Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 151954
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
354 PM EDT Sat Jun 15 2019

...Mainly Precipitation Free into Monday...

.DISCUSSION...High pressure will build into northern Michigan and
tonight and remain over the region for the next several days. This
will produce mainly precipitation free weather, but an isolated
shower cannot be ruled out. The minimum relative humidity is
expected to be above 40% for the next couple of days, with light
winds. Temperatures may reach 75 degrees by Monday.


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-160815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
354 PM EDT Sat Jun 15 2019

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....40-45.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler...except 5 degrees cooler
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....67-72...except 57-62 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (230).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min Temperature.....47-52.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent...except 75-80 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....70-75...except 58-63 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (70).
Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 0 mph shifting to the north around
                    3 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-160815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
354 PM EDT Sat Jun 15 2019

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min Temperature.....42-47.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....66-71...except 50-55 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (240).
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the east in
                    the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min Temperature.....46-51.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent...except 78-83 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph shifting to the north
                    after midnight. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph shifting to the northwest
                    around 3 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....69-74...except 52-57 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (60).
Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 3 mph shifting to the southeast in
                    the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-160815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
354 PM EDT Sat Jun 15 2019

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min Temperature.....41-46.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler...except 4 degrees cooler
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 7 percent drier along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....68-73...except 53-58 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier...except 2 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (160).
Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min Temperature.....48-53.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........84-89 percent.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent drier...except 7 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 3 mph shifting to the east after
                    midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....70-75...except 54-59 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter...except 5 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (100).
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 3 mph shifting to the
                    northeast in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ031>033-160815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
354 PM EDT Sat Jun 15 2019

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2400, then
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min Temperature.....43-48.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....68-73.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (190).
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min Temperature.....47-52.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........83-88 percent.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent drier...except 7 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Max Temperature.....71-76.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter...except 3 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (80).
Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph shifting to the south around
                    3 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-160815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
354 PM EDT Sat Jun 15 2019

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2400, then
                    partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....44-49.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....67-72.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (270).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the east in
                    the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min Temperature.....47-52.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........83-88 percent.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Max Temperature.....71-76.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (110).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 3 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. LIGHT WINDS.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. LIGHT WINDS.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

JL


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