462
FNUS53 KAPX 101018
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
518 AM EST Mon Nov 10 2025

...Additional lake effect snow into tonight...

.DISCUSSION...

Additional lake effect snow showers are expected across parts of
northern Michigan today, especially later this afternoon and evening
west of I-75. Heaviest snow will be near and south of Grand Traverse
Bay, where 2-4" are forecasted by Tuesday morning and localized
amounts of 6" or more are possible near Manistee. Mainly light
northwest 20 ft winds between 5-10 mph are expected later today with
gusts between 10-20 mph at times, highest near the lakeshores. Highs
anticipated to stay in the low to mid 30s today. Minimum RH values
between 30-40 percent are expected this afternoon for areas east of
I-75 toward Saginaw Bay.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-102115-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
518 AM EST Mon Nov 10 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Isolated snow
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....32-37.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent...except 49-54 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......19 percent drier...except 5 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (670).
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in .
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Scattered snow
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....26-31...except 34-39 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer...except 16 degrees warmer
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent...except 73-78 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......15 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (83).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.13 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.VETERANS DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Numerous snow
                    showers and rain showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....37-42.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........59-64 percent...except 70-75 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......20 percent wetter...except 12 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (574).
Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.14 in.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-102115-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
518 AM EST Mon Nov 10 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Isolated snow
                    showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....31-36.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........34-39 percent.
   24 HR Trend......29 percent drier...except 12 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1096).
Mixing Height.......5400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Scattered snow
                    showers until 2400Isolated snow showers after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....26-31.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......20 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (79).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in .
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.VETERANS DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Scattered snow
                    showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....37-42.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........54-59 percent.
   24 HR Trend......22 percent wetter...except 10 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (590).
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-102115-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
518 AM EST Mon Nov 10 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Numerous snow
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....34-39.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent drier...except unchanged along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (509).
Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.14 in .
Chance of Thunder...9 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Numerous snow
                    showers until 2400, then scattered snow
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....25-30...except 34-39 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent...except 77-82 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter...except 1 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (82).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.17 in .
Chance of Thunder...6 percent.

.VETERANS DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Numerous snow
                    showers and scattered rain showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....38-43.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........67-72 percent.
   24 HR Trend......20 percent wetter...except 9 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 32 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (549).
Mixing Height.......2400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.11 in.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-102115-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
518 AM EST Mon Nov 10 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Scattered snow
                    showers until 1200, then numerous snow showers.
Max Temperature.....31-36.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent...except 68-73 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier...except 8 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (603).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.37 in .
Chance of Thunder...8 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Numerous snow
                    showers until 2400, then isolated snow showers.
Min Temperature.....25-30.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 84-89 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......18 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (50).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.20 in.
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.

.VETERANS DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Scattered snow
                    showers and rain showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....37-42.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........69-74 percent.
   24 HR Trend......15 percent wetter...except 5 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (568).
Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-102115-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
518 AM EST Mon Nov 10 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....30-35.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........33-38 percent.
   24 HR Trend......15 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1111).
Mixing Height.......5600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Isolated snow
                    showers until 2400Scattered snow showers after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....20-25.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 HR Trend......22 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (62).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.VETERANS DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Scattered snow
                    showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....36-41.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (614).
Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

DJC