Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

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FXUS65 KLKN 190808
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
108 AM PDT Thu Jul 19 2018

.SYNOPSIS...Hot, again. Some moisture creeping into central and
eastern Nevada with a limited monsoon. Thunderstorms there will be
on the wet side with some localized heavy showers. Storm wander
north through the weekend. Highs will be around 100 or higher in
valleys around the region through at least today. Drink a lot of
water.


&&

.SHORT TERM...Today through Saturday.

Four Corners high stays in place through the short term. Hot and
mostly dry over the region. Exception is central highlands and
eastern Nevada where the edge of the monsoon will reach. Storms
with brief heavy rain shower are possible there. White Pine County
may see marginally severe thunderstorms today.

Heat Advisory for portions of the central and northern Great Basin
today and tonight with valleys hitting 100 and higher. More clouds
Friday MAY mean a bit cooler. No promises.

.LONG TERM...Saturday night through next Thursday. Favorable
positioning of high pressure over the Four-corners region will
promote monsoon and subtropical moisture advection into the state
for much of next week. A mix of wet and dry afternoon showers and
thunderstorms are expected each day. Upper-level forcing will be
limited on the northwest periphery of the ridge so a diurnal
convective mode is expected to persist through at least Thursday.
Temperatures will be a few degrees lower than the past few days as
with lows generally in the 60s and highs in the 90s with the
lowest valleys reaching the lower 100s.


&&

.AVIATION...VFR conditions are expected at KWMC, KBAM, KEKO, KELY,
and KTPH through Thursday evening. Isolated thunderstorms capable
of producing locally stronger outflow winds will redevelop Thursday
afternoon and evening in the vicinity of KELY and KTPH. Isolated
storms to gradually spread northward on Friday.



&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Broken record discussion. Little day to day change in
forecast or conditions. Strong upper ridge of high pressure will
make most zones hot and dry. Thursday a few storms will form over
central and eastern Nevada mostly south of US Highway 50. These
storms will be a mix of wet and dry, leaning more towards wet. Min
Rh`s in 20s and 30s south with single to teens north. Recoveries
will be in the 50s and 60s in central Nevada with only 20s and 30s
north. RH recoveries will improve towards the end of the week.
NOTE: Some storms over zone 455 and far eastern zone 457 could
approach severe limits through Thursday night with damaging gusty
winds and hail up to nickel size, along with brief torrential
rains.

By Friday thunderstorm coverage increases toward the north, with
storms transitioning to more wet. Some storms in central and
eastern Nevada will become wet enough to cause local flooding.
Storms over northern Nevada, although "wet" by definition, will
only be barely so.


&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 11 PM PDT this evening
for Humboldt County-Northern Lander County and Northern Eureka
County-Northwestern Nye County-Southwestern Elko County.

&&

$$

98/93/93/98


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