264
FXUS65 KVEF 170458
AFDVEF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
958 PM PDT Thu Oct 16 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

* Dry and pleasant weather conditions are expected through the
  weekend, with cool temperatures gradually returning to seasonal
  normals.

* A weak system will bring increasing wind and a chance of showers
  toward the middle of next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...through early next week.

Broad troughing will persist today across the region keeping
temperatures well below normal but otherwise dry and pleasant.
High pressure will gradually begin to build in Friday and into the
weekend which will allow for a warm up trend, with temperatures
returning to near normal levels by Sunday. A modest enhancement in
northerly winds is expected Friday as the trough axis shifts east
with the strongest winds favored along the Colorado River Valley,
with the higher winds expected during the morning hours.

Guidance has trended to favor stronger ridging early next week
across the Southwest, with a fairly strong shortwave dropping
through the PacNW and into the Northern Rockies Monday, mainly
resulting in a slight cooling and enhanced surface winds Monday and
Tuesday in our region. Winds will be highest across central Nevada,
but should have very little impacts. Meanwhile, a fairly deep cut
off low will be meandering off the west coast of Southern
California, and is poised to eject inland by the middle of the week.
This may spread increased cloud cover and some shower activity into
the Mojave Desert by Wednesday and slightly cooler conditions, but
uncertainty remains fairly high this far out.

&&

.AVIATION...For Harry Reid...For the 06Z Forecast
Package...Northerly winds dominate through tomorrow afternoon,
favoring a northwesterly direction until the afternoon hours when
they turn northeasterly. Gusts of 15-25 knots are likely (80%),
especially during the morning hours. By the afternoon, chances of
these gusts drop below 25% as the direction becomes more easterly.
Clear skies and VFR conditions.

For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast
California...For the 06Z Forecast Package...Breezy north winds in
the lower Colorado River Valley tonight while the rest of the area
remains generally below 10 knots. During the day Friday, northerly
winds are anticipated across the region. Gusts 15-30 knots,
strongest in the between KIFP and KEED. Winds subside in the late
afternoon and evening. VFR conditions with mostly clear skies across
the area.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Spotters are encouraged to report
any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating
procedures.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Gorelow
Aviation...Woods


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