Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
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FNAK52 PAFG 242221
FWFWCZ

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
221 PM AKDT Mon Jun 24 2024

.DISCUSSION....High pressure will continue over much of the
western interior for the remainder of today and tomorrow. We will
see a continued warming trend with Wednesday being the warmest
with temperatures in the 70s to mid 80s. RH values will look to
stay in the 25% to 35% range. We will see increasing southerly
winds tomorrow of 15 to 20 mph. The Y-K Delta could see sustained
winds up to 25 mph. Today we are expecting scattered thunderstorms
from Mcgrath to Western slopes of the Alaskan Range. These storms
could produce rainfall totals up to 0.15". Tomorrow will be
similar with the scattered thunderstorm threat from McGrath to
Lake Minchumina.

The next major threat for thunderstorms will be Thursday. A low
will be approaching the Y-K Delta coastline. This will create a
boundary between the low and the high in the Eastern Interior. We
could see significant thunderstorm development along this boundary
from the Alcan Border to Point Hope. Precise timing, location and
conditions of these thunderstorms still have uncertainty, but the
boundary is consistent so we are quickly gaining confidence on
Thursday thunderstorms.

AKZ928-251630-
Lower Koyukuk Valley-
Including Huslia and Hughes
221 PM AKDT Mon Jun 24 2024

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            20           20           20
Temp (24h trend)      46-56 (+4)   72-82 (+11)  51-61        74-84
RH % (24h trend)      74-89 (-10)  28-43 (-5)   78-93        29-44
20ftWnd(mph)          NW 3-7       S 5-9 G19    S 6-10 G19   SE 5-9
CWR                   0            5            10           10
LAL                   1            2            2            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms and
isolated showers. Lows 53 to 63. Highs 73 to 83. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 50 to 60. Highs 73 to 83. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows 47 to 57.
Highs 73 to 83. West winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ924-251630-
Eastern Norton Sound and Nulato Hills-
Including Unalakleet, Stebbins, St Michael, Elim, Koyuk,
and Shaktoolik
221 PM AKDT Mon Jun 24 2024

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Chance precip (%)     0            30           30           20
Temp (24h trend)      46-53 (+5)   67-77 (+12)  48-58        70-80
RH % (24h trend)      84-99 (-9)   37-52 (-9)   83-98        33-48
20ftWnd(mph)          NW 3-7       S 9-13 G25   S 8-12 G24   SE 13-17 G32
CWR                   0            5            10           5
LAL                   1            2            2            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows 48 to 58.
Highs 63 to 73. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 45 to 55.
Highs 60 to 70. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows 44 to 54.
Highs 62 to 72. South winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ925-251630-
Yukon Delta Coast-
Including Mountain Village, Emmonak, Alakanuk, Kotlik,
Scammon Bay, Hooper Bay, Nunam Iqua, and Chevak
221 PM AKDT Mon Jun 24 2024

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Chance precip (%)     0            20           30           50
Temp (24h trend)      41-50 (+4)   63-73 (+12)  47-56        62-72
RH % (24h trend)      85-100 (-7)  ABV 40 (-14) 85-100       ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          N 6-10 G18   SE 13-17 G30 SE 15-19 G35 SE 21-25 G42
CWR                   0            5            5            20
LAL                   1            2            2            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY...Cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 43 to 53. Highs
55 to 65. Southeast winds around 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 42 to 52. Highs
52 to 62. Southeast winds around 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 41 to 49.
Highs 55 to 65. Southeast winds around 15 mph.

$$

AKZ926-251630-
Lower Yukon River-
Including Russian Mission, St Marys, Pilot Station, and Marshall
221 PM AKDT Mon Jun 24 2024

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Chance precip (%)     10           20           30           40
Temp (24h trend)      46-56 (+7)   64-74 (+4)   49-55        62-72
RH % (24h trend)      83-98 (-1)   39-54 (-3)   82-97        39-50
20ftWnd(mph)          Lgt/Var      S 11-15 G25  SE 12-16 G28 SE 17-21 G36
CWR                   5            5            10           10
LAL                   2            2            2            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 48 to 54.
Highs 55 to 65. Southeast winds around 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 45 to 52.
Highs 56 to 66. Southeast winds around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 45 to 51.
Highs 61 to 71. Southeast winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ929-251630-
Middle Yukon Valley-
Including Galena, Nulato, Kaltag, Ruby, and Koyukuk
221 PM AKDT Mon Jun 24 2024

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     10           30           30           20
Temp (24h trend)      47-57 (+4)   71-81 (+8)   50-60        75-85
RH % (24h trend)      83-98 (-12)  33-48 (0)    85-100       28-43
20ftWnd(mph)          Lgt/Var      S 6-10 G18   S 5-9 G18    SE 4-8
CWR                   5            5            10           10
LAL                   2            3            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms and
isolated showers. Lows 51 to 61. Highs 70 to 80. South winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows 48 to 58. Highs 70 to 80. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows 45 to 55.
Highs 72 to 82. West winds around 5 mph.

$$

AKZ930-251630-
Lower Yukon and Innoko Valleys-
Including Grayling, Holy Cross, Shageluk, and Anvik
221 PM AKDT Mon Jun 24 2024

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           20           20           20
Temp (24h trend)      48-58 (+5)   70-80 (+6)   48-58        71-81
RH % (24h trend)      84-99 (-2)   33-48 (-5)   84-99        31-46
20ftWnd(mph)          Lgt/Var      S 8-12 G22   S 8-12 G23   SE 8-12 G26
CWR                   10           10           10           5
LAL                   2            3            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 49 to 59. Highs 67 to 77. South winds around
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 47 to 57.
Highs 66 to 76. South winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows 46 to 56.
Highs 68 to 78. Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

