River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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FGUS51 KTAR 151627
RVFBUF
RIVER STAGE FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...NORTON, MA
1124 AM EST Fri Jan 15 2021
:
:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.
:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.
:
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Attica, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.50 ft at Jan-15 11:00 am
:
.ER ATTN6 20210115 E DC202101151114/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0115:       ::       ::/     3.5/     3.6
.E2 :0116:/     3.8/     3.9/     3.8/     3.7
.E3 :0117:/     3.6/     3.6/     3.6/     3.5
.E4 :0118:/     3.5/     3.5
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY
:Flood Stage 9.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.11 ft at Jan-15 11:00 am
:
.ER BTVN6 20210115 E DC202101151114/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0115:       ::       ::/     2.1/     2.1
.E2 :0116:/     2.1/     2.2/     2.4/     2.5
.E3 :0117:/     2.5/     2.5/     2.4/     2.4
.E4 :0118:/     2.3/     2.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.13/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.08/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.05/
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.08 ft at Jan-15 11:00 am
:
.ER RAPN6 20210115 E DC202101151114/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0115:       ::       ::/     2.1/     2.1
.E2 :0116:/     2.1/     2.2/     2.4/     2.5
.E3 :0117:/     2.5/     2.5/     2.5/     2.5
.E4 :0118:/     2.5/     2.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.12/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.05/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.05/
:*************************************************
:Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.97 ft at Jan-15 10:15 am
:
.ER GOWN6 20210115 E DC202101151114/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0115:       ::       ::/     2.0/     2.2
.E2 :0116:/     2.7/     2.9/     2.8/     2.6
.E3 :0117:/     2.5/     2.4/     2.4/     2.2
.E4 :0118:/     2.2/     2.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.03/ 0.11/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.07/ 0.09/ 0.05/ 0.02/ 0.04/ 0.06/
:*************************************************
:Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY
:Flood Stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 0.99 ft at Jan-15 10:15 am
:
.ER GDVN6 20210115 E DC202101151114/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0115:       ::       ::/     1.0/     1.1
.E2 :0116:/     1.3/     1.9/     1.8/     1.6
.E3 :0117:/     1.5/     1.3/     1.2/     1.1
.E4 :0118:/     1.1/     1.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.11/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.06/ 0.12/ 0.05/ 0.02/ 0.04/ 0.05/
:*************************************************
:Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.80 ft at Jan-15 10:30 am
:
.ER LCSN6 20210115 E DC202101151114/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0115:       ::       ::/     3.8/     4.0
.E2 :0116:/     4.5/     4.4/     4.3/     4.3
.E3 :0117:/     4.2/     4.1/     4.2/     4.3
.E4 :0118:/     4.2/     4.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.11/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.05/ 0.11/ 0.04/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.05/
:*************************************************
:Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.72 ft at Jan-15 11:00 am
:
.ER EBZN6 20210115 E DC202101151114/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0115:       ::       ::/     2.7/     2.8
.E2 :0116:/     3.0/     3.4/     3.6/     3.6
.E3 :0117:/     3.5/     3.4/     3.3/     3.2
.E4 :0118:/     3.1/     3.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.11/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.09/ 0.12/ 0.06/ 0.02/ 0.05/ 0.06/
:*************************************************
:Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.35 ft at Jan-15 10:15 am
:
.ER WILN6 20210115 E DC202101151114/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0115:       ::       ::/     2.4/     2.4
.E2 :0116:/     2.5/     2.6/     2.7/     2.9
.E3 :0117:/     2.9/     3.0/     3.0/     2.9
.E4 :0118:/     2.9/     2.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.11/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.04/ 0.07/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.05/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Wellsville, NY
:Flood Stage 11.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.78 ft at Jan-15 10:45 am
:
.ER WLLN6 20210115 E DC202101151114/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0115:       ::       ::/     4.8/     4.8
.E2 :0116:/     5.2/     5.6/     5.6/     5.5
.E3 :0117:/     5.4/     5.3/     5.2/     5.2
.E4 :0118:/     5.1/     5.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.20/ 0.05/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.02/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Portageville, NY
:Flood Stage 19.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 9.28 ft at Jan-15 11:00 am
:
.ER PRTN6 20210115 E DC202101151114/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0115:       ::       ::/     9.3/     9.3
.E2 :0116:/     9.5/     9.9/    10.3/    10.4
.E3 :0117:/    10.3/    10.1/    10.0/     9.9
.E4 :0118:/     9.8/     9.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.13/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.03/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY
:Flood Stage 760.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 590.57 ft at Jan-15 10:00 am
:Crest 594.18 at Jan-17 1am
:
.ER MMDN6 20210115 E DC202101151114/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0115:       ::       ::/   590.6/   590.6
.E2 :0116:/   590.8/   591.1/   592.4/   593.9
.E3 :0117:/   594.2/   593.2/   592.4/   591.7
.E4 :0118:/   591.2/   591.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.11/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.03/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Avon, NY
:Flood Stage 33.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 16.84 ft at Jan-15 11:00 am
:Crest 19.98 at Jan-17 7pm
:
.ER AVON6 20210115 E DC202101151114/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0115:       ::       ::/    16.8/    16.8
.E2 :0116:/    16.8/    17.0/    17.4/    18.2
.E3 :0117:/    18.9/    19.5/    19.9/    20.0
.E4 :0118:/    19.7/    19.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.11/ 0.10/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.04/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.74 ft at Jan-15 11:00 am
:
.ER GRBN6 20210115 E DC202101151114/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0115:       ::       ::/     2.7/     2.7
.E2 :0116:/     2.7/     2.8/     2.9/     3.0
.E3 :0117:/     3.2/     3.2/     3.2/     3.1
.E4 :0118:/     3.1/     3.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.14/ 0.05/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.05/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.04/
:*************************************************
:Black Creek - Churchville, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.90 ft at Jan-15 11:00 am
:
.ER CHRN6 20210115 E DC202101151114/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0115:       ::       ::/     1.9/     1.9
.E2 :0116:/     1.9/     2.0/     2.0/     2.0
.E3 :0117:/     2.0/     2.0/     2.0/     2.0
.E4 :0118:/     2.0/     2.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.14/ 0.06/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.04/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Rochester, NY
:Flood Stage 15.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 5.36 ft at Jan-15 07:00 am
:
.ER RHRN6 20210115 E DC202101151114/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0115:       ::       ::/     5.3/     5.3
.E2 :0116:/     5.3/     5.3/     5.5/     5.7
.E3 :0117:/     5.9/     6.2/     6.4/     6.5
.E4 :0118:/     6.5/     6.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.10/ 0.13/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.04/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY
:Flood Stage 6.5 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.95 ft at Jan-15 10:30 am
:
.ER HNYN6 20210115 E DC202101151114/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0115:       ::       ::/     2.9/     2.9
.E2 :0116:/     2.9/     3.0/     3.2/     3.3
.E3 :0117:/     3.3/     3.3/     3.2/     3.2
.E4 :0118:/     3.2/     3.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.11/ 0.17/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.04/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY
:Flood Stage 690.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 686.90 ft at Jan-15 10:15 am
:
.ER CNDN6 20210115 E DC202101151114/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0115:       ::       ::/   686.9/   686.9
.E2 :0116:/   686.9/   687.0/   687.0/   687.0
.E3 :0117:/   687.0/   687.0/   687.0/   687.0
.E4 :0118:/   687.0/   687.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.14/ 0.22/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.03/
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY
:Flood Stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.28 ft at Jan-15 10:30 am
:
.ER CPNN6 20210115 E DC202101151114/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0115:       ::       ::/     3.3/     3.3
.E2 :0116:/     3.3/     3.4/     3.5/     3.5
.E3 :0117:/     3.4/     3.3/     3.3/     3.3
.E4 :0118:/     3.3/     3.3
:*************************************************
:Black River - Boonville, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.43 ft at Jan-15 11:00 am
:
.ER BOON6 20210115 E DC202101151114/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0115:       ::       ::/     4.4/     4.4
.E2 :0116:/     4.4/     4.4/     4.4/     4.4
.E3 :0117:/     4.4/     4.4/     4.5/     4.5
.E4 :0118:/     4.4/     4.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.17/ 0.26/ 0.05/ 0.08/ 0.09/ 0.08/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.02/
:*************************************************
:Moose River - McKeever, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.04 ft at Jan-15 10:30 am
:
.ER MCKN6 20210115 E DC202101151114/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0115:       ::       ::/     3.0/     3.0
.E2 :0116:/     3.0/     3.0/     3.0/     3.0
.E3 :0117:/     3.1/     3.3/     3.5/     3.6
.E4 :0118:/     3.6/     3.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.20/ 0.28/ 0.04/ 0.08/ 0.11/ 0.07/ 0.04/ 0.01/ 0.02/
:*************************************************
:Black River - Watertown, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.73 ft at Jan-15 10:30 am
:
.ER ARTN6 20210115 E DC202101151114/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0115:       ::       ::/     3.8/     3.7
.E2 :0116:/     3.7/     3.7/     3.8/     4.0
.E3 :0117:/     4.1/     4.3/     4.4/     4.3
.E4 :0118:/     4.3/     4.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.18/ 0.25/ 0.06/ 0.11/ 0.13/ 0.09/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.02/
$$
:NERFC
:...END OF MESSAGE


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