Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Hastings, NE

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FXUS63 KGID 222321
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
621 PM CDT Sat Sep 22 2018

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 321 PM CDT Sat Sep 22 2018

Clear skies are found across the region with south winds that have
become a little gusty.

The surface high continues to move to the east, but skies are
expected to remain clear tonight into Sunday. As the surface high
moves to the east, there is a surface low that is developing to the
northwest.

Through tonight the winds should settle into the 10 to 15 mph range.
The winds should keep the temperatures from falling off as much as
they did last night. On Sunday, the sunny skies will continue, but
there will be south winds that increase a little allowing
temperatures to warm a little more than today.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday night through Saturday)
Issued at 321 PM CDT Sat Sep 22 2018

There are a couple of chances for precipitation during the period.

The first will be Monday afternoon into Tuesday. Sunday night into
Monday there is a surface low developing to the northwest of the
forecast area. As the low develops, the south winds across the area
will bring in additional moisture. The cold front with the surface
low will move through the forecast area mostly during the day on
Monday. There are a couple of models that are just a little slower
and keep it in the southeast into Monday evening. Monday morning
should be dry and even into the afternoon much of the area will be
dry. There could be a little that settles into the area late in the
afternoon, but most of the precipitation will be along the front
during the evening and into the overnight. There is a chance across
the area, but the best chance for thunderstorms will be in the
southeast. A lot will depend on the location of the front as the
upper wave moves into the area Monday night into Tuesday. By
Tuesday, the instability decreases and the chances for thunder will
decrease.

Behind the cold front Monday, the temperatures will return to below
normal for a few days. A cool high pressure system moves through the
area Tuesday night into Wednesday and even as the high moves to the
east Wednesday, the temperatures remain on the cool side. Another
upper level wave and cold front move through the area on Thursday,
but this remains dry and cooler.

The next chance for precipitation comes late Thursday night into
Saturday. The cold front that moves through Thursday pushes back
north as a warm front. There is an upper level wave that moves
through the area and there could be some small chances for showers.
The models have a few differences in the timing and location of the
upper wave so will need to watch to see what happens with this
system.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS through 00Z Sunday)
Issued at 620 PM CDT Sat Sep 22 2018

VFR conditions expected to prevail. The main aviation forecast
concern is breezy southerly winds Sunday afternoon. Southerly
winds will decrease overnight as mixing subsides. By mid to late
morning southerly winds will become breezy with gusts up to 25kts.
Skies are expected to remain mostly clear throughout the TAF
period.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...JCB
LONG TERM...JCB
AVIATION...Billings Wright


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