Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 140836
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
336 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

...Just a bit milder with decreasing snow chances...

.DISCUSSION...High pressure will build through the region today,
exiting quickly off to our east tonight. This will result in quickly
decreasing snow chances this morning, with precipitation-free
weather expected this afternoon through Thursday. Decreasing winds
today become southwest and increase in speed a bit on Thursday.
These winds will usher in a bit milder airmass, especially by
Thursday. Next front arrives Friday, bringing the threat for a some
light rain and snow along with it.

MIZ016-017-019-021>023-142145-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
336 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent) until 1200, then partly
                    sunny (55-65 percent). Scattered snow showers
                    until 1200.
Max Temperature.....26-31.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (900).
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....22-27.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........84-89 percent...except 73-78 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....35-40.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (330).
Mixing Height.......1600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-142145-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
336 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....27-32.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (880).
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 24 mph decreasing to around 12
                    mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min Temperature.....21-26.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........86-91 percent...except 73-78 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (20).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 6 mph increasing to south
                    around 18 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....35-40.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........59-64 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (440).
Mixing Height.......2200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-142145-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
336 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Isolated snow
                    showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....29-34.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (720).
Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 21 mph becoming west around 9
                    mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....21-26...except 33-38 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........83-88 percent...except 67-72 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 4 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....36-41.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........54-59 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (320).
Mixing Height.......1600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ031>033-142145-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
336 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max Temperature.....28-33.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........55-60 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (650).
Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....21-26.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........83-88 percent...except 73-78 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 6 mph increasing to south
                    around 18 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....35-40.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........52-57 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (280).
Mixing Height.......1500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-142145-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
336 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Isolated snow
                    showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....27-32.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (660).
Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 21 mph decreasing to around 9
                    mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min Temperature.....19-24.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........85-90 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (20).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 6 mph increasing to south
                    around 18 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....34-39.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........56-61 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (310).
Mixing Height.......1800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS, SNOW SHOWERS AND
LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 30. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

MB



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