Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

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FNUS73 KDDC 060803
FWSDDC

Spot Forecast for Field Day Rx...Kansas Forest Service
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
303 AM CDT Thu May 6 2021

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on May 06.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (620) 225-6514, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southeast winds 7 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......1500-2800 ft AGL increasing to 6000-7100 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 17 mph shifting to the south 6 to 7
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 5 OR low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........5      2      5      7      9
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0
Temp............51     59     65     69     71
RH..............66     49     40     35     32
20 ft wind......NE 8   NE 9   E 7    SE 8   S 8
20 ft wind gust.13     10     10     11     11
Mix hgt (ft)....1500   2800   4400   6000   7100
Transport wind..NE 16  E 15   E 8    S 6    S 7
Haines index....4      4      4      5      5

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 49.
Max humidity........83 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South winds 8 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 23 mph
                    after midnight.
Mixing height.......6600-7200 ft AGL decreasing to 0-700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 9 to 17 mph increasing to south 20 to
                    28 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........4 to 5 OR low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........5      5      5      2      7      8
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............72     67     58     54     53     51
RH..............31     40     55     66     69     74
20 ft wind......S 9    SE 8   SE 8   SE 9   SE 11  S 11
20 ft wind gust.10     10     14     16     18     18
Mix hgt (ft)....7200   4600   300    200    700    600
Transport wind..S 9    S 14   SE 20  SE 24  SE 26  S 26
Haines index....5      5      4      4      4      4

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........26 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South winds 11 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 26 mph
                    until late afternoon.
Mixing height.......200-1700 ft AGL increasing to 7700-8300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 25 to 31 mph becoming southwest 8 to 12
                    mph.
Haines Index........3 to 6 OR very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to high potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........7      6      3      3      6      12
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............49     54     66     76     83     88
RH..............83     77     58     42     32     26
20 ft wind......S 11   S 13   S 14   S 12   S 11   S 11
20 ft wind gust.18     20     21     18     16     14
Mix hgt (ft)....200    900    2600   3100   5400   8300
Transport wind..S 29   S 30   S 30   SW 18  SW 9   SW 8
Haines index....4      4      3      3      5      6

$$
Forecaster...HOVORKA
Requested by...Aaron T Williams
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2111487.0/DDC
.DELDT 05/06/21
.EMAIL atwilliams@ksu.edu


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