Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
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FNAK52 PAFG 170846
FWFWCZ

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
1246 AM AKDT Tue Jun 17 2025

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 929, 930 AND
952...

.DISCUSSION...Hot and dry conditions persist throughout the region
as high pressure continues to sit over the W Interior. High
temperatures will mostly be in the upper 70s and low 80s with a
slight cooling trend heading into midweek. Min RH values bottom
out between 25-30% over the Kobuk Valley with min RH values in the
low 40% range along the coast. Winds are expected to be
strongest along the coast out of the west/northwest with moderate
east winds out in the Kobuk Valley this afternoon.

High thunderstorm activity is expected across the Western
Interior and Upper Kobuk Valleys this afternoon/evening through
Wednesday afternoon. These storms will be accompanied with
frequent lightning, heavy rain, and gusty erratic winds. The Red Flag
Warning remains in effect.

AKZ913-180300-
South Slopes of the Western Brooks Range-
Including Walker Lake
1246 AM AKDT Tue Jun 17 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     50           50           50
CWR                   10           10           10
Tstm Coverage         Widely Sct   Widely Sct   Widely Sct
Temp (24h trend)      83-93 (+2)   51-61 (0)    84-94
RH % (24h trend)      23-38 (-1)   73-88 (-2)   25-40
20ftWnd(mph)          SE 4-8 G20   E 4-8 G21    S 3-7 G17
Transport wnd (mph)   E 10         NE  6        S  8
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    7200         300          7300
Vent rate (mph-ft)    72000        1800         58400

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 48 to 58. Highs 74 to 84. North winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 49 to 57. Highs 71 to 81. West winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated thunderstorms. Lows 50 to 59.
Highs 70 to 80. South winds around 5 mph.

$$

AKZ914-180300-
Noatak Valley-
Including Noatak and Red Dog Mine
1246 AM AKDT Tue Jun 17 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     50           50           30
CWR                   10           10           10
Tstm Coverage         Widely Sct   Widely Sct   Widely Sct
Temp (24h trend)      77-87 (-2)   38-48 (-6)   72-82
RH % (24h trend)      31-46 (+9)   80-95 (+15)  37-52
20ftWnd(mph)          E 5-9 G21    N 5-9 G23    W 5-9 G21
Transport wnd (mph)   S 12         W  7         W 12
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    4300         400          4100
Vent rate (mph-ft)    51600        2800         49200

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 38 to 48. Highs 64 to 74. West winds around
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 39 to 49. Highs 65 to 75. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated thunderstorms. Lows 44 to 54.
Highs 65 to 75. Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

AKZ916-180300-
Lower Kobuk Valley-
Including Noorvik, Selawik, and Kiana
1246 AM AKDT Tue Jun 17 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     30           30           20
CWR                   10           10           10
Tstm Coverage         Widely Sct   Widely Sct   Widely Sct
Temp (24h trend)      74-84 (-5)   35-45 (-6)   65-75
RH % (24h trend)      35-50 (+11)  81-96 (+1)   ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          W 3-7 G17    W 5-9 G20    W 9-13 G26
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  9        SW  9        W 15
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    3700         400          2100
Vent rate (mph-ft)    33300        3600         31500

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 36 to 46. Highs 62 to 72. West winds around 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows
37 to 47. Highs 66 to 76. West winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated thunderstorms. Lows 43 to 53.
Highs 65 to 75. Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

AKZ918-180300-
Northern Seward Peninsula-
Including Deering, Buckland, and Candle
1246 AM AKDT Tue Jun 17 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     40           40           20
CWR                   10           10           5
Tstm Coverage         Widely Sct   Widely Sct   Widely Sct
Temp (24h trend)      70-80 (-1)   34-44 (-4)   63-73
RH % (24h trend)      ABV 40 (+10) 82-97 (+3)   ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          Lgt/Var      W 4-8 G20    NW 6-10 G22
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  8        NW  9        NW 10
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    3800         400          4000
Vent rate (mph-ft)    30400        3600         40000

