Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
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874
FNAK52 PAFG 150837
FWFWCZ

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
1237 AM AKDT Sun Jun 15 2025

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 929,
930 AND 952...

.DISCUSSION...
A ridge is building with hot and dry weather continuing in
Western Alaska. Temperatures will be in the upper 70s to low 80s
in most spots with min RHs in the 20s and 30s, highest closer to
the coast. Thunderstorms will be prevalent across the area with
widely scattered storms expected everywhere from McGrath to
Ambler. Expect scattered to numerous storms Monday with the
highest lightning activity being from Ambler to the Innoko Valley.
Some storms may persist overnight Monday into Tuesday, especially
west of Shungnak, Huslia and Ruby and north of Grayling. Any
thunderstorm can come with frequent lightning, heavy rain, hail
and gusty erratic winds.

Otherwise, winds will be largely light through Monday morning,
then increase to 10 to 15 mph from the north/northwest near the
coast, and east/northeast in the Interior. There will be a
convergence zone in the Western Interior which will be one of the
triggers for storms.

AKZ913-160245-
South Slopes of the Western Brooks Range-
Including Walker Lake
1237 AM AKDT Sun Jun 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           20           50
CWR                   10           10           10
Tstm Coverage         Widely Sct   Widely Sct   Scattered
Temp (24h trend)      77-87 (+5)   50-60 (+2)   76-86
RH % (24h trend)      34-48 (-12)  70-85 (+2)   28-43
20ftWnd(mph)          Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      NE 3-7
Transport wnd (mph)   E  7         NE  8        E  8
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    5400         300          6400
Vent rate (mph-ft)    37800        2400         51200

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 52 to 60. Highs 74 to 84. Northeast winds
around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 50 to 60. Highs 76 to 86. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 48 to 58. Highs 73 to 83. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.

$$

AKZ914-160245-
Noatak Valley-
Including Noatak and Red Dog Mine
1237 AM AKDT Sun Jun 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     10           10           50
CWR                   5            5            10
Tstm Coverage         Isolated     Isolated     Widely Sct
Temp (24h trend)      68-78 (+3)   47-57 (+3)   72-82
RH % (24h trend)      38-53 (-4)   67-82 (-2)   37-52
20ftWnd(mph)          Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      NW 3-7
Transport wnd (mph)   SE  8        NE  8        NE  8
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    5700         300          6400
Vent rate (mph-ft)    45600        2400         51200

Remarks...Isolated storms east of Noatak today, widely scattered
storms tomorrow which can continue through the night.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 44 to 54. Highs 70 to 80. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 40 to 50. Highs 68 to 78. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 39 to 49. Highs 63 to 73. West winds around
10 mph.

$$

AKZ916-160245-
Lower Kobuk Valley-
Including Noorvik, Selawik, and Kiana
1237 AM AKDT Sun Jun 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     10           10           40
CWR                   5            5            10
Tstm Coverage         Isolated     Isolated     Widely Sct
Temp (24h trend)      68-78 (0)    42-52 (+1)   71-81
RH % (24h trend)      38-53 (0)    76-91 (-2)   40-55
20ftWnd(mph)          Lgt/Var      NW 4-8       W 4-8
Transport wnd (mph)   E  7         N  7         NW 10
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    5500         300          3900
Vent rate (mph-ft)    38500        2100         39000

Remarks...Isolated storms east of Selawik today, widely
scattered storms east of Kotzebue tomorrow which can
continue through the night.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 39 to 49. Highs 69 to 79. West winds around
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 37 to 47. Highs 64 to 74. West winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 36 to 46. Highs 61 to 71. West winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ918-160245-
Northern Seward Peninsula-
Including Deering, Buckland, and Candle
1237 AM AKDT Sun Jun 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     30           30           30
CWR                   5            5            10
Tstm Coverage         Isolated     Isolated     Widely Sct
Temp (24h trend)      68-78 (+1)   38-48 (0)    67-77
RH % (24h trend)      34-49 (0)    76-91 (-3)   40-55
20ftWnd(mph)          E 3-7        NW 3-7       NW 7-11 G21
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 12        N  7         N 13
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    6600         300          4400
Vent rate (mph-ft)    79200        2100         57200

