911
FXUS65 KVEF 290453
AFDVEF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
953 PM PDT Tue Jul 28 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

* Isolated thunderstorm activity will be limited to Mohave County
  through Wednesday, with things drying out area-wide during the
  second half of the week.

* Above-normal temperatures persist, with dangerous and
  potentially record-breaking temperatures beginning Thursday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...through Monday.

Remnant Mesoscale convective vortex continues to track northward
across the Colorado Plateau of northern Arizona this afternoon.
This feature will continue to spark renewed thunderstorm activity
that may skirt eastern Mohave County and parts of Canyon country
through the remainder of the evening hours. Similar conditions
will remain in place tomorrow for drier conditions overspread the
entire region the remainder of the week into the weekend.

As the region dries out, an expansive area of high pressure will
build westward, with a 600dm ridge building into the Southwest by
Friday and Saturday. This will result in temperatures climbing to
near record territory by late in the week, with the heat
persisting into early next week. Daily and monthly all-time
records may be challenged during this period with widespread high
to extreme heat risk expected across the lower elevations. An Extreme
Heat Warning remains for all of our valley locations from
Thursday through Sunday, with Heat Advisories for the higher
mountain zones. Indications are the the ridge will begin to break
down next week an a return of monsoonal moisture may creep back
into the region with temperatures trending closer to normal and
isolated thunderstorm chances returning.

&&

.AVIATION...For Harry Reid...For the 06Z Forecast
Package...Southwesterly winds with speeds under 10 knots should
start to take a southeasterly direction in the morning after
sunrise. Sustained speeds increase to around 10 knots with
moderate gusts between 15 and 20 knots by late morning, shifting
back to the southwest in the afternoon. Speeds fall to less than
10 knots after sunset. Temperatures increase to at least 100
degrees by 18Z.

For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast
California...For the 06Z Forecast Package...Wind speeds should
decrease to less than 10 knots for most locations tonight. Winds
will generally favor a southerly to southwesterly direction by
Wednesday afternoon, including gusts between 15 and 20 knots in the
Las Vegas Valley and Colorado River Valley. Gusty westerly winds
return to KDAG in the evening. Mostly clear skies are expected
through the TAF period.

&&

.CLIMATE...Numerous climate locations have a forecast high
temperature and/or forecast warm low temperature within 3 degrees of
the daily record.

The table below shows the daily record maximum temperature and the
year the record was last set. An asterisk (*) denotes which records
are in jeopardy (within 3 degrees of the forecast).

MAX           THU, JUL 30  FRI, JUL 31  SAT, AUG 1   SUN, AUG 2
              Record(Yr)   Record(Yr)   Record(Yr)   Record (Yr)

Las Vegas     114(1978)*   115(1978)*   116(1979)*   115(1979)*
Bishop        105(2020)*   109(2000)*   108(2020)*   108(2020)*
Needles       120(2020)    121(2020)*   121(1993)*   120(1993)*
Daggett       114(2000)    113(2020)*   115(1995)*   117(1986)*
Kingman       110(2020)    112(2020)*   106(2020)*   105(1918)*
Desert Rock   109(2000)*   109(1996)*   109(1993)*   109(1993)*
Death Valley  127(1995)    125(2020)*   127(2017)*   126(1993)*

The table below shows the daily record warm minimum temperature and
the year the record was last set. An asterisk (*) denotes which
records are in jeopardy (within 3 degrees of the forecast).

WARM MIN      THU, JUL 30  FRI, JUL 31  SAT, AUG 1   SUN, AUG 2
              Record(Yr)   Record(Yr)   Record(Yr)   Record (Yr)

Las Vegas     89(2019)*    88(2020)*    92(2020)*    91(2024)*
Bishop        72(2022)     67(2018)     71(2007)     71(2007)
Needles       94(2019)     94(1925)     95(1969)     92(1980)*
Daggett       86(2016)     85(2018)     84(2000)*    83(2018)*
Kingman       83(1972)     83(1914)     82(1914)*    82(2008)*
Desert Rock   81(2015)     82(2016)     83(2000)     86(2000)
Death Valley  103(2018)    103(2018)    106(1920)    100(2024)*

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Spotters are encouraged to report
any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating
procedures.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION/CLIMATE...Outler
AVIATION...Meltzer

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