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 34 to 44. Highs
63 to 73. Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 34 to 44. Highs
67 to 77. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 37 to 47. Highs 65 to 75.
Southeast winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ919-180300-
Upper Kobuk Valleys-
Including Ambler, Shungnak, and Kobuk
1246 AM AKDT Tue Jun 17 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           20           30
CWR                   10           10           10
Tstm Coverage         Widely Sct   Widely Sct   Widely Sct
Temp (24h trend)      83-93 (-1)   44-54 (-3)   84-94
RH % (24h trend)      22-37 (+7)   76-91 (+5)   24-39
20ftWnd(mph)          E 7-11 G23   E 4-8 G19    W 4-8 G19
Transport wnd (mph)   E 12         W  7         SW  9
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    8000         400          6600
Vent rate (mph-ft)    96000        2800         59400

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 43 to 53. Highs 74 to 84. West winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows
47 to 56. Highs 72 to 82. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated thunderstorms. Lows 50 to 59.
Highs 71 to 81. East winds around 5 mph.

$$

AKZ923-180300-
Interior Seward Peninsula-
Including Serpentine Hot Springs, Council, Haycock,
Pilgrim Springs, and Taylor
1246 AM AKDT Tue Jun 17 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     40           40           20
CWR                   10           10           5
Tstm Coverage         Scattered    Scattered    Isolated
Temp (24h trend)      70-80 (-3)   35-45 (-4)   63-73
RH % (24h trend)      ABV 40 (+9)  77-92 (0)    ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          SW 3-7 G21   W 7-11 G24   SW 3-7 G17
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 12        W  6         SW  8
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    3600         400          4300
Vent rate (mph-ft)    43200        2400         34400

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 37 to 47. Highs
63 to 73. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows 42 to 51. Highs 67 to 77. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 45 to 55. Highs 62 to 72.
Southeast winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ924-180300-
Eastern Norton Sound and Nulato Hills-
Including Unalakleet, Stebbins, St Michael, Elim, Koyuk,
and Shaktoolik
1246 AM AKDT Tue Jun 17 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     30           30           20
CWR                   10           10           5
Tstm Coverage         Scattered    Scattered    Isolated
Temp (24h trend)      67-77 (-5)   39-49 (-4)   62-72
RH % (24h trend)      ABV 40 (+9)  80-95 (-12)  ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          W 6-10 G23   W 7-11 G23   W 5-9 G20
Transport wnd (mph)   W 13         W  8         W  9
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    2500         300          2700
Vent rate (mph-ft)    32500        2400         24300

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 41 to 49. Highs
63 to 73. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 48 to 53. Highs
68 to 78. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows 48 to 56. Highs 61 to 71.
Southeast winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ925-180300-
Yukon Delta Coast-
Including Mountain Village, Emmonak, Alakanuk, Kotlik,
Scammon Bay, Hooper Bay, Nunam Iqua, and Chevak
1246 AM AKDT Tue Jun 17 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        None
Chance precip (%)     10           10           0
CWR                   5            5            0
Tstm Coverage         Isolated     Isolated     None
Temp (24h trend)      56-66 (-5)   37-44 (-1)   55-65
RH % (24h trend)      ABV 40 (-1)  79-93 (-2)   ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          W 4-8 G19    NW 6-10 G20  NW 3-7 G17
Transport wnd (mph)   W 10         NW  6        W  7
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    4300         400          4500
Vent rate (mph-ft)    43000        2400         31500

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 40 to 48. Highs 62 to 72. North
winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 45 to 52. Highs
64 to 74. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows 44 to 53.
Highs 54 to 64. Southeast winds around 15 mph.

$$

AKZ926-180300-
Lower Yukon River-
Including Russian Mission, St Marys, Pilot Station, and Marshall
1246 AM AKDT Tue Jun 17 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        None
Chance precip (%)     20           20           0
CWR                   10           10           0
Tstm Coverage         Isolated     Isolated     None
Temp (24h trend)      64-74 (-2)   40-50 (-2)   63-73
RH % (24h trend)      ABV 40 (0)   73-88 (-12)  37-52
20ftWnd(mph)          NW 6-10 G21  NW 6-10 G21  Lgt/Var
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 10        N  7         W  7
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    4900         300          5400
Vent rate (mph-ft)    49000        2100         37800

