232
FNUS74 KEPZ 152011
FWSEPZ

Spot Forecast for Turkeyfeather...U.S. Forest Service
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
211 PM MDT Tue Jul 15 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 MDT on July 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Afternoon monsoonal thunderstorms persist each day through the
weekend. Winds stay relatively light each afternoon at 5 to 10
mph with light drainage winds overnight outside of thunderstorm
outflows. Best thunderstorm chances will be tomorrow and
Thursday with good chances (60-70%) Friday and Saturday.


.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely early in the afternoon.
                    Rain showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....76-81.
Min humidity........29-34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest 5 to 6 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......9700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 11 to 13 mph shifting to the west late in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (37100 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (77500 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (MDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........46     54     54     63     73     73
Weather cov.....NONE   NONE   NONE   LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   NONE   LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE
Chc of pcpn (%). 5      8     14     62     90     75
Temp............53     62     70     76     78     77
RH..............74     58     40     32     35     36
20 ft wind......NW 4   NW 5   NW 5   W 6    W 6    W 6
20 ft wind gust.12     13     13     14     14     14
Mix hgt (ft)....1000   2000   6500   9700   3500   2500
Transport wind..N 13   N 13   NE 11  NE 11  W 8    W 8
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3      25     53     70     24     16
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   GOOD   GOOD   POOR   POOR

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the upper 70s. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...
Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the upper 70s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$
Forecaster...SLUSHER
Requested by...Donavan Albert
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2518040.0/EPZ
.DELDT 07/15/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL donavan_albert@firenet.gov