Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Boston, MA

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2
000
FNUS71 KBOX 070310
FWSBOX

Spot Forecast for Noquochoke WMA prescribed burn...MassWildlife
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
1110 PM EDT Thu May 6 2021

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0500 EDT on May 07.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Less windy conditions are expected Friday with minimum relative humidity
around 40 percent. Scattered rain showers return on Saturday with
light northeasterly winds. Min relative humidities Saturday around 50
percent.

OUTLOOK...Sunday through Tuesday...

Dry on Sunday before more widespread rain returns overnight and
Monday. Expecting somewhat drier and windier conditions by Tuesday.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 42.
Max humidity........73 percent.
Dewpoint............35.
Max apparent temp...40.
Surface winds.......Light winds.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2000 knot-ft).
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................3.
Haines Index........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire
                    growth.
CEILING (KFT).......25.

TIME (EDT)      5AM
Sky (%).........87
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0
Temp............43
Dewpoint........35
RH..............73
Heat index (F)..40
20 FT wind dir..NE
20 FT wind spd..2
20 FT wind gust.10
Surface wnd dir.NE
Surface wnd spd.2
Surface wnd gst.10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3
Transp wind dir.N
Transp wind spd.7
LVORI...........3
ADI.............3
Haines index....4
VRate kt-ft/10002
Ceiling (kft)...25

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 61.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Dewpoint............36.
Max apparent temp...59.
Surface winds.......Light winds becoming east 5 to 9 mph through
                    early afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 7 to 11 mph through
                    early afternoon.
Mixing height.......400-1200 ft AGL increasing to 3900-5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 3 to 8 mph increasing to 13 to 15 mph late
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (1100-35600 knot-ft) increasing to
                    good (51300 knot-ft) late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................5 increasing to 73.
Haines Index........3 to 4 OR very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.
CEILING (KFT).......25.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........79  70  53  46  40  34  34  36  43  27  26  31
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............43  45  49  54  56  58  59  58  58  58  58  56
Dewpoint........35  36  38  37  36  36  37  36  36  36  35  35
RH..............73  70  66  53  47  44  44  43  43  44  43  44
Heat index (F)..41  43  48  54  56  58  59  58  58  58  58  56
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..2   3   5   6   6   6   7   7   8   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.9   13  15  10  10  10  10  12  14  15  15  15
Surface wnd dir.NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Surface wnd spd.2   3   5   6   6   6   7   7   8   9   9   9
Surface wnd gst.9   13  15  10  10  10  10  12  14  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.6 1.2 2.8 4.0 4.6 5.0 5.3 5.1 4.7 4.3 3.9
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.3   5   5   6   6   6   7   7   8   13  15  15
LVORI...........3   3   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............3   4   7   21  30  33  40  42  47  69  77  71
Haines index....4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
VRate kt-ft/10001   2   5   14  20  23  30  32  36  52  56  51
Ceiling (kft)...25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers early in the morning.
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 40.
Max humidity........86 percent.
Dewpoint............36.
Max apparent temp...55.
Surface winds.......East winds 5 to 9 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 7 to 11 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Mixing height.......1900-3100 ft AGL decreasing to 400-1100 ft AGL
                    until just after midnight.
Transport winds.....Northeast 6 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (2100-39800 knot-ft).
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................57 decreasing to 6.
Haines Index........3 to 4 OR very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.
CEILING (KFT).......25 decreasing to 10.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........30     43     46     50     56     63
Weather cov.....                                   S CHC
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............55     50     47     45     44     42
Dewpoint........35     35     36     37     38     38
RH..............47     56     66     74     80     86
Heat index (F)..55     48     45     45     44     42
20 ft wind......E 9    E 6    E 3    NE 2   NE 2   NE 2
20 ft wind gust.14     13     10     9      8      9
Surface wind....E 9    E 6    E 3    NE 2   NE 2   NE 2
Surface wnd gst.14     13     10     9      8      9
Mix hgt (ft)....3100   1100   900    600    400    500
Transport wind..E 15   E 14   E 9    E 7    NE 6   NE 8
LVORI...........1      2      3      3      5      6
ADI.............57     9      4      3      3      4
Haines index....3      4      4      4      4      4
VRate kt-ft/100040     13     7      4      2      4
Ceiling (kft)...25     25     25     25     20     13

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers early in the morning. Slight
                    chance of rain showers, then chance of rain
                    showers in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 57.
Min humidity........55 percent.
Dewpoint............39.
Max apparent temp...55.
Surface winds.......Light winds becoming northeast 5 to 7 mph
                    through early afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast 7 to 11 mph
                    through early afternoon.
Mixing height.......1200-3000 ft AGL increasing to 3500-4800 ft AGL
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast 7 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (11100-43300 knot-ft).
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................21 increasing to 41 early, then decreasing to
                    38 early decreasing to 27 late in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire
                    growth.
CEILING (KFT).......10 decreasing to 3.0.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........69        73        79        88
Weather cov.....S CHC               S CHC     CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR    NONE      RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0         0         0         0
Temp............43        49        54        55
Dewpoint........39        40        39        39
RH..............86        71        57        55
Heat index (F)..41        47        54        55
20 FT wind......NE 3G10   NE 6G13   NE 7G14   NE 7G15
Surface wind....NE 3G10   NE 6G13   NE 7G14   NE 7G15
Mix hgt (ft)....1200      3000      4200      4400
Transport wind..NE 10     NE 10     NE 9      NE 9
LVORI...........4         3         1         1
ADI.............17        39        35        36
Haines index....4         4         4         4
VRate kt-ft/100011        27        34        35
Ceiling (kft)...10        8.0       5.0       4.5

$$
Forecaster...BRW
Requested by...Alex Entrup
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2111713.0/BOX
.DELDT 05/07/21
.EMAIL Alex.Entrup@mass.gov


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.