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 43 to 52. Highs 67 to 77. North
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 50 to 55. Highs
64 to 74. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows 49 to 54.
Highs 56 to 66. South winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ928-180300-
Lower Koyukuk Valley-
Including Huslia and Hughes
1246 AM AKDT Tue Jun 17 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     30           30           40
CWR                   10           10           10
Tstm Coverage         Scattered    Scattered    Widely Sct
Temp (24h trend)      80-90 (0)    46-56 (-4)   79-89
RH % (24h trend)      20-35 (+6)   77-92 (+1)   24-39
20ftWnd(mph)          NE 3-7 G18   N 5-9 G24    NW 3-7 G19
Transport wnd (mph)   E  8         W  9         W  9
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    8000         400          5400
Vent rate (mph-ft)    64000        3600         48600

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 44 to 54. Highs 72 to 82. West winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows
48 to 58. Highs 71 to 81. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated thunderstorms. Lows 52 to 61.
Highs 69 to 79. South winds around 5 mph.

$$

AKZ929-180300-
Middle Yukon Valley-
Including Galena, Nulato, Kaltag, Ruby, and Koyukuk
1246 AM AKDT Tue Jun 17 2025

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 AM
AKDT WEDNESDAY...

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     60           60           50
CWR                   10           50           10
Tstm Coverage         Numerous     Numerous     Widely Sct
Temp (24h trend)      78-88 (-2)   40-50 (-2)   74-84
RH % (24h trend)      26-41 (+5)   83-98 (-4)   36-51
20ftWnd(mph)          Lgt/Var      NW 4-8 G21   W 3-7
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  7        W  8         W  7
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    5800         400          4200
Vent rate (mph-ft)    40600        3200         29400

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 43 to 53. Highs 71 to 81. West winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows
49 to 59. Highs 72 to 82. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated thunderstorms and showers.
Lows 51 to 61. Highs 68 to 78. South winds around 5 mph.

$$

AKZ930-180300-
Lower Yukon and Innoko Valleys-
Including Grayling, Holy Cross, Shageluk, and Anvik
1246 AM AKDT Tue Jun 17 2025

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 AM
AKDT WEDNESDAY...

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     40           40           30
CWR                   10           20           10
Tstm Coverage         Numerous     Numerous     Widely Sct
Temp (24h trend)      73-83 (-3)   39-49 (-2)   69-79
RH % (24h trend)      37-52 (+10)  82-97 (-8)   35-50
20ftWnd(mph)          NW 5-9 G21   NW 7-11 G24  W 3-7 G17
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 12        NW  8        W  7
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    4800         400          5500
Vent rate (mph-ft)    57600        3200         38500

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 42 to 52. Highs 70 to 80. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows
49 to 59. Highs 72 to 82. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with isolated thunderstorms. Lows 49 to
59. Highs 66 to 76. South winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ951-180300-
North Slopes of the Western Alaska Range-
Including Farewell Lake
1246 AM AKDT Tue Jun 17 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Chance precip (%)     80           80           50
CWR                   20           60           10
Tstm Coverage         Numerous     Numerous     None
Temp (24h trend)      69-79 (0)    40-50 (-1)   64-74
RH % (24h trend)      ABV 40 (+11) 80-95 (-1)   ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          NW 3-7 G17   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  6        SW  7        NW  6
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    4200         400          4100
Vent rate (mph-ft)    25200        2800         24600

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows 42 to 52.
Highs 68 to 78. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 42 to 52. Highs 70 to 80. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with isolated showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 42 to 52. Highs 66 to 76. South winds around
5 mph.

$$

AKZ952-180300-
Upper Kuskokwim Valley-
Including McGrath, Nikolai, and Takotna
1246 AM AKDT Tue Jun 17 2025

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 AM
AKDT WEDNESDAY...

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     80           80           30
CWR                   20           60           5
Tstm Coverage         Numerous     Numerous     Widely Sct
Temp (24h trend)      75-85 (0)    45-55 (-1)   69-79
RH % (24h trend)      37-52 (+11)  83-98 (-5)   ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          NW 3-7 G19   NW 5-9 G21   Lgt/Var
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  7        W  8         NW  6
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    4300         400          4800
Vent rate (mph-ft)    30100        3200         28800

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 47 to 57. Highs 69 to 79. West winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 51 to 59. Highs 72 to 82. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with isolated showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 51 to 58. Highs 68 to 78. South winds around
5 mph.

$$