Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Glasgow, MT

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FXUS65 KGGW 251947

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Glasgow MT
147 PM MDT Wed Apr 25 2018


Cold front moving through this afternoon will generate wind gusts
to 35 mph, then some scattered light showers moving SE through
the area this evening. Winds shouldn`t be anything like what we
saw on Saturday, as inverted-v sounding is not in the cards thanks
to the thick veil of clouds overhead today.

Afterwards, a sharp upper ridge drifts east and allows for a
warming trend with plenty of sunshine. Look for temperatures to
rise to well above normal levels by Saturday.

Then a large closed Pacific system will move in from the Pacific
NW and bring healthy instability to the area by Sunday. The ECMWF
shows CAPES over 1000 J/kg to the area, while the GFS is further
east with this axis.

Cooler and marginally wet conditions can be expected for the
balance of early next week. Look for high temperatures to drop
back to below normal levels. TFJ



Expected Flight Category: VFR

Cold front moving SE through the area this afternoon will bring
NW to N winds with gusts to 30 kts for 2 to 3 hours. Afterwards,
VFR clouds will generate some virga this evening, then winds and
clouds will dissipate later tonight. TFJ


Flood warnings remain in effect for the Milk River and its
tributaries until further notice.

The Milk River continues to slowly rise from Tampico through
Nashua. The main concern is from Saco to Glasgow where Moderate
Flood Stage is expected to hold into next week.

The Frenchman Creek looks like it has crested, but due to high
water levels, a Flood Advisory is still in effect for this in
northeast Phillips County.

Water levels on Beaver Creek continue to drop but with high water
around Saco the Flood Warning remains in effect.

To monitor river stage readings, go to our Advanced Hydrologic
Prediction Service (AHPS) page at then
click on "Rivers and Lakes" then "River Observations". Data for
this page are provided by the USGS.




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