733
FXUS65 KVEF 021124
AFDVEF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
324 AM PST Mon Nov 2 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

* Flood-related impacts remain possible along the Big Sandy River in
  southern Mohave County from rainfall runoff.

* Temperatures will hover within a few degrees of seasonal normals
  through the week with otherwise generally quiet conditions.

&&


.DISCUSSION...Today through Sunday.

Moisture will continue to wane across the forecast area with mostly
sunny skies expected this afternoon. Following yesterday`s rainfall,
it is possible that water remains across low lying areas across
Lincoln, northeastern Clark, and Mohave counties, so will allow the
Flood Watch to continue until its expiration time at 4 AM PST / 5 AM
MST. Additionally, a Flood Warning remains in effect for the Big
Sandy River from Interstate 40 down to the Mohave / La Paz County
line due to near-record flows as a result of runoff from last
night`s rain. For context, Burro Creek at Highway 93, which flows
into the Big Sandy River, crested at 17.93 feet this afternoon,
breaking the previous record of 17.84 feet measured on February 8th,
1993. As of 2 AM MST, Burro Creek at Highway 93 has subsided to
around 12 feet. Will continue to assess the need for this Flood
Warning through the morning. Cannot rule out patchy fog in low-lying
areas over the next couple of mornings.

A shortwave ridge will set up across the Desert Southwest for the
first half of the work week, followed by zonal-to-northwesterly flow
aloft. Several shortwave troughs will ride along this flow through
the remainder of the work week, which will help to keep temperatures
near-seasonal with afternoon breeziness. On Friday and Saturday, a
shortwave will pinch off of the upper-level flow and will attempt to
close off in the southeastern Pacific Ocean. The resultant north-
south pressure gradients aross the forecast area will combine with
topographic enhancement along the Colorado River Valley to bring
gusty north winds between 25 and 35 mph around Laughlin, Bullhead
City, and Needles Friday and Saturday afternoons. Expect increased
wave heights on Lake Mohave as a result.
&&


.AVIATION...For Harry Reid...For the 12Z Forecast Package...Breezy
north-northwesterly winds with sustained speeds between 8 and 12 kts
will sporadically continue overnight; however, when speeds are
light, the direction will favor the southwest. Northwesterly winds
will pick up mid-morning with gradual veering through the day and
occasional gusts to 15 kts. Expect directional variability between
330 and 040 through the late-morning and afternoon hours. Winds will
fall back into typical diurnal trends through the remainder of the
TAF period after sunset today. FEW-SCT aoa 20 kft will return late-
afternoon.

For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast
California...For the 12Z Forecast Package...Breezy northerly winds
with directional variability between 330 and 040 with occasional
gusts to 15 kts expected for the Las Vegas Valley TAF sites. Winds
will be light and diurnal at KBIH. Westerly winds between 8 and 12
kts will continue to decrease at KDAG through the morning before
becoming light and diurnal through the remainder of the TAF period.
Gusty north winds will impact Colorado River Valley TAF sites this
afternoon with gust speeds peaking between 15 and 20 kts. FEW-SCT
aoa 20 kft will push back into the region from west-to-east.
&&


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Spotters are encouraged to report
any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating
procedures.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Soulat
AVIATION...Soulat

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