973
FXUS64 KBRO 132325 AAA
AFDBRO

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Brownsville TX
625 PM CDT Sun Jul 13 2025

...New AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1235 PM CDT Sun Jul 13 2025

Generally rain-free conditions, near to slightly above normal
temperatures, and breezy afternoons will prevail through the week
across Deep South Texas as the region remains under the influence
of mid-level ridging aloft. Additionally, persistent low level
southerly to southeasterly flow will maintain humid conditions
each day as Gulf moisture is transported toward the region. In
combination with afternoon temperatures in the mid to upper 90s,
heat index values each afternoon will range from 100 to 110
degrees. An isolated shower or thunderstorm may develop along the
sea breeze each afternoon on Monday and Tuesday, but increasing
subsidence and the presence of slightly drier air by Wednesday
should result in less favorable conditions heading into the end of
the week and weekend.

A moderate risk of rip currents will continue along the Lower
Texas beaches over the next several days.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 616 PM CDT Sun Jul 13 2025

Breezy south-southeasterly winds are expected to wane down to a
light to moderate breeze (around 08-12 knots) shortly after
sunset this evening along with VFR conditions continuing at all
terminals til about 06-08Z tonight. Overnight, enhanced lower
level moisture is likely (60-70% chance) to result in MVFR
ceilings at KMFE, while a moderate (40-50%) chance for periods of
MVFR ceilings are possible at KHRL and KBRO, noted in the
TEMPO`s. A brief period, or two, of IFR cloud heights is possible
at KMFE towards sunrise. Conditions improve Monday morning back to
VFR with south-southeasterly winds increasing back to similar
speeds as today (15-20 knots gusting to 20-26 knots) at all sites.


&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1235 PM CDT Sun Jul 13 2025

Light to moderate southeast winds and low to moderate seas will
result in generally favorable marine conditions through the week.
Brief Small Craft Exercise Caution conditions cannot be ruled out
during the afternoon hours each day along the Laguna Madre due to
a locally enhanced pressure gradient. Expect rain-free conditions
through the end of the week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BROWNSVILLE             79  93  80  93 /   0  10   0  10
HARLINGEN               77  95  77  96 /   0  10   0  10
MCALLEN                 80  97  80  97 /   0  10   0  10
RIO GRANDE CITY         77  98  78  98 /  10  10  10  10
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND      80  87  80  87 /  10  10  10   0
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL     79  91  78  91 /   0  10   0  10

&&

.BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...22-Garcia
LONG TERM....22-Garcia
AVIATION...65-Irish