Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Charleston, WV

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Winter/Spring Flood Potential Outlook
National Weather Service Charleston WV
1054 AM EST Thu Mar 7 2019


...The flood potential is expected to be above normal for the
next two weeks...

The flood potential for the next two weeks will be considered
above normal for the streams in the Charleston Hydrologic Service
Area (HSA). An above normal flood potential means widespread
flooding is possible along with water levels having significant
impacts in some areas.

Flood Outlooks are issued biweekly by the National Weather
Service in the winter and early spring to summarize basin hydro
meteorological conditions and to assess the potential for spring
flooding. The outlooks are based on current and expected
conditions...realizing that actual conditions may change during
the outlook period.

Factors to consider when assessing flood potential are:

Water content of the snowpack...the wetness of the
soils...widespread heavy rainfall...high streamflows...and
reservoir levels and ice coverage on the rivers.


Precipitation...
Precipitation was normal to slightly above normal for the past 30
days over much of the HSA.


Soil Conditions...
Soils are saturated to frozen. This can cause efficient runoff
from any future rain.


Snow Cover and Snow Water Equivalent...
2 to 8 inches of snow was confined to the highest elevations of
the eastern mountains of WV. A trace to 2 inches of snow was
noted elsewhere, across most of the HSA.

Snow water equivalents range from a trace to 1 inch across much
of the HSA. Up to 2 inches in the higher elevation snow pack.


Reservoirs Capacity...
Reservoir levels are at or slightly above normal winter pools for
this time of year.


River Ice Conditions...
No Ice was reported.


River Flows...
River flows on rivers are expected to be above normal for the
next two weeks.


The Hydrologic Outlook through the next two weeks...
The wet pattern will continue through March with above normal
precipitation and flood potential.


Real time river information and forecasts for specific locations
along rivers across Eastern Kentucky...Southeast Ohio...Buchanan
and Dickenson counties in Southwest Virginia and much of West
Virginia can be found at:

water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=rlx

or at

water.weather.gov/ahps2/long_range.php?wfo=rlx&percent=50


Rainfall is the primary factor leading to flooding. Heavy or
excessive rainfall can cause flooding any time of the year even
where the flood potential is below normal.



$$



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