AKZ951-251630-
North Slopes of the Western Alaska Range-
Including Farewell Lake
221 PM AKDT Mon Jun 24 2024

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     70           50           50           20
Temp (24h trend)      43-53 (0)    68-78 (+6)   43-53        71-81
RH % (24h trend)      84-99 (+2)   35-50 (-13)  84-99        30-45
20ftWnd(mph)          Lgt/Var      S 3-7        S 4-8        Lgt/Var
CWR                   60           20           10           10
LAL                   3            3            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 44 to 54. Highs 67 to 77. South winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 44 to 54.
Highs 67 to 77. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows 45 to 55.
Highs 70 to 80. Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

AKZ952-251630-
Upper Kuskokwim Valley-
Including McGrath, Nikolai, and Takotna
221 PM AKDT Mon Jun 24 2024

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     50           30           30           20
Temp (24h trend)      47-57 (+1)   70-80 (+5)   47-57        75-85
RH % (24h trend)      85-100 (+6)  34-49 (-8)   84-99        28-43
20ftWnd(mph)          Lgt/Var      S 3-7        S 4-8        SE 3-7
CWR                   40           10           10           10
LAL                   3            3            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 48 to 55. Highs 71 to 81. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 47 to 55.
Highs 69 to 79. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows 48 to 56.
Highs 71 to 81. West winds around 5 mph.

$$

AKZ923-251630-
Interior Seward Peninsula-
Including Serpentine Hot Springs, Council, Haycock,
Pilgrim Springs, and Taylor
221 PM AKDT Mon Jun 24 2024

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           None         Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance precip (%)     0            20           20           30
Temp (24h trend)      38-48 (+4)   66-76 (+10)  47-57        69-79
RH % (24h trend)      84-99 (-7)   35-50 (-7)   85-100       33-48
20ftWnd(mph)          SW 3-7       SE 8-12 G23  S 9-13 G24   SE 14-18 G31
CWR                   0            0            0            0
LAL                   1            1            1            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows 45 to 55.
Highs 65 to 75. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 44 to 54.
Highs 61 to 71. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows 41 to 51.
Highs 62 to 72. Southeast winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ918-251630-
Northern Seward Peninsula-
Including Deering, Buckland, and Candle
221 PM AKDT Mon Jun 24 2024

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           None         Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance precip (%)     0            20           20           20
Temp (24h trend)      33-43 (+4)   66-76 (+14)  40-50        70-80
RH % (24h trend)      85-100 (-8)  33-48 (-12)  85-100       33-48
20ftWnd(mph)          N 4-8        SE 8-12 G22  S 8-12 G23   SE 11-15 G26
CWR                   0            0            0            0
LAL                   1            1            1            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 40 to 50. Highs
68 to 78. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows 40 to 50. Highs
63 to 73. South winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain. Lows
39 to 49. Highs 62 to 72. Southwest winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ916-251630-
Lower Kobuk Valley-
Including Noorvik, Selawik, and Kiana
221 PM AKDT Mon Jun 24 2024

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           None         Showers      Showers      Tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            20           20           20
Temp (24h trend)      36-46 (+4)   66-76 (+15)  47-57        70-80
RH % (24h trend)      85-100 (-4)  31-46 (-18)  85-100       35-50
20ftWnd(mph)          W 5-9 G17    SE 8-12 G21  SE 6-10 G18  SE 7-11 G19
CWR                   0            5            5            5
LAL                   1            1            1            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 50 to 60. Highs 70 to 80. East winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 48 to 58. Highs 65 to 75. South winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain. Lows
46 to 56. Highs 64 to 74. Southwest winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ919-251630-
Upper Kobuk Valleys-
Including Ambler, Shungnak, and Kobuk
221 PM AKDT Mon Jun 24 2024

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     5            20           20           20
Temp (24h trend)      43-53 (+2)   73-83 (+14)  50-60        77-87
RH % (24h trend)      82-97 (-8)   26-38 (-12)  81-96        29-43
20ftWnd(mph)          W 5-9        SE 5-9 G17   S 5-9 G20    SE 5-9
CWR                   5            5            10           10
LAL                   2            2            2            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 53 to 63. Highs 75 to 85. East winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 52 to 61. Highs 75 to 85. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows 51 to 60.
Highs 76 to 86. West winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ913-251630-
South Slopes of the Western Brooks Range-
Including Walker Lake
221 PM AKDT Mon Jun 24 2024

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Showers      Showers      Tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           20           30           30
Temp (24h trend)      46-54 (0)    72-82 (+14)  51-61        77-87
RH % (24h trend)      81-96 (-12)  27-42 (-13)  80-95        29-44
20ftWnd(mph)          W 3-7        S 6-10 G18   S 6-10 G18   S 6-10 G17
CWR                   5            5            5            10
LAL                   2            1            1            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 51 to 61. Highs 76 to 86. East winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 51 to 61. Highs 74 to 84. South winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows 51 to 61.
Highs 75 to 85. West winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ914-251630-
Noatak Valley-
Including Noatak and Red Dog Mine
221 PM AKDT Mon Jun 24 2024

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           None         Showers      Showers      Tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            30           30           30
Temp (24h trend)      38-48 (+2)   65-75 (+12)  45-55        70-80
RH % (24h trend)      82-97 (-7)   29-44 (-12)  83-98        31-46
20ftWnd(mph)          W 5-9        SE 8-12 G21  S 7-11 G20   S 9-13 G22
CWR                   0            5            10           10
LAL                   1            1            1            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 49 to 59. Highs 71 to 81. East winds around
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 46 to 56. Highs 64 to 74. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows 44 to 54.
Highs 64 to 74. West winds around 5 mph.

$$