Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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Drought Information Statement
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1000 AM CDT Tue Oct 2 2018

...Some regressions have been seen in the northwest portion of the
Texas Panhandle. Improvements across the area have mostly deceased...

Synopsis...

September has ended with above normal temperatures and
drier than normal precipitation amounts. The average max temperature
for Amarillo was about 2 degrees higher than the normal average max
temperature. Amarillo was 1.16 inches shy of the normal rain amounts
for the month of September.

According to the most recent U.S. Drought Monitor released Thursday
September 27, 2018, no areas are in D4(Exceptional Drought), and
there are only a few areas in D3 (Extreme Drought) with the largest
being in the northern half of Armstrong County. Some areas in the
the northwest Texas Panhandle have been put back into D0 (Abnormally
Dry) and D1 (Moderate Drought) after being out of them for a couple
of months.

D0 - Abnormally Dry
D1 - Moderate Drought
D2 - Severe Drought
D3 - Extreme Drought
D4 - Exceptional Drought

The USDM releases a weekly product each Thursday morning and is
produced through a partnership between the National Drought
Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska, the U.S. Department
of Agriculture (USDA), and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration (NOAA). The USDM is based on measurements of
climatic, hydrologic, and soil conditions as well as reported
impacts and observations.

The local Drought Information Statement is issued by the NWS office
in Amarillo when needed to supplement the national USDM product.
Local statements are generally generated monthly but can be issued
bi-monthly during times when the USDM indicates severe drought
conditions or as local conditions warrant.

Summary of Impacts...

State and Local Actions:
No known state or local actions are currently in place at this time.

Agricultural Impacts...

Ranchers have continued to bring in feed for livestock in the
southern Texas Panhandle due to the lack of nutrient rich grasses.
This time of year we usually find pumpkins, but for local farmers
the numbers are down from last year. Some farmers have only planted
half of the number of acres they normally do with pumpkins knowing
that they need lots of water, which the southern Texas Panhandle is
lacking.

Fire Impacts...

Dry fuels still exist across the area in areas that are still in
at least one drought category. Isolated fires can still start from
human impacts. As the summer comes to an end we head into a time of
the year where we can see a secondary fire season of the year. As we
change from Summer to Winter, the Fall can bring gusty winds with in
the threshold for red flag warnings. As of right now we are still
staying some what humid but this can change as well.

Counties still in a burn ban:
In Texas: Dallam, Hartley, Oldham, Armstrong, Donley, and Donley.
In Oklahoma: None

Note that the fire danger conditions can change quickly from day to
day as 20 foot winds and minimum afternoon relative humidities vary.
The Texas A&M Forest Service advises to watch out for key weather
thresholds of 20 foot winds above 15 to 25 mph and relative
humidities below 15 to 25 percent. When these thresholds are
exceeded, expect the fire danger conditions to increase to elevated
and critical.


Climate Summary...

All three official climate sites are in a deficit for rainfall,
hence the drought categories. September was above normal for
temperatures. However this past September does not even rank in the
top 30 for the warmest Septembers for Amarillo. Its does however rank
21 in the hottest Septembers for Borger, and 12th for Dalhart.

For the driest September on record; Amarillo ranks 17, Borger ranks
27, and Dalhart ranks 11 for September 2018.

Precipitation/Temperature Outlook...

Climate Prediction Center (CPC) outlook products continue to show us
higher chances for getting above normal average temperatures (40-50%
above over the next three months).

For precipitation the three month climate outlook has us at a 33-40%
chance to have above normal precipitation, 33% chance of normal
precipitation, and a 33-26% chance of being below normal
precipitation over the next three months.

Hydrologic Summary and Outlook...

Stream flows are near normal.

Next Issuance Date...

The drought information statement may be updated on November 1st,
2018, or sooner if significant changes in drought conditions
occur.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...
Additional information on current drought conditions may be found
at the following web addresses:

US Drought Monitor:
http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu

US Drought Information System:
http://www.drought.gov

NOAA Drought Page:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Drought

National Weather Service Amarillo:
http://weather.gov/ama

Texas A&M AgriLife:
https://agrilife.org

Oklahoma Agriculture Food and Forestry:
https://www.oda.state.ok.us

Arkansas-Red Basin River Forecast Center
http://weather.gov/abrfc/DROUGHT

U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Tulsa District
http://www.swt-wc.usace.army.mil

ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION...

National Weather Service:
http://water.weather.gov

US Geological Survey:
http://water.usgs.gov

US Army Corps of Engineers:
http://www.usace.army.mil

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...
The Drought Monitor is a multi-agency effort involving the
National Weather Service and National Centers for Environmental
Information, the USDA, state and regional center climatologists
and the National Drought Mitigation Center. Information for this
statement has been gathered from NWS and FAA observation sites,
state cooperative extension services, the USDA, USACE and USGS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...
If you have questions or comments about this Drought Information
Statement, please contact:

National Weather Service
1900 English Road
Amarillo, TX 79108
Phone...806-335-1121
sr-ama.webmaster@noaa.gov

$$

Hoffeditz


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