Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

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Spot Forecast for Moosehorn RX 5...FWS
National Weather Service Caribou ME
335 PM EDT Thu May 6 2021

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on May 07.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service at 207-492-0166.

.DISCUSSION...

High pressure will build in for Friday with drier and cooler
conditions. Humidities will fall around 30% and Haines index values
expected to be around 5 for Friday afternoon. NE winds possibly
shifting to the S due to sea breeze on Friday. Excellent humidity
recovery Friday night with winds shifting NE. Cloudy and cool conditions
Saturday with humidites remaining in the 50%.

Weather Coverage Abbreviations... SCH=Slight Chance, ISO=Isolated,
CHC=Chance, SCT=Scattered, LKY=Likely, NUM=Numerous,
DEF=Definite, WID=Widespread, OCL=Occasional, PDS=Periods,
ARS=Areas, PTY=Patchy

Weather Type Abbreviations... DYT=Dry Thunderstorms, TSM=Thunderstorms,
SN=Snow, RN=Rain, SW=Snow Showers, RW=Rain Showers,
DZL=Drizzle, FZR=Freezing Rain, FZD=Freezing Drizzle, SLT=Sleet,
FZF=Freezing Fog, IFG=Ice Fog, HAZ=Haze, BSN=Blowing Snow,
SMK=Smoke, FST=Frost, FZS=Freezing Spray, RS=Rain/Snow,
DZF=Drizzle/Fog, SNF=Snow/Fog, RNF=Rain/Fog,
ZRS=Freezing Rain/Snow

Other Abbreviations... NA=Not Available, M=Missing

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
Min humidity........36 percent.
WIND SHIFT..........Light N winds in the morning, possibly shifting to the S in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5300-7100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 7 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good to excellent (40300-82500 knot-ft).
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........22  27  32  35  38  41  43  45  47
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............48  50  53  54  56  58  58  58  58
RH..............56  50  44  43  40  37  36  36  36
Eye lvl wnd dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   4   4   4   3   2   2   2   1
Eye lvl wnd gst.6   6   6   6   6   3   3   3   3
Mix hgt (kft)...5.3 5.8 6.2 6.6 6.9 7.1 7.0 6.7 6.3
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N
Transp wind spd.16  16  15  14  13  12  9   8   7
VRate kt-ft/100073  79  83  81  76  68  59  49  40

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 37.
Max humidity........100 percent.
WIND SHIFT..........S to NE late evening
Mixing height.......4300-5800 ft AGL decreasing to 2600-3800 ft AGL
                    in the late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 15 mph increasing to 15 to 16 mph
                    after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair to good (22700-39200 knot-ft).
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........40  35  31  30  32  35  40  45  50  53  56  59
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............54  51  48  46  44  42  41  40  39  38  37  37
RH..............43  52  58  65  70  76  82  85  89  92  96  100
Eye lvl wnd dir.NE  E   S   SE  SE  E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE
Eye lvl wnd spd.1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   3   3
Eye lvl wnd gst.3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...5.8 5.3 4.8 4.3 3.8 3.4 3.0 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.9
Transp wind dir.N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   7   9   13  14  15  16  16  15  16
VRate kt-ft/100031  25  23  27  33  36  36  36  35  35  36  39

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 53.
Min humidity........52 percent.
WIND SHIFT..........None
Mixing height.......3200-4900 ft AGL increasing to 5200-5500 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast 17 to 25 mph increasing to 29 to 37
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good to excellent (47800-93000 knot-ft)
                    increasing to excellent (165700 knot-ft).
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........62  65  68  70  72  73  74  76  77  78  78  79
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............39  42  45  47  49  50  52  53  53  53  52  50
RH..............92  82  73  68  63  58  54  52  52  52  54  58
Eye lvl wnd dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.6   6   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...3.2 3.5 3.8 4.1 4.5 4.9 5.2 5.4 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.2
Transp wind dir.E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.17  20  23  25  29  31  32  33  35  36  37  37
VRate kt-ft/100048  60  76  93  112 131 147 158 166 171 172 168

$$
Forecaster...LAFLASH
Requested by...Bryan Daigle
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2111816.0/CAR
.DELDT 05/06/21
.EMAIL Bryan_Daigle@nps.gov


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