947
FXUS64 KJAN 101741 AAA
AFDJAN

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1241 PM CDT Fri May 10 2024

...New AVIATION...

.MESOSCALE UPDATE...
Issued at 939 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024

The cold front has pushed southeast of the area and the chance for
rain has ended. Cooler and drier air will continue to filter into
our CWA today as a surface high builds in from the northwest. The
forecast was updated to remove pops from the southeast. /22/

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 315 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024

Today through Thursday night...The bulk of the storms are beginning
to move east of the area this morning, but showers will continue to
be possible through mid morning. Skies will begin to clear later
this morning into this afternoon, as surface high pressure builds
in with highs mainly in the low to mid 80s.

High pressure and dry conditions will prevail through most of the
weekend with highs around 80 degrees. Moisture will begin to
increase on Sunday, with increasing chances for storms mainly in the
south Sunday afternoon. A warm front will begin to push north over
the area Sunday night, with widespread showers/storms developing
over much of the area during the timeframe. Currently it looks like
the primary threat will be heavy rainfall with these storms, but
this will have to continue to be monitored. Expect the bulk of the
storms to move east of the area through the morning hours on Monday.
We will get a bit of a break Monday afternoon, but another short
wave/cold front will approach the area Monday evening, with another
round of storms Monday evening into the overnight hours. Showers
will continue to be possible into Tuesday as the main upper trough
moves across the area. High pressure and dry conditions return
briefly on Wednesday, but yet another series of short waves will
kick of more showers/storms Thursday and Thursday night. /15/

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1237 PM CDT Fri May 10 2024

A nw-n wind will gust 18-20kts this aftn before subsiding by 00Z
Sat. Otherwise, VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF
period. /22/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       82  58  79  62 /   0   0   0   0
Meridian      83  55  81  60 /   0   0   0   0
Vicksburg     82  58  81  63 /   0   0   0   0
Hattiesburg   86  60  83  62 /   0   0   0   0
Natchez       82  59  81  62 /   0   0   0   0
Greenville    82  59  81  64 /   0   0   0   0
Greenwood     81  56  81  62 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

15/22