Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA

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FXUS64 KLCH 221125
AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
625 AM CDT Fri Jun 22 2018

.DISCUSSION...
For the 22/12Z TAF Issuance.

&&

.AVIATION...
Some patchy fog and low clouds will be around the forecast area
through about 22/15Z. Mainly MVFR ceilings, however some IFR
conditions may occur at times with the patchy fog. Otherwise,
once the low clouds lift, VFR conditions expected for the
remainder of the day. A short wave dropping down out of the
southern Plains and associated convection is progged to stay north
of the forecast area this afternoon.

Rua

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 357 AM CDT Fri Jun 22 2018/

DISCUSSION...
The upper trough that brought another round of significant
rainfall across portions of southeast Texas and southwest
Louisiana yesterday is presently moving east across the ohio
valley. Guidance is in pretty good agreement with regards to
developing another round of convection across northern Louisiana
during the morning which will work its way southeast through the
day. The good news is that virtually all of the guidance keeps the
activity across north Louisiana before showing dissipation later
this evening.

With the rain finally out of the picture across our area for a
while, parts of the region that were hit hardest over the past
few days will have a chance to dry out this weekend as weak high
pressure over the eastern and central gulf of Mexico will combine
with weak ridging aloft to keep even our typical isolated
afternoon thunderstorms at bay. The lack of precipitation and
cloud cover will allow afternoon highs to rebound back into the
lower 90s through the forecast period.

The next appreciable chance of rain won`t come until mid next week
as an upper trough progged to move out of the pacific northwest
and across the north central U.S. will help break down the upper
ridge and allow for the return of scattered afternoon showers and
thunderstorms.

MARINE...
Light to moderate onshore flow will prevail through the middle of
next week as surface high pressure ridges westward across the
northern Gulf of Mexico. Fair weather will prevail through the
weekend with isolated showers and thunderstorms returning by mid
week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  93  74  93  75 /  10  10  10   0
LCH  90  78  89  78 /  10  10  10  10
LFT  91  76  91  77 /  10  10  10  10
BPT  91  77  90  79 /  10  10  10  10

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$


AVIATION...07



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