Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
000
FNUS53 KAPX 201925
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
325 PM EDT Sat Apr 20 2019

...Critical level relative humidity levels expected again Sunday...

.DISCUSSION...High pressure and an attendant extremely dry low level
environment expected to continue through Sunday. Falling
temperatures tonight will result in decent relative humidity
recovery. Expect near surface moisture to mix out quickly on Sunday
as temperatures warm into the 60s (a bit cooler right near Lake
Huron). Minimum rh values will once again dip below critical levels,
especially across interior sections of northeast lower Michigan.
Winds will remain light through Sunday. Low pressure cutting across
the area early this work week will bring increasing low level
moisture and renewed rain chances, especially by later Monday
and Monday night.


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-211100-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
325 PM EDT Sat Apr 20 2019

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Clear (0-10 percent) until 2400, then partly
                    cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....32-37.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........67-72 percent...except 56-61 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier...except 16 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph shifting to the west around
                    6 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max Temperature.....64-69...except 48-53 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........22-27 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (190).
Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Min Temperature.....44-49.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........75-80 percent...except 65-70 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....67-72...except 49-54 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent...except 45-50 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......18 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (490).
Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.11 in.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-211100-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
325 PM EDT Sat Apr 20 2019

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min Temperature.....32-37.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........78-83 percent...except 64-69 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....61-66...except 47-52 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........21-26 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southeast in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (90).
Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 9 mph shifting to the
                    southwest around 3 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Min Temperature.....42-47.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer...except 2 degrees warmer near
                    the coast.
Max Humidity........78-83 percent...except 68-73 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Max Temperature.....69-74...except 48-53 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 HR Trend......15 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (620).
Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-211100-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
325 PM EDT Sat Apr 20 2019

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....32-37...except 39-44 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........68-73 percent...except 52-57 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph shifting to the
                    southwest around 3 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max Temperature.....65-70...except 42-47 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........24-29 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (280).
Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Min Temperature.....46-51.
   24 HR Trend......13 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........74-79 percent...except 63-68 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter...except 10 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Max Temperature.....67-72...except 42-47 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 6 degrees cooler near the
                    coast.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 HR Trend......17 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (530).
Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in.


$$

MIZ031>033-211100-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
325 PM EDT Sat Apr 20 2019

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....31-36.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........76-81 percent...except 65-70 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter...except 16 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph shifting to the west
                    around 3 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....66-71...except around 61 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........27-32 percent.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (290).
Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Min Temperature.....46-51.
   24 HR Trend......14 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........75-80 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Max Temperature.....68-73...except 57-62 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 HR Trend......17 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (810).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-211100-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
325 PM EDT Sat Apr 20 2019

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....32-37.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........78-83 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph shifting to the northwest
                    around 6 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........21-26 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (190).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Min Temperature.....40-45.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........78-83 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max Temperature.....70-75.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1120).
Mixing Height.......5300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS
IN THE MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

JZ/MSB


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.