Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
427
FNUS54 KMAF 081945
FWFMAF
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for West Texas/Southeast New Mexico
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
245 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/
THIS EVENING FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15% OR LESS, 20-FT WINDS OF
20 MPH OR MORE, AND VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS SOUTH TO THE PRESIDIO
VALLEY...
.DISCUSSION...
Critical fire weather conditions continue to be dryline dependent,
and confined to areas that did not receive rainfall last week. An
incoming cold front Thursday night, and possible rainfall this
weekend, will largely dictate if, when, and where critical fire
weather conditions develop over the next week. At this time,
critical fire weather conditions look to redevelop over the higher
terrain of West Texas beginning Sunday. Recovery overnight will
be excellent in the extreme northeast, but only poor to moderate
elsewhere. Recovery Thursday night will be poor in the Presidio
Valley, but moderate to excellent elsewhere. Relative humidity
will bottom out at 4-40% Thursday afternoon, and 14-51% Friday.
&&
For point-specific forecasts please see the Point Fire Weather
Matrix product issued by the Midland/Odessa National Weather
Service Office.
NMZ116-091015-
Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains-
145 PM MDT Wed May 8 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 47 (-10) 80 (-2) 46 71
RH % (24h trend) 29 (+12) 8 (0) 64 28
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 16 NW 9 W 12 E 14
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 9 SW 13 NE 11 SE 16
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 4 6 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 41 22 30 18
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 11190 6100
Transport Wnd (kts) NW 19 SE 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 212610 134200
Vent Category Excellent Very good
RFTI 6 3 3 0
RFTI Category Critical Near Crit Near Crit Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. East winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 50. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds around
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Southwest winds around 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
$$
NMZ117-091015-
Chaves Plains-
145 PM MDT Wed May 8 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 48 (-9) 85 (-3) 50 77
RH % (24h trend) 32 (+17) 9 (+2) 65 27
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 13 N 8 SE 14 E 11
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 8 E 9 E 15 SE 14
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 4 6 2
Wind 10000 FT MSL 38 12 24 18
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 11480 7680
Transport Wnd (kts) N 16 SE 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 183680 130560
Vent Category Excellent Very good
RFTI 4 1 2 0
RFTI Category Near Crit Elevated Elevated Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds 15 to
20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
NMZ118-091015-
Eddy Plains-
145 PM MDT Wed May 8 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 54 (-9) 89 (-2) 54 77
RH % (24h trend) 27 (+11) 8 (0) 66 34
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 15 NW 8 SW 13 NE 11
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 8 W 12 E 14 E 14
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 4 5 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 35 23 26 17
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 11820 6270
Transport Wnd (kts) W 16 E 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 189120 106590
Vent Category Excellent Very good
RFTI 7 3 3 0
RFTI Category Extreme Near Crit Near Crit Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. East winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Warmer. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Northwest
winds around 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
$$
NMZ119-091015-
Lea-
145 PM MDT Wed May 8 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 50 (-10) 87 (-2) 51 76
RH % (24h trend) 33 (+17) 8 (+1) 69 30
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 13 N 7 SE 12 E 14
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 7 W 10 E 15 E 16
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 5 6 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 34 21 24 15
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 10970 6330
Transport Wnd (kts) W 13 E 19
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 142610 120270
Vent Category Very good Very good
RFTI 6 1 1 0
RFTI Category Critical Elevated Elevated Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 60s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds 15 to
20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Warmer. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast
winds around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northwest winds
around 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around
90. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South winds
10 to 15 mph.
$$
TXZ270-271-091015-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains National Park and
Pine Springs
245 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024 /145 PM MDT Wed May 8 2024/
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ THIS
EVENING...
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 53 (-6) 81 (+1) 50 72
RH % (24h trend) 28 (+10) 9 (0) 57 34
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 26 W 20 W 16 NE 25
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 25 W 23 NE 13 E 25
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 4 4 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 43 37 29 14
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 8920 4360
Transport Wnd (kts) W 25 E 33
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 223000 143880
Vent Category Excellent Very good
RFTI 7 7 5 2
RFTI Category Extreme Extreme Critical Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. East winds 20 to 25 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 80.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds 15
to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds around 15 mph.
$$
TXZ279-280-282-091015-
Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-Lower Brewster County-
Including the cities of Big Bend National Park, Panther Junction,
Marathon, Chisos Basin, Lajitas, and Castolon
245 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 20
Temp (24h trend) 61 (-6) 100 (+4) 59 87
RH % (24h trend) 24 (+1) 4 (-2) 73 24
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 9 W 10 NW 9 NE 18
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 8 W 14 NE 13 NE 19
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 5 6 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 22 24 19 11
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 11360 4350
Transport Wnd (kts) W 19 NE 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 215840 108750
Vent Category Excellent Very good
RFTI 5 3 3 2
RFTI Category Critical Near Crit Near Crit Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. East winds
around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Northwest
winds around 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
$$
TXZ272-273-275>278-281-091015-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Presidio Valley-
Including the cities of Van Horn, Marfa, Fort Davis, Alpine,
and Presidio
245 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 10
Temp (24h trend) 55 (-9) 92 (+2) 52 84
RH % (24h trend) 27 (+7) 7 (0) 59 23
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 12 W 11 NW 10 NE 15
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 10 W 16 NE 9 E 17
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 5 6 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 41 35 26 13
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 10600 5620
Transport Wnd (kts) W 22 E 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 233200 134880
Vent Category Excellent Very good
RFTI 6 4 3 1
RFTI Category Critical Near Crit Near Crit Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. East winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South winds around 15
mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Southwest winds around 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
TXZ045>048-050>053-060>063-067>070-075-082-091015-
Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-
Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-
Terrell-
Including the cities of Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, Andrews,
Stanton, Big Spring, Colorado City, Kermit, Odessa, Midland,
Garden City, Monahans, Crane, McCamey, Rankin, Big Lake,
Fort Stockton, Dryden, and Sanderson
245 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 10
Temp (24h trend) 57 (-8) 96 (+2) 55 80
RH % (24h trend) 45 (-8) 6 (-2) 77 33
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 9 NW 8 N 11 NE 14
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 6 NW 11 NE 13 E 15
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 5 6 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 32 27 22 14
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 9580 5380
Transport Wnd (kts) NW 18 E 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 172440 112980
Vent Category Excellent Very good
RFTI 3 2 2 0
RFTI Category Near Crit Elevated Elevated Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Warmer. Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. South winds
around 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
mid 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Southeast winds around 15 mph.
$$
TXZ059-274-091015-
Loving-Reeves County Plains-
Including the cities of Mentone and Pecos
245 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 10
Temp (24h trend) 60 (-7) 94 (-1) 57 80
RH % (24h trend) 25 (+7) 7 (0) 73 35
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 10 W 11 NW 9 NE 11
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 7 W 15 E 11 E 13
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 4 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 36 33 25 16
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 11820 5690
Transport Wnd (kts) W 20 E 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 236400 91040
Vent Category Excellent Good
RFTI 5 4 3 0
RFTI Category Critical Near Crit Near Crit Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 80.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. East winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 90. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds around
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 90.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Southwest winds around 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
mid 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
44