Remarks...Isolated storms east of Buckland today, widely
scattered storms east of Buckland tomorrow which can continue
through the night.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 36 to 46. Highs 67 to 77. Northwest winds
around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 36 to 46. Highs 60 to 70. Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 34 to 44. Highs
60 to 70. Northwest winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ919-160245-
Upper Kobuk Valleys-
Including Ambler, Shungnak, and Kobuk
1237 AM AKDT Sun Jun 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           20           50
CWR                   10           10           10
Tstm Coverage         Widely Sct   Widely Sct   Scattered
Temp (24h trend)      76-86 (+3)   51-60 (+1)   76-86
RH % (24h trend)      29-44 (-7)   66-81 (+1)   24-39
20ftWnd(mph)          Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      NE 4-8
Transport wnd (mph)   E  8         NE  6        NE  9
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    6000         300          6900
Vent rate (mph-ft)    48000        1800         62100

Remarks...Widely scattered storms from Ambler south/east
today, scattered storms from Ambler south/east tomorrow
and can continue through the night.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 51 to 61. Highs 75 to 85. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 47 to 57. Highs 77 to 87. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 45 to 55. Highs 73 to 83. West winds around
10 mph.

$$

AKZ923-160245-
Interior Seward Peninsula-
Including Serpentine Hot Springs, Council, Haycock,
Pilgrim Springs, and Taylor
1237 AM AKDT Sun Jun 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           None         Showers      Tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            20           40
CWR                   0            0            5
Tstm Coverage         None         None         Widely Sct
Temp (24h trend)      68-78 (+4)   43-53 (+2)   67-77
RH % (24h trend)      34-49 (-7)   75-90 (-9)   ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          SE 6-10 G20  S 3-7        NE 7-11 G19
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 15        NW  7        N 10
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    6100         300          4400
Vent rate (mph-ft)    91500        2100         44000

Remarks...Isolated storms in the Western Seward Peninsula
tomorrow with widely scattered storms east tomorrow which
can continue through the night.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 41 to 51. Highs 66 to 76. Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 37 to 47. Highs 59 to 69. Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 36 to 46. Highs
60 to 70. Northwest winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ924-160245-
Eastern Norton Sound and Nulato Hills-
Including Unalakleet, Stebbins, St Michael, Elim, Koyuk,
and Shaktoolik
1237 AM AKDT Sun Jun 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           20           60
CWR                   5            5            10
Tstm Coverage         Isolated     Isolated     Widely Sct
Temp (24h trend)      68-78 (+3)   46-56 (+2)   68-78
RH % (24h trend)      35-50 (-1)   73-88 (-3)   ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          S 4-8        N 3-7        NW 5-9 G17
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 13        NW  6        NW 14
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    6100         300          3800
Vent rate (mph-ft)    79300        1800         53200

Remarks...Isolated storms east of Unalakleet today with
widely scattered storms north and east of Unalakleet tomorrow.
Storms can continue through the night.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 45 to 54. Highs 66 to 76. West winds around
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 40 to 50. Highs 58 to 68. West winds around
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 41 to 48. Highs
61 to 71. West winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ925-160245-
Yukon Delta Coast-
Including Mountain Village, Emmonak, Alakanuk, Kotlik,
Scammon Bay, Hooper Bay, Nunam Iqua, and Chevak
1237 AM AKDT Sun Jun 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Showers      None         None
Chance precip (%)     40           0            0
CWR                   20           0            0
Tstm Coverage         None         None         None
Temp (24h trend)      59-69 (+3)   43 (0)       57-67
RH % (24h trend)      ABV 40 (-3)  82-96 (-2)   ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          SE 11-15 G25 SE 6-10 G18  W 6-10 G19
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 21        E  7         W 10
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    4300         300          4600
Vent rate (mph-ft)    90300        2100         46000

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 39 to 47. Highs
53 to 63. Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 38 to 44.
Highs 52 to 62. West winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 39 to 47. Highs
57 to 67. North winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ926-160245-
Lower Yukon River-
Including Russian Mission, St Marys, Pilot Station, and Marshall
1237 AM AKDT Sun Jun 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Showers      None         Tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           0            30
CWR                   0            0            5
Tstm Coverage         None         None         Isolated
Temp (24h trend)      61-71 (+5)   46-52 (+1)   64-74
RH % (24h trend)      ABV 40 (-7)  77-92 (-4)   ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          SE 8-12 G22  SE 4-8 G17   W 6-10 G20
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 18        NW  8        NW 13
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    5100         300          4500
Vent rate (mph-ft)    91800        2400         58500

Remarks...Isolated storms northeast of Russian Mission tomorrow.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 45 to 53. Highs 58 to 68. Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 41 to 50. Highs 57 to 67. West winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 43 to 51. Highs 61 to 71. North
winds around 5 mph.

