Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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FNUS73 KEAX 051244
FWSEAX

Spot Forecast for Helton...Missouri Department of Conservation
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
744 AM CDT Wed May 5 2021

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on May 05.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at 1-800-438-0596, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Winds will be light and variable for most of the day, with some
light showers moving in after sunset. A cold front will bring the
winds more prevailing from the north/northwest through the day on
Thursday, increasing to around 15 to 20 mph through the day.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 3 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........2   3   4   10  15  21  36  52  68  68
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............45  51  57  59  61  63  64  64  65  65
RH..............60  52  45  42  39  35  34  34  34  35
20 FT wind dir..NE  E   SE  S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   3   4   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.5   4   4   4   5   6   6   7   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 3.4 4.5 5.0 5.0 4.9 5.1 5.1 4.7 3.4
Transp wind dir.NE  E   SE  S   S   S   SW  SW  W   W
Transp wind spd.7   5   3   3   5   6   8   10  12  10
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 46.
Max humidity........80 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southwest winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light, then becoming northwest
                    around 5 mph after 3 am.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 9 to 17 mph shifting to the northwest
                    16 to 22 mph overnight.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........68  68  69  70  71  67  64  61  58  54  50  54
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............64  64  62  59  56  55  54  53  51  50  49  49
RH..............38  40  43  49  55  57  59  61  68  71  77  77
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  S   S   SW  SW  SW  W   NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..5   4   4   3   3   3   3   4   4   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.8   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   8   10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   NW
Transp wind spd.10  9   10  13  15  17  21  22  21  17  16  18
Haines index....3   4   4   4   5   5   5   4   4   4   3   3

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 64.
Min humidity........32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......North winds 6 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 23 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......7400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 22 to 28 mph.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........58  62  59  56  53  46  39  32  29  25  22  17
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............48  48  49  50  51  55  57  59  60  63  63  63
RH..............80  80  77  74  71  59  53  47  42  36  35  34
20 FT wind dir..NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..6   6   7   9   10  11  11  10  10  10  10  9
20 FT wind gust.11  13  14  17  18  18  18  18  18  18  17  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 1.5 1.8 2.2 2.8 3.9 5.1 6.2 7.0 7.4 7.4 7.0
Transp wind dir.NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.23  26  28  28  26  26  26  25  24  24  23  22
Haines index....3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   4   4

$$
Forecaster...Leighton
Requested by...Darrel Cunningham
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2111636.0/EAX
.DELDT 05/05/21
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26
.EMAIL darrel.cunningham@mdc.mo.gov


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