521
FXUS65 KVEF 011037
AFDVEF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
337 AM PDT Thu Oct 1 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

* Above-normal temperatures and quiet conditions continue into
  next week as high pressure dominates.

&&

.DISCUSSION...through Wednesday.

Ensemble guidances is in good agreement on the development of a
ridge over the southwestern US today and sticking around through at
least the middle of next week. This feature will promote anomalously
warm temperatures, with forecast highs up to 10 degrees above normal
at times. However, heat risk during this time largely remains in the
minor category, with just Death Valley in the moderate to major
categories. A weak disturbance passing through on Sunday and Monday
tries to spur a slight uptick in winds and minor cooling, but
impacts are not expected. Precipitation chances stay below 5% across
the entire area.

&&

.AVIATION...For Harry Reid...For the 12Z Forecast Package...Clear
skies and light winds last through the TAF period. Expect variable
light winds to increase slightly and turn easterly by the late
morning. These winds reduce into the evening and become variable
again. Winds will remain light into Friday morning and become more
northeasterly.

For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast
California...For the 12Z Forecast Package...Clear skies continue
across the region with weaker winds expected. Aside from the
possibility of a brief stray gust, expect winds speeds to remain
below 10 kts. Wind directions look to be mostly variable during the
overnight hours with some of the more consistent wind directions
determined by local effects and not a widespread prevailing
pattern.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Spotters are encouraged to report
any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating
procedures.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Woods
AVIATION...Murdock

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