$$

AKZ928-160245-
Lower Koyukuk Valley-
Including Huslia and Hughes
1237 AM AKDT Sun Jun 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     30           30           60
CWR                   10           10           10
Tstm Coverage         Widely Sct   Widely Sct   Numerous
Temp (24h trend)      75-85 (+1)   51-61 (+1)   76-86
RH % (24h trend)      16-31 (+1)   63-78 (+3)   20-35
20ftWnd(mph)          Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      NE 6-10 G17
Transport wnd (mph)   E  9         N  7         NE 12
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    6600         300          8300
Vent rate (mph-ft)    59400        2100         99600

Remarks...Widely scattered thunderstorms today with scattered
storms tomorrow. Numerous storms expected from Huslia south
and can continue through the night.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 50 to 60. Highs 74 to 84. North winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 48 to 58. Highs 73 to 83. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 45 to 55. Highs 69 to 79. West winds around
10 mph.

$$

AKZ929-160245-
Middle Yukon Valley-
Including Galena, Nulato, Kaltag, Ruby, and Koyukuk
1237 AM AKDT Sun Jun 15 2025

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     30           30           60
CWR                   10           10           10
Tstm Coverage         Widely Sct   Widely Sct   Numerous
Temp (24h trend)      72-82 (+3)   50-59 (+1)   74-84
RH % (24h trend)      16-31 (+1)   65-80 (+2)   29-44
20ftWnd(mph)          Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      N 4-8
Transport wnd (mph)   SE  8        N  6         NE 10
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    6400         300          5800
Vent rate (mph-ft)    51200        1800         58000

Remarks...Widely scattered thunderstorms today with numerous
storms expected tomorrow from Ruby to Kaltag.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 49 to 59. Highs 72 to 82. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Numerous showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 43 to 53. Highs 69 to 79. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 43 to 53. Highs 70 to 80. West winds around
5 mph.

$$

AKZ930-160245-
Lower Yukon and Innoko Valleys-
Including Grayling, Holy Cross, Shageluk, and Anvik
1237 AM AKDT Sun Jun 15 2025

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           20           70
CWR                   10           10           10
Tstm Coverage         Widely Sct   Widely Sct   Numerous
Temp (24h trend)      70-80 (+3)   49-57 (+1)   72-82
RH % (24h trend)      18-33 (+1)   65-80 (+1)   37-52
20ftWnd(mph)          Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      NW 5-9
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 10        NW  7        N 13
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    6800         300          5500
Vent rate (mph-ft)    68000        2100         71500

Remarks...Isolated thunderstorms from Shageluk north/east
today. Widely scattered storms near shageluk and numerous
storms expected from the Innoko Valley north tomorrow
and can continue through the night.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 46 to 56. Highs 69 to 79. Northwest winds
around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 41 to 51. Highs 65 to 75. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 41 to 51. Highs 68 to 78. West winds around 5 mph.

$$

AKZ951-160245-
North Slopes of the Western Alaska Range-
Including Farewell Lake
1237 AM AKDT Sun Jun 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     30           30           50
CWR                   10           10           10
Tstm Coverage         Isolated     Isolated     Isolated
Temp (24h trend)      68-78 (+2)   39-49 (+1)   67-77
RH % (24h trend)      20-35 (-9)   74-89 (0)    39-54
20ftWnd(mph)          NE 3-7       E 4-8        Lgt/Var
Transport wnd (mph)   E  9         SW 10        N  8
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    6300         300          5200
Vent rate (mph-ft)    56700        3000         41600

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 42 to 52. Highs 66 to 76. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 41 to 51. Highs 64 to 74. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows 40 to 50.
Highs 67 to 77. Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

AKZ952-160245-
Upper Kuskokwim Valley-
Including McGrath, Nikolai, and Takotna
1237 AM AKDT Sun Jun 15 2025

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     30           30           60
CWR                   10           10           10
Tstm Coverage         Widely Sct   Widely Sct   Scattered
Temp (24h trend)      71-81 (+2)   48-56 (+2)   71-81
RH % (24h trend)      17-32 (+5)   67-80 (0)    37-52
20ftWnd(mph)          Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Transport wnd (mph)   SE  7        SW  7        N  9
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    6800         400          5600
Vent rate (mph-ft)    47600        2800         50400

Remarks...Widely scattered storms today from McGrath north.
Scattered thunderstorms tomorrow from McGrath north.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 52 to 59. Highs 69 to 79. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 48 to 57. Highs 65 to 75. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 47 to 57. Highs 68 to 78. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.

$$