings widespread stratiform rain. Most rainfall
rates look to stay light to moderate but there will be potential for
locally increased rain rates. Some of these increased rain rates
look to be focused on higher peaks as well as in portions of Mohave,
Lincoln, eastern Clark, and far eastern San Bernardino counties. The
trend of persistent rain will lead to some flood risk, but the
momentary increased rain rates over these areas will cause concern
for flash flooding. Into the mid morning, higher resolution models
show breaks in the rain but still offer scattered showers into the
afternoon. Breezy to gusty winds will build as we begin to see some
of those breaks in rain. Shower activity begins to erode into the
late afternoon and early evening with winds decreasing into the
night. The last line of showers could offer spotty storm chances
before they exit into that night.

Rainfall totals will favor the more eastern areas with higher
elevations in Mohave County looking to break 2 inches of rainfall
overnight. The rest of Mohave County and most of Lincoln County will
range between 0.75 and 1.50", the Colorado River Valley looks to
range from 0.5 to 1.00", Las Vegas will be 0.25 to 0.50", and the
rest of the region will be up to 0.50".

The rest of the forecast looks calm and cool with some potential for
for windy conditions next weekend.
&&


.AVIATION...For Harry Reid...For the 18Z Forecast Package...Sky
conditions generally improve throughout the day, though periods of
deterioration are possible as showers (and possibly an isolated
thunderstorm) move through the vicinity. Best chances for that are
between 18z-20z and 22z-01z. Precipitation chances quickly come to
an end around 01z-02z with significant improvement in sky conditions
this evening. Breezy southwest winds anticipated this afternoon with
gusts 15-25 knots. Wind forecast uncertainty grows after 23z as
northwest winds try to reach the terminal. As of now, just expecting
a westerly shift, but there is a ~40% chance of northwest winds with
gusts 15-25 knots during this time. Greater confidence in breezy
northwest winds arriving Monday morning before weakening and turning
to the northeast.

For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast
California...For the 18Z Forecast Package...The primary band of
widespread precipitation has pushed firmly into AZ. Behind it,
expecting more isolated to scattered shower activity which will
cause brief reductions of CIGs and visibility. Otherwise, sky
conditions should gradually improved throughout the day. Gusty
southwest to west winds develop across the Mojave Desert this
afternoon, with gusty northwest winds in the southern Great Basin.
Winds forecast to subside overnight, favoring a northerly direction
on Monday.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Spotters are encouraged to report
any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating
procedures.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Murdock
AVIATION...Woods


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