Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH

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Winter/Spring Flood Potential Outlook
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
436 PM EDT Thu Mar 21 2019

...Near Normal Flood Risk Through April 4...

Normal flood potential means at least some flooding is possible.
Above normal flood potential means more widespread flooding is
possible with some points possibly reaching moderate or major
flood levels.

This is a biweekly flood outlook issued by local NWS offices in
winter and early spring to summarize basin conditions and to
assess the potential for flooding. The outlooks are based on
current and forecast hydrometeorological conditions.

The factors considered when determining flood potential include
current streamflow and reservoir levels compared to normal for
the period, water equivalent in any snow pack, soil moisture
and expected precipitation.

...SNOW COVER AND SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT...
There is no snow within the basin.

...STREAMFLOW...
Streamflow is near normal across the region.

...ICE...
There is no ice on rivers within the basin.

...SOIL MOISTURE...
Soils moisture remains well above normal over the area. Soils
will be very responsive to runoff with any additional rainfall.

...RESERVOIR CAPACITY...
Reservoirs are near optimum winter flood control levels.

...WEATHER TRENDS AND PRECIPITATION...
Low pressure will bring rain to the region late on the 25th into
the 26th. While this rainfall may result in rises on area rivers,
flooding is not likely.

During the second week of the outlook period, precipitation is
forecast to be above normal. Flood potential remains near normal
for this week of the outlook, meaning widespread flooding is not
expected, though minor flooding at a forecast point or two is
possible.

Real time river information and forecasts for specific locations
along rivers across Central and Southern Ohio...Northern Kentucky
and Southeast Indiana can be found at
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=iln.

$$


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