Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 221929
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
329 PM EDT Sun Jul 22 2018

...Cooler with Off and On Rain Showers...

.DISCUSSION...As low pressure remains over lower Michigan, rain
showers will be expected to be off and on through the early part
of the week, especially in northeast lower Michigan. Winds through
the next couple of days will continue to be 5 to 10 mph with the
minimum relative humidity levels expected to remain above 55%.


MIZ016-017-019-021>023-230815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
329 PM EDT Sun Jul 22 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Scattered showers.
Min Temperature.....61-66.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (20).
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
                    showers until 1200, then slight chance of
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....72-77.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........64-69 percent.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent wetter...except 19 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (130).
Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Min Temperature.....59-64.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the northwest
                    around 3 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....79-84...except 70-75 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 HR Trend......15 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (350).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 3 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-230815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
329 PM EDT Sun Jul 22 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Numerous rain showers
                    until 2400, then scattered rain showers.
Min Temperature.....60-65.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 85-90 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (40).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.23 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200. Slight chance of showers.
Max Temperature.....73-78...except around 70 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........64-69 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier...except 3 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (90).
Mixing Height.......2700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Min Temperature.....61-66.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 3 mph shifting to the
                    northwest after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max Temperature.....79-84...except 70-75 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (390).
Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-230815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
329 PM EDT Sun Jul 22 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Scattered
                    showers until 2400, then isolated showers.
Min Temperature.....61-66.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (40).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....73-78...except 64-69 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........62-67 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (250).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min Temperature.....59-64.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....79-84...except 68-73 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent drier...except 9 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (330).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ031>033-230815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
329 PM EDT Sun Jul 22 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Scattered
                    showers until 2400, then isolated showers.
Min Temperature.....60-65.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (50).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....74-79.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........60-65 percent...except 69-74 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter...except 12 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (270).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min Temperature.....Around 60.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....79-84...except 72-77 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent...except 56-61 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (420).
Mixing Height.......5100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-230815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
329 PM EDT Sun Jul 22 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....59-64.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (40).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200. Slight chance of showers.
Max Temperature.....74-79.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........60-65 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (80).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Min Temperature.....60-65.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 3 mph shifting to the
                    northwest after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....80-85.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (510).
Mixing Height.......6000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 60.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